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Print-Friendly VersionResearch Events

Five Years of the Euro: Successes and New Challenges
May 14–16, 2004

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Organizers:
Mark Wynne, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Russell Cooper, University of Texas at Austin
With Support of:
Delegation of the European Commission
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In 1999, 11 European Union countries adopted the euro as their common currency. Two years later, the 11 were joined by Greece. The euro’s launch was a major historical event. Economic and monetary union (EMU) is now more than five years old, and the euro has gained widespread international acceptance.

The EMU’s early success confounded many of the skeptics. But important challenges lie ahead. Tensions over fiscal policies have led to a suspension of important parts of an agreement designed to provide EMU’s fiscal framework. In May 2004, the European Union will expand to include 10 Eastern European countries. In due course these countries will be expected to enter EMU.

Join economists and European central bankers as they assess the international role of the euro, discuss its impact on global financial markets, recount lessons learned and identify future challenges.

“Five Years of the Euro: Successes and Challenges” is a two-part conference. The public event on Friday, May 14, will highlight key themes since the euro’s inception. The Saturday and Sunday sessions will feature technical and mathematical research discussions primarily intended to facilitate an academic exchange of ideas among professional economists and academics. A major focus of these sessions will be the interaction between fiscal and monetary policies in a monetary union.

Location

  • Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
    2200 N. Pearl St.
    Dallas,TX 75201

Conference Agenda
10:00 a.m. Registration and Continental Breakfast
10:45 a.m. Welcome
 

Robert D. McTeer, Jr.
President and CEO
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

11:00 a.m. Session 1
EMU Views from the Periphery
  John Fitz Gerald
Economic and Social Research Institute
Managing an Economy under EMU: The Case of Ireland [PDF]
  Luís Campos e Cunha
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Portugal and the EMU: 1996–2001, the Crucial Years
(see "Portugal and the EMU" in Monetary Strategies for Joining the Euro, NBH (ed.), 2004, E. Elgar Publishing Ltd.)
  Moderator: Mark A. Wynne
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
12:30 p.m. Lunch and Keynote Address
  Christian Noyer
The Euro Five Years On: Achievements and New Challenges [PDF]
Governor
Bank of France
2:00 p.m. Session 2
EMU: The View from the Outside
  Evzen Kocenda
CERGE-EI
EMU and the Accession Countries [PDF]
 

Patrick Minford
Cardiff Business School
Britain and EMU: Assessing the Costs in Macroeconomic Variability [off-site]

Nils Gottfries
Uppsala University
Sweden and the Euro [PDF}
Why Is Sweden Not in EMU [PDF]
Booms and Busts in EMU [PDF]

  Moderator: Harvey Rosenblum
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
4:15 p.m. Session 3
The First Five Years of the Euro: What Have We Learned?
  Hervé Carré
European Commission Delegation
Declan Costello
European Commission
Assessing EMU after 5 years [PDF]
  Michele Fratianni
Indiana University
Monetary Unions Without Fiscal Unions [PDF]
  Giancarlo Corsetti
European University Institute
Productivity and the Dollar–Euro Exchange Rate [PDF]
  Moderator: Russell Cooper
University of Texas at Austin
6:00 p.m. Reception
6:30 p.m Dinner and Keynote Address
  Gertrude Tumpel-Gugerell
Executive Board Member
European Central Bank
Five Years of the Euro: Successes and New Challenges [PDF]

Research Forum Agenda
Saturday, May 15
7:30 a.m. Continental breakfast
8:30 a.m.–
5:15 p.m.
Academic Forum
  Vítor Gaspar
Director General Research, European Central Bank
“On Prosperity and Posterity: The Need for Fiscal Discipline in a Monetary Union” [PDF]
  Ilian Mihov
INSEAD, Paris
“Fiscal Discipline, Volatility and Growth" [PDF]
  Costas Azariadis and Raphael Lam
UCLA
“Efficient Fiscal Policy Restrictions in a Customs Union” [PDF]
  Russell Cooper
University of Texas
“Fiscal Constraints in a Federation: Why? When? How?” [PDF]
  Hubert Kempf
Université Paris – 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne
“Bargaining Over Monetary Policy in a Monetary Union and the Case for Appointing an Independent Central Banker” [PDF]
  Luisa Lambertini
Boston College
“Fiscal Rules in a Monetary Union” [PDF]
  Carlos E. J. M. Zarazaga
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
“Inflationary Outcomes in Private Information Games Between Decentralized Agencies: An Empirical Investigation” [PDF]

Sunday, May 16

8:00 a.m. Continental breakfast
9:00 a.m.–
1:00 p.m
Academic Forum
  Cristina Arellano
Duke University
“Dollarization and Financial Integration” [PDF]
  Vincenzo Quadrini
New York University
“Policy Commitment and the Welfare Gains from Capital Market Liberalization” [PDF]
 

Linda Tesar
University of Michigan
“A Quantitative Analysis of Tax Competition Versus Tax Coordination under Perfect Capital Mobility” [PDF]
"Explaining the Puzzling Tax Dynamics of the European Union: Quantitative Lessons of Tax Competition in Financially Integrated Countries" [PDF]

