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Quotes from Chairman Bernanke
A collection of quotes from speeches
and testimony by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. Click on
the link in each quote to read the entire speech on
the Board of Governors web site.
2008
On addressing weaknesses in the global financial markets
"We do not have the luxury of waiting for markets to stabilize before we think about the future. Indeed, many of the necessary changes that have been identified, including increasing transparency, improving risk management, and attaining better coordination among regulators, could provide important support to the process of normalizing our financial markets."
—April 10, 2008
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On the importance of financial education and the National Jump$tart Coalition survey
"In light of the problems that have arisen in the subprime mortgage market, we are reminded of how critically important it is for individuals to become financially literate at an early age so that they are better prepared to make decisions and navigate an increasingly complex financial marketplace."
—April 9, 2008
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Testimony on the economic outlook
"It now appears likely that real gross domestic product (GDP) will not grow much, if at all, over the first half of 2008 and could even contract slightly."
—April 2, 2008
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On reducing preventable mortgage foreclosuress
"Reducing the rate of preventable foreclosures would promote economic stability for households, neighborhoods, and the nation as a whole. Although lenders and servicers have scaled up their efforts and adopted a wider variety of loss-mitigation techniques, more can, and should, be done."
—March 4, 2008
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Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress
"A critical task for the Federal Reserve over the course of this year will be to assess whether the stance of monetary policy is properly calibrated to foster our mandated objectives of maximum employment and price stability in an environment of downside risks to growth, stressed financial conditions, and inflation pressures. In particular, the FOMC will need to judge whether the policy actions taken thus far are having their intended effects."
—February 27, 2008
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Testimony on the economy and financial markets
"At present, my baseline outlook involves a period of sluggish growth, followed by a somewhat stronger pace of growth starting later this year as the effects of monetary and fiscal stimulus begin to be felt."
—February 14, 2008
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Testimony on the economic outlook
"To be useful, a fiscal stimulus package should be implemented quickly and structured so that its effects on aggregate spending are felt as much as possible within the next twelve months or so. Stimulus that comes too late will not help support economic activity in the near term, and it could be actively destabilizing if it comes at a time when growth is already improving."
—January 17, 2008
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On financial markets, the economic outlook and monetary policy
"In light of recent changes in the outlook for and the risks to growth, additional policy easing may well be necessary. The [FOMC] will, of course, be carefully evaluating incoming information bearing on the economic outlook. Based on that evaluation, and consistent with our dual mandate, we stand ready to take substantive additional action as needed to support growth and to provide adequate insurance against downside risks."
—January 10, 2008
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2007
National and regional economic overview
"Economic forecasting is always difficult, but the current stresses in financial markets make the uncertainty surrounding the outlook even greater than usual. We at the Federal Reserve will have to remain exceptionally alert and flexible as we continue to assess how best to promote sustainable economic growth and price stability in the United States."
—November 30, 2007
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On Federal Reserve communications
"The FOMC has engaged in extensive deliberations over the past year or so to consider further steps toward greater transparency.... As indicated in a statement issued by the FOMC today , these discussions have led to a decision to increase the frequency and expand the content of the publicly released economic projections that are made by Federal Reserve Board members and Reserve Bank presidents."
—November 14, 2007
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On the economic situation and outlook
"We are on schedule to propose rules by the end of this year to address unfair or deceptive mortgage lending practices. These rules would apply to subprime loans offered by any mortgage lender. We are looking closely at practices such as prepayment penalties, failure to escrow for taxes and insurance, stated-income and low-documentation lending, and failure to give adequate consideration to a borrower's ability to repay."
—November 8, 2007
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On microfinance in the United States
"The microfinance movement has grown and adapted considerably during its short history in the United States. I hope that microfinance organizations will sustain their energetic spirit of innovation and experimentation as they strive to become more self-sufficient and adapt to our ever-changing economy."
—November 6, 2007
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On monitary policy under uncertainty
"The fact that the public is uncertain about and must learn about the economy and policy provides a reason for the central bank to strive for predictability and transparency, avoid overreacting to current economic information, and recognize the challenges of making real-time assessments of the sustainable level of real economic activity and employment."
