Research & Data

Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey

Growth Rate of Orders Index

February 2014

Growth Rate of Orders—Index

Feb 13
Mar 13
Apr 13
May 13
Jun 13
Jul 13
Aug 13
Sep 13
Oct 13
Nov 13
Dec 13
Jan 14
Feb 14
Current Growth Rate of Orders, seasonally adjusted
-4.9
-2.2
-11.1
-2.1
9.4
5.0
4.6
3.2
2.3
2.2
-1.0
6.4
5.3
Future Growth Rate of Orders, seasonally adjusted (six months from report period)
24.5
26.2
19.2
19.5
27.5
24.4
32.3
26.3
17.2
26.7
31.3
38.5
34.6

Growth Rate of Orders—Composition of Responses

 
Feb 13
Mar 13
Apr 13
May 13
Jun 13
Jul 13
Aug 13
Sep 13
Oct 13
Nov 13
Dec 13
Jan 14
Feb 14
Current Growth Rate of Orders, seasonally adjusted
% Increase
20.6
15.1
11.5
19.3
28.4
20.7
23.8
20.2
23.1
20.5
15.1
21.9
23.7
% No Change
53.8
67.7
65.9
59.3
52.6
63.6
57.0
62.8
56.1
61.2
68.8
62.6
57.9
% Decrease
25.5
17.3
22.6
21.4
19.0
15.7
19.2
17.0
20.8
18.3
16.1
15.5
18.4
 
Feb 13
Mar 13
Apr 13
May 13
Jun 13
Jul 13
Aug 13
Sep 13
Oct 13
Nov 13
Dec 13
Jan 14
Feb 14
Future Growth Rate of Orders, seasonally adjusted (six months from report period)
% Increase
35.8
33.1
26.5
28.7
35.9
32.8
36.1
32.9
29.9
35.1
38.0
47.9
42.1
% No Change
53.0
60.0
66.1
62.1
55.6
58.7
60.1
60.5
57.4
56.5
55.4
42.7
50.4
% Decrease
11.3
6.9
7.3
9.2
8.4
8.4
3.8
6.6
12.7
8.4
6.7
9.4
7.5

NOTE: Survey responses are used to calculate an index for each indicator. Each index is calculated by subtracting the percentage of respondents reporting a decrease from the percentage reporting an increase. When the share of firms reporting an increase exceeds the share of firms reporting a decrease, the index will be greater than zero, suggesting the indicator has increased over the prior month. If the share of firms reporting a decrease exceeds the share reporting an increase, the index will be below zero, suggesting the indicator has decreased over the prior month. An index will be zero when the number of firms reporting an increase is equal to the number of firms reporting a decrease. Items may not add up to 100 percent because of rounding.

Questions regarding the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey can be addressed to Emily Kerr at emily.kerr@dal.frb.org.

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