Speakers

Luís Campos e Cunha
Professor
Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Lisbon, Portugal

Campos e Cunha is professor of economics at Universidade Nova de Lisboa and since 2002 has been dean of the School of Economics. Campos e Cunha served as vice governor of Banco de Portugal from 1996 to 2002, performing duties at the European Central Bank such as serving as an alternate governor in the Governing Council and as a member of the International Relations Committee. Among his other distinctions, Campos e Cunha was a Fulbright Scholar, Columbia University President’s Fellow and recipient of an Alfred Sloan Doctoral Dissertation Fellowship. His work has been published in Economic Letters, Journal of International Economics and Economia, among other academic journals.

Hervé Carré
Minister for Financial Affairs
Delegation of the European Commission
Washington, D.C.

Carré joined the European Commission in 1973 and has served as minister for financial affairs at the Delegation in Washington, D.C., since 2002. He was director for economy of the Euro zone and of the European Union at the European Commission in Brussels from 1999 to 2002. Prior to that, he served as director for monetary matters. In 1992–93, he was adviser to Portugal’s Minister of Finance. Carré holds a degree and postgraduate diploma in economics with an emphasis on econometrics.

Giancarlo Corsetti
Professor
European University Institute
Florence, Italy

Corsetti joined the European University Institute in September 2003, on leave from the University of Rome III. His area of interest is international economics. On EMU-related issues, Corsetti has contributed studies on the fiscal aspects of the Maastricht Treaty, the Stability of Growth Pact, the 1992–93 European currency crisis and euro exchange rate determinants. He is a member of the European Economic Advisory Group at CESifo, which since 2001 has published the yearly Report on the European Economy. Corsetti is also editor of the Euro Homepage, a web site that tracks euro-related studies and news. Corsetti has been published in Economics and Politics, European Economic Review, Journal of International Economics, Journal of Monetary Economics, Quarterly Journal of Economics and Review of Economic Studies,among others. Corsetti has been a research fellow at the Centre for Economic Policy Research and held academic posts at the University of Rome,Yale and Bologna. He has a bachelor’s degree from the Università degli Studi di Roma, a master’s from New York University and a doctorate from Yale University.

Declan Costello
Head of Unit, Labor Markets
Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs, European Commission
Brussels, Belgium

Costello is an economist and head of unit in the department responsible for labor markets, including wages, tax and benefit systems, human capital and labor productivity. Before joining the EU’s Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs in 1991, he worked on issues related to the surveillance of the budgetary policies of EU member states, with particular responsibility for assessing the impact of aging populations on public finances. Costello holds an economics degree from Trinity College Dublin and a master’s degree from the College of Europe, Bruges.

John Fitz Gerald
Professor Economic and Social Research Institute
Dublin, Ireland

Fitz Gerald is a macroeconomics and resource economics research professor at the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI). He is a member of the National Economic and Social Council and the EU Group for Economic Analysis, which advises the president of the European Commission on matters of economic policy. He is a joint author of a report for the Irish Department of Finance, Economic Implications for Ireland of EMU, published in 1996. Fitz Gerald is also joint author of ESRI’s Medium-Term Review, which provides detailed analysis of Ireland’s economic prospects over the next decade. Other articles by Fitz Gerald have appeared in European Economic Review, Economic Modelling and Economic and Social Review. He holds two master’s degrees from University College Dublin.

Michele Fratianni
Professor
Indiana University
Bloomington, Indiana

Fratianni is W. George Pinnell Professor and chair of the Department of Business Economics and Public Policy at Indiana University’s Kelley School of Business. His prior teaching posts include Catholic University of Louvain, Università Cattolica of Milan, Università Sapienza of Rome, Marquette University and Free University of Berlin. Fratianni served as economic advisor to the European Commission in Brussels, senior staff economist with the U.S. President’s Council of Economic Advisers, and advisor to the governments of Italy, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Vietnam. He is a recipient of the Medal of the President of the Italian Republic for scientific achievements, the Pio Manzú Center Gold Medal, Scanno prize in economics and St. Vincent prize in economics. He has published approximately 100 articles and authored 19 books. Fratianni holds a bachelor’s, master’s and doctorate from Ohio State University.

Nils Gottfries
Professor
Uppsala University
Uppsala, Sweden

Gottfries is professor of economics at Uppsala University, where his major fields of interest are macro, international macro and labor economics. Gottfries has served as research fellow at the Institute for International Economic Studies in Stockholm, researcher at the National Institute of Economic Research and member of the Swedish EMU Commission. He has published articles in the European Economic Review, Economica, Journal of Political Economy, Quarterly Journal of Economics and other journals. He was previously associate editor of the European Economic Review and is currently associate editor of the Scandinavian Journal of Economics. Gottfries holds bachelor’s and doctoral degrees from Stockholm University.