—October 19, 2007
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On the recent financial turmoil and its economic and policy consequences
"It is not the responsibility of the Federal Reserve—nor would it be appropriate—to protect lenders and investors from the consequences of their financial decisions. But developments in financial markets can have broad economic effects felt by many outside the markets, and the Federal Reserve must take those effects into account when determining policy."
—October 15, 2007
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On John Taylor
"John Taylor's influence on monetary theory and policy has been profound indeed. That influence has been manifest in undergraduate lecture halls and graduate seminar rooms, in the best research journals, and in the highest ranks of government. His ability to crystallize important analytical insights and apply them to policy issues is unsurpassed."
—October 12, 2007
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On education and economic competitiveness
"Education fundamentally supports advances in productivity, upon which our ability to generate continuing improvement in our standard of living depends. If we are to successfully navigate such challenges as the retirement of the baby-boom generation, advancing technology, and increasing globalization, we must work diligently to maintain the quality of our educational system where it is strong and strive to improve it where it is not."
—September 24, 2007
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On subprime mortgage lending and mitigating foreclosures
The perception, however inaccurate, that the GSEs [government-sponsored enterprises] are fully government-backed implies that investors have few incentives... to constrain GSE risk-taking. Raising the conforming-loan limit would expand this implied guarantee to another portion of the mortgage market, reducing market discipline further.
—September 20, 2007
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On global imbalance
The U.S. federal budget deficit has declined recently and is officially projected to improve further over the next few years. Unfortunately... the United States has already reached the leading edge of major demographic changes that will result in an older population and a more slowly growing workforce. A major effort to increase public and private saving is needed to prepare for the economic consequences of this demographic transition and to address external imbalances.
As the global perspective makes clear, the reduction of the U.S. current account deficit also requires efforts on the part of the surplus countries to reduce the excess of their desired saving over desired investment.
—September 11, 2007
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On housing, housing finance and monetary policy
"The Federal Reserve stands ready to take additional actions as needed to provide liquidity and promote the orderly functioning of markets.
It is not the responsibility of the Federal Reserve—nor would it be appropriate—to protect lenders and investors from the consequences of their financial decisions. But developments in financial markets can have broad economic effects felt by many outside the markets, and the Federal Reserve must take those effects into account when determining policy.
"
—August 31, 2007
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Semiannual monetary policy report to Congress
"Overall, the U.S. economy appears likely to expand at a moderate pace over the second half of 2007, with growth then strengthening a bit in 2008 to a rate close to the economy’s underlying trend."
—July 18, 2007
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On inflation expectations and inflation forecasting
"Our ability to forecast inflation and predict how inflation will respond to policy actions depends very much on our capacity to measure and to understand what determines the public's expectations of inflation."
—July 10, 2007
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On the financial accelerator and the credit channel
"Like banks, nonbank lenders have to raise funds in order to lend, and the cost at which they raise those funds will depend on their financial condition—their net worth, their leverage, and their liquidity, for example. Thus, nonbank lenders also face an external finance premium that presumably can be influenced by economic developments or monetary policy."
—June 15, 2007
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On the housing market and subprime lending
"We will follow developments in the subprime market closely. However, fundamental factors—including solid growth in incomes and relatively low mortgage rates—should ultimately support the demand for housing, and at this point, the troubles in the subprime sector seem unlikely to seriously spill over to the broader economy or the financial system."
—June 5, 2007
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On recognizing leadership
"As
an economist, I am persuaded that a strong educational
system—one that promotes lifetime learning
and skill development—is a critical factor
in our nation's prosperity. The economic importance
of education will only increase as technology
advances and as the global economy becomes increasingly
integrated and complex."
—May 22, 2007
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On the subprime mortgage market
"We at the Federal Reserve
will do all that we can to prevent fraud and abusive
lending and to ensure that lenders employ sound underwriting
practices and make effective disclosures to consumers.
At the same time, we must be careful not to inadvertently
suppress responsible lending or eliminate refinancing
opportunities for subprime borrowers."
—May 17, 2007
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On regulation and financial
innovation
"The goal of regulation
should be to preserve [economic] benefits while achieving
important public policy objectives, including financial
stability, investor protection, and market integrity.
Although financial innovation promotes those objectives
in some ways, for example by allowing better sharing
of risks, certain aspects of financial innovation...may
pose significant risks. These risks should not be taken
lightly."
—May 15, 2007
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On embracing the challenge of
free trade
"Although expansion
of trade makes the U.S. economy stronger...the broad
benefits of trade and the associated economic change
may come at a cost to some individuals, firms, and communities.
We need to continue to find ways to minimize the pain
of dislocation without standing in the way of economic
growth and change."
—May 1, 2007
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On financial literacy
"Helping young people
become financially literate is critical for their future
economic well-being and should be a high priority for
educators."
—April 25, 2007
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On financial regulation and
th Invisible Hand
"Regulation that relies
on the invisible hand of market-based incentives can
complement direct government regulation. For market-based
regulation to work, the incentives of investors and
other private actors must align with the objectives
of the government regulator."
—April 11, 2007
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On the CRA: its evolution and
new challenges
"It appears that, at
least in some instances, the CRA has served as a catalyst,
inducing banks to enter underserved markets that they
might otherwise have ignored. At its most successful,
the CRA may have had a multiplier effect, supplementing
its direct impact by stimulating new market-based, profit-driven
economic activity in lower-income neighborhoods."
—March 30, 2007
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On the economic outlook
"Even if the demand
for housing falls no further, weakness in residential
construction is likely to remain a drag on economic
growth for a time as homebuilders try to reduce their
inventories of unsold homes to more normal levels."
—March 28, 2007
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On GSE portfolios, systemic
risk and affordable housing
"Legislation to strengthen
the regulation and supervision of [government-sponsored
enterprises] is highly desirable, both to ensure that
these companies pose fewer risks to the financial system
and to direct them toward activities that provide important
social benefits. ...The Federal Reserve Board believes
that the GSEs' investment portfolios should be firmly
anchored to a measurable public purpose, such as the
promotion of affordable housing."
—March 6, 2007
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On globalization and monetary
policy
"The Federal Reserve
System is quite interested in the implications of globalization
for the conduct and effectiveness of monetary policy....The
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas has created a Globalization
and Monetary Policy Institute, which will support the
study of globalization’s effects on policy and
the economy."
—March 2, 2007
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On long-term fiscal challenges
and the economy
"Dealing with the resulting
fiscal strains will pose difficult choices for the Congress,
the Administration, and the American people. However,
if early and meaningful action is not taken, the U.S.
economy could be seriously weakened, with future generations
bearing much of the cost."
—February 28, 2007
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Semiannual monetary policy report
to Congress
"The projections of
the members of the Board of Governors and the presidents
of the Federal Reserve Banks are for inflation to continue
to ebb over this year and next.... But...the FOMC has
continued to view the risk that inflation will not moderate
as expected as the predominant policy concern."
—February 14, 2007
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the report
On the level and distribution
of economic well-being
"The challenge for policy
is not to eliminate inequality per se but rather to
spread economic opportunity as widely as possible. Policies
that focus on education, job training, and skills and
that facilitate job search and job mobility seem to
me to be a promising means for moving toward that goal."
—February 6, 2007
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On central banking and bank
supervision in the United States
"Because of demographic
changes and rising medical costs, federal expenditures
for entitlement programs are projected to rise sharply
over the next few decades. Dealing with the resulting
fiscal strains will pose difficult choices for the Congress,
the Administration, and the American people. However,
if early and meaningful action is not taken, the U.S.
economy could be seriously weakened, with future generations
bearing much of the cost."
—January 18, 2007
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On central banking and bank
supervision in the United States
"The information, expertise,
and powers that the Fed derives from its supervisory
authority enhance its ability to contribute to efforts
to prevent financial crises; and, when financial stresses
emerge and public action is warranted, the Fed is able
to respond more quickly, more effectively, and in a
more informed way than would otherwise be possible.
"
—January 5, 2007
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2006
On the Chinese economy
"Further appreciation
of the RMB, combined with a wider trading band and with
the ultimate goal of a market-determined exchange rate,
would allow an effective and independent monetary policy
and thereby help to enhance China's future growth and
stability."
—December 15, 2006
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On the economic outlook
"Over the next year
or so, the economy appears likely to expand at a moderate
rate, close to or modestly below the economy's long-run
sustainable pace. Core inflation is expected to slow
gradually from its recent level, reflecting the reduced
impetus from high prices of energy and other commodities,
contained inflation expectations, and perhaps further
reductions in the rate of increase of shelter costs
and some easing in the pressures on capital and labor
resources. However, substantial uncertainties surround
this baseline forecast."