Evzen Kocenda Professor
CERGE–EI
Prague, Czech Republic

Kocenda is the Citigroup Endowment Professor at CERGE–EI, a joint endeavor of the Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education of Charles University (CERGE) and the Economics Institute of the Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic (EI). He is also an associate professor at CERGE and a senior researcher at EI. Kocenda is a research fellow at the William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Business School, research affiliate at the Centre for Economic Policy Research in London, adjunct professor at New York University in Prague and editorial board member of the Journal of Comparative Economics. Kocenda holds a degree in international trade management from the Prague School of Economics, an M.A. in economics from the University of Toledo and a Ph.D. in economics from the University of Houston.

Patrick Minford
Professor
Cardiff Business School
Cardiff, Wales

Minford is a professor of applied economics at Cardiff University’s Business School. He is also a research fellow with the International Macroeconomics Programme at the Centre for Economic Policy Research and a trustee of the Institute of Economic Affairs. He has been visiting Hallsworth Research Fellow at the University of Manchester and Edward Gonner Professor of Applied Economics at the University of Liverpool. He was a member of the Monopolies and Mergers Commission and H.M. Treasury Panel of Independent Economic Forecasters (or “wise men”). Minford is an editorial board member of the Journal of International Money and Finance, Open Economies Review and Bulletin of Economic Research. In 1996, Minford was awarded the Commander of the Order of the British Empire for his services to economics. He holds a bachelor’s degree from Balliol College and a master’s and doctorate from the London School of Economics.

Christian Noyer
Governor
Bank of France
Paris, France

Noyer, Bank of France governor since November 2003, was vice president of the European Central Bank from 1998 to 2002. He is special advisor to the Ministry of Economy, Finance and Industry, where he conducted an indepth study on regulated savings products. Noyer has also been chief of staff for the Minister for Economic Affairs and Finance and director of the Treasury. For his work, Noyer was awarded the rank of Knight of the Legion of Honor, France’s highest civilian medal, and Knight of the National Order of Merit. He has served as a member of the European Monetary Committee and the Economic and Financial Committee and was an alternate governor of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank. He is the author of Banks: The Rules of the Game. Noyer holds a diploma from the Institute of Political Science in Paris and a postgraduate law degree from the University of Paris. He is also a graduate of Ecole Nationale d’Administration.

Gertrude Tumpel-Gugerell
Executive Board Member
European Central Bank
Frankfurt, Germany

Tumpel-Gugerell joined the ECB’s executive board in 2003 after more than 20 years with Oesterreichische NationalBank. She served as an economist, director of area corporate planning and management, comptroller general, executive director of the Economics and Financial Markets Department and vice governor of the Austrian central bank. She has been an alternate governor of Austria to the International Monetary Fund, member of the EU’s Economic and Finance Committee and chair of its Banking Advisory Committee. Tumpel- Gugerell is currently a member of the University of Vienna’s University Council and a past member of the ECB’s International Relations and Banking Supervision committees and the Supervisory Board of Austria’s Financial Market Authority. She is an editor of the book Completing Transition: The Main Challenges and coeditor of Economic Convergence and Divergence in Europe: Growth and Regional Development in an Enlarged European Union. Tumpel-Gugerell holds a master’s and doctorate from the University of Vienna.

Moderators

Russell Cooper
Professor
University of Texas at Austin

Cooper is professor and chairman of the Economics Department at the University of Texas at Austin. Before coming to UT in 2003, Cooper was a professor of economics and associate department chairman at Boston University. He is joint author of Dynamic Economics: Quantitative Methods and Applications, published by MIT Press in 2003, and Macroeconomic Complementarities, published in 1999. His writing has appeared in numerous academic journals, including Journal of Monetary Economics, International Economic Review and American Economic Review. He is a fellow of the Econometric Society and a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research. Cooper holds bachelor’s degrees from Clark University and a master’s and doctorate from the University of Pennsylvania.

Harvey Rosenblum
Senior Vice President and
Director of Research
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Rosenblum is an economic policy advisor to the president of the Dallas Fed and an associate economist for the Federal Open Market Committee. His current research interests center on monetary policy, electronic money, Social Security reform, international trade and dollarization in Latin America. Rosenblum, who is immediate past president of the National Association for Business Economics, has written for such publications as the Journal of Finance, New York Times and Handbook of Banking Strategy. He is a visiting professor of finance at Southern Methodist University. Rosenblum received a B.A. in economics from the University of Connecticut and a Ph.D. in economics from the University of California at Santa Barbara.

Mark A. Wynne
Senior Economist and Vice President
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Wynne’s primary research interests are in the fields of monetary economics and macroeconomics, and he has published in many leading professional journals. He has taught at the University of Rochester and Southern Methodist University and is an academic board member of the Open Republic Institute in Dublin. During 1997–98 Wynne worked on issues related to monetary policy strategy under economic and monetary union for the European Monetary Institute and, later, the European Central Bank. Wynne holds B.A. and M.A. degrees from the National University of Ireland (University College, Dublin) and an M.A. and a Ph.D. from the University of Rochester.

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