—November 28, 2006
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On monetary aggregates and monetary
policy at the Federal Reserve
"Although a heavy reliance
on monetary aggregates as a guide to policy would seem
to be unwise in the U.S. context, money growth may still
contain important information about future economic
developments. Attention to money growth is thus sensible
as part of the eclectic modeling and forecasting framework
used by the U.S. central bank."
—November 10, 2006
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On Community Development Financial
Institutions—promoting economic growth and opportunity
Monetary policy is a blunt
tool that cannot target industries, population groups,
or regions. In contrast, CDFIs [community development
financial institutions] operate primarily at the microeconomic
level, community by community. Using techniques such
as financial counseling, local market research, and
specialized lending, CDFIs work with partners in both
the public and the private sectors to help unlock the
economic potential of lower-income and underserved communities.
—November 1, 2006
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On bank regulation and supervision:
balancing benefits and costs
Good regulatory and supervisory
policies should implement congressional intent in ways
that maximize social benefits and minimize social costs....
In developing regulatory and supervisory policies, the
Federal Reserve and the other banking agencies will
continue to pay close attention to the implications
of those policies for regulatory burden, competitiveness,
and efficiency in banking.
—October 16, 2006
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On the coming demographic transition:
Will we treat future generations fairly?
If current trends continue,
the typical U.S. worker will be considerably more productive
several decades from now. Thus, one might argue that
letting future generations bear the burden of population
aging is appropriate, as they will likely be richer
than we are even taking that burden into account. On
the other hand, I suspect that many people would agree
that a fair outcome should involve the current generation
shouldering at least some of that burden, especially
in light of the sacrifices that previous generations
made to give us the prosperity we enjoy today.
—October 4, 2006
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On productivity
Few jobs or occupations have
not been affected in some way by the technological changes
of recent years, a trend that will certainly continue....
But new technologies will translate into higher productivity
only to the extent that workers have the skills needed
to apply them effectively.
—August 31, 2006
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On global economic integration
The challenge for policymakers
is to ensure that the benefits of global economic integration
are sufficiently widely shared—for example, by
helping displaced workers get the necessary training
to take advantage of new opportunities—that a
consensus for welfare-enhancing change can be obtained.
—August 25, 2006
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On economic education
No matter what your age or
educational background—whether you are a student,
an entrepreneur, a homemaker, or a professor—the
Fed has resources to help you learn more about economics
and to help you participate in the important national
conversations we must have about these issues. In the
end, I believe you will find that economic education
is one of the best investments you can make for your
own future and for the future of your family, your community,
and our nation.
—July 2006
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On monetary policy
Although our baseline forecast
is for moderating inflation, the [Federal Open Market]
Committee judges that some inflation risks remain....
Persistently higher inflation would erode the performance
of the real economy and would be costly to reverse.
The Federal Reserve must take account of these risks
in making its policy decisions.
—July 19, 2006
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On energy and the economy
Energy prices have moved
up considerably since the end of 2002, reflecting supply
and demand factors. In the short run, prices are likely
to remain high in an environment of strong world economic
growth and a limited ability to increase energy supplies....
However, in the long run, market forces will respond.
The higher relative prices of energy will create incentives
for businesses to create new, energy-saving technologies
and for energy consumers to adopt them.
—June 15, 2006
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On increasing economic opportunity:
challenges and strategies
Many factors influence consumer
financial behavior. Financial education is clearly central
to helping consumers make better decisions for themselves
and their families, but policymakers, regulators, nonprofit
organizations, and financial service providers must
all help ensure that consumers have the tools and the
information they need to make better decisions.
—June 13, 2006
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On modern risk management and
banking supervision
As risk-management practices
continue to evolve, the gulf between the determinants
of minimum regulatory capital under Basel I and what
these banks actually do to manage risk will widen. Most
important, if the regulatory capital required of these
organizations does not adequately reflect the risks
they are actually taking, the safety and soundness of
the U.S. banking system may be jeopardized.
—June 13, 2006
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Commencent address at the Massachusetts
Institute of Technology
When the economics is right,
scientific and technological advances promote economic
development, which in turn, in a virtuous circle, may
provide resources and incentives that help to foster
more innovation.
—June 9, 2006
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On on the outlook for the U.S.
economy and monetary policy
The FOMC must continue to
resist any tendency for increases in energy and commodity
prices to become permanently embedded in core inflation.
The best way to prevent increases in energy and commodity
prices from leading to persistently higher rates of
inflation is by anchoring the public's long-term inflation
expectations. Achieving this requires, first, a strong
commitment of policymakers to maintaining price stability,
which my colleagues and I share, and, second, a consistent
pattern of policy responses to emerging developments
as needed to accomplish that objective.
—June 5, 2006
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On financial literacy
Clearly, to choose wisely
from the variety of products and providers available,
consumers must have the financial knowledge to navigate
today’s increasingly complex financial services
marketplace. Consumers with the necessary skills to
make informed financial decisions about purchasing a
home, financing an education or their retirement, or
starting a business will almost certainly be economically
better off than those lacking those vital skills.
—May 23, 2006
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On Basel II: Its promise and
its challenges
No immediate crisis requires
us to move toward Basel II, but the gradual evolution
of market practice and the emergence of very large and
increasingly complex banking organizations operating
on a global scale require that we make significant changes
in the way we assess capital adequacy at these organizations.
—May 18, 2006
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On hedge funds and systemic
risk
Continued focus on counterparty
risk management is likely the best course for addressing
systemic concerns related to hedge funds.... [It] places
the responsibility for monitoring risk squarely on the
private market participants with the best incentives
and capacity to do so.
—May 17, 2006
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On community economic development
Over the past twenty-five years,
innovative lenders at banks and at community development
financial institutions have demonstrated that investments
in community economic development can be rewarding in
the financial sense as well as in the social sense.
—May 3, 2006
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On the outlook for the U.S.
economy
The
FOMC will continue to monitor the incoming data closely
to assess the prospects for both growth and inflation.
In particular, even if in the Committee's judgment the
risks to its objectives are not entirely balanced, at
some point in the future the Committee may decide to
take no action at one or more meetings in the interest
of allowing more time to receive information relevant
to the outlook. Of course, a decision to take no action
at a particular meeting does not preclude actions at
subsequent meetings, and the Committee will not hesitate
to act when it determines that doing so is needed to
foster the achievement of the Federal Reserve's mandated
objectives.
—April 27, 2006
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On data and measurement in community
economic development
Free
markets can be a powerful source of economic development,
but markets work less effectively when information about
potential opportunities is absent or costly for private
actors to obtain.
—April 20, 2006
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On personal financial literacy
Increasingly,
personal financial security requires the ability to
understand and navigate the financial marketplace....
Financially literate consumers make the financial marketplace
work better, and they are better-informed citizens as
well.
—April 5, 2006
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On the yield curve and monetary
policy
Ultimately,
a robust approach to [monetary] policymaking requires
the use of multiple sources of information and multiple
methods of analysis, combined with frequent reality
checks. By not tying policy to a small set of forecast
indicators, we may sacrifice some degree of simplicity,
but we are less likely to be misled when a favored variable
behaves in an unusual manner.
—March 20, 2006
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On community banking and community
bank supervision in the twenty-first century
The
performance of community banks over the past decade
has been very impressive. But neither bankers nor their
supervisors should become complacent. Doubtless the
future will continue to require both of us to evaluate
and respond to changes that are often complex and difficult
to understand, much less to predict.
—March 8, 2006
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On the benefits of price stability
Central
bankers, economists, and other knowledgeable observers
around the world agree that price stability both contributes
importantly to the economy's growth and employment prospects
in the longer term and moderates the variability of
output and employment in the short to medium term.
—February 24, 2006
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Semiannual monitary policy report
to Congress
Monetary
policymakers must...strike a difficult balance—conducting
rigorous analysis informed by sound economic theory
and empirical methods while keeping an open mind about
the many factors, including myriad global influences,
at play in a dynamic modern economy like that of the
United States.
—February 15, 2006
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At the ceremonial swearing-in
by President Bush
It
is incumbent on the Federal Reserve to report regularly
to, and work closely with, the Congress. I look forward
to a strong and constructive relationship with members
of both the House and Senate.
—February 6, 2006
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