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Issue 6, November/December 2006
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
On the Record: An Appreciation of
Milton Friedman, Champion of Economic Freedom
A year before his death in November,
Nobel laureate economist Milton Friedman sat down for
a wide-ranging conversation with Dallas Fed President
Richard Fisher. The following excerpts capture Friedman’s
belief in free enterprise and limited government.
Fisher:
You wrote Free to Choose
in the 1980s, when we had this titanic struggle between
capitalists and communists, with the Soviet Union still
in place, the Berlin Wall still standing and a very
different kind of regime in China. Today, where is the
battleground for ideas?
Friedman:
The battleground for ideas
is where it has always been—in the minds of the
people in the U.S., Britain and the rest of the world.
But the place where you have had the major changes has
been, not in the U.S., not in what’s known as
the West, but in the former Soviet Union, China and
East Asia. That’s where practice has been changing
and along with it, we hope, beliefs.
Fisher:
Why did that happen?
Was it good luck? Was it good ideas?
Friedman: What
really brought about that change and recognition was
the collapse of the Soviet Union and the fall of the
Berlin Wall. That was as strong a demonstration as you
could have of the fact that a totalitarian state, controlled
from the center, was not an efficient way to run a country.
And certainly was not a way that was consistent with
human freedom.
Fisher:
So now today we have some new
competitors in the system?
Friedman: Not
new competitors. We have new resources, new cooperators.
In the last 20 years, there’s been an enormous
increase in the number of laborers available for cooperation
with capital through private enterprise means. That’s
what’s happening in Asia, in India and in much
of the former Soviet Union.
The really remarkable thing about
the world is how people cooperate together. How somebody
in China makes a little bit of your television set.
Or somebody in Malaysia produces some rubber. And that
rubber is used by somebody in the United States to put
on the tip of a pencil, or in some other way. What has
happened, has been an enormous expansion in the opportunities
for cooperation.
Fisher:
You’ve often talked
about political freedom as well as economic freedom—a
government that is the least intrusive. How will this
resolve itself in China?
Friedman: I
do not believe that China can continue to move as it
has been moving in expanding the range of the market
and at the same time continue with its wholly, fully
centralized government. Let me emphasize that there
has been considerable increase in not political freedom,
but civil freedom. I have decided that it was important
to separate and distinguish three categories of freedom.
Economic freedom, the freedom to buy and sell, to make
transactions. Civil freedom, the freedom to speak freely,
the freedom to write and have freedom of speech. And
then political freedom, which was the freedom to elect
your leaders.
Fisher:
Do you worry about the fiscal
deficits that we now have in this country that have
been accumulating over time?
Friedman: The
problem is not the deficit, the problem is the spending.
Which would you rather have: government spending of
$10 billion, completely paid for by taxes, or government
spending of $5 billion, completely paid for by borrowing?
Fisher:
What’s your answer to that
question?
Friedman: Oh,
I’d rather have $5 billion paid for by borrowing.
What matters is not whether the money that pays it is
borrowed or taxed, but whether the spending takes place.
What really uses up resources is the spending. In fact,
borrowing and taxing are really two different forms
of taxation. The borrowing is an indirect form of taxation.
One of the reasons I have always been in favor of tax
cuts is because it seemed to be the only way that you
can keep down government spending.
Fisher:
Has it worked?
Friedman: Not
completely, not 100 percent. But I think it has worked.
I think that if we had not had those tax cuts, government
spending today would be higher than it is. We spend
close to 40 percent of our national income through government.
That’s a very high number. But it’s lower
than all of the European countries. It’s lower
than most countries in the world.
We
would be much better off if we could cut down on that
spending. Most entitlements, in my opinion, are not
justified. They do not serve a useful function. Take
Social Security for a moment. What Social Security is,
is a Ponzi game. People put money into a pot, people
take money out of the pot, and the whole thing is dependent
on new entrants coming in and feeding that pot. The
money is not invested. The money that comes in, the
government spends routinely. It does not accumulate
any assets. Everybody talks about how the aging population
is raising difficulties for Social Security. I haven’t
heard anybody ask, why doesn’t it raise difficulties
for life insurance companies? It doesn’t because
the aging population means that life insurance companies
have larger reserves because people bought insurance
in their youth.
Fisher:
You have been a staunch advocate
of free trade.
Friedman: Somebody
asked me to write a letter or statement in support of
the recent trade bill with the CAFTA. I decided I would
look up this CAFTA bill. No one who read that bill could
be in favor of it. It’s a very long piece, a thousand
pages. You get free trade on a thousand pages of rules
and regulations? It’s the opposite of free trade.
The best thing that we in the United States could do,
there’s no question in my mind, would be unilateral
free trade. We have nothing to lose by trading freely
with every other place in the world.
Fisher:
Even if other countries do not
embrace free trade and subsidize farm products?
Friedman: If
they want to waste their money, why should it bother
us? And in particular, if they waste their money in
a way which benefits us, if they make their agricultural
products cheaper to us, why should we refuse the gift?
We think it’s OK for us to give foreign aid. Isn’t
it OK for us to receive foreign aid? You must regard
foreign subsidization as a form of foreign aid.
Fisher:
We’ve had many shocks to
our system in recent years—a huge stock market
reversal, the Sept. 11 terrorist strikes, natural disasters,
energy price developments. And yet we continue to increase
our productivity. Why is that?
Friedman: The
economy has behaved remarkably well over the past 10
years, particularly over the period since 9/11. It’s
been fluid, it’s been adjustable, and I think
a very important part of credit for that does go, in
this case, to the Federal Reserve and to the stable
monetary policy.
Fisher:
It is remarkable to hear you
say that because you’ve been a frequent critic
of the Fed.
Friedman: I
have not been afraid to criticize it when I thought
it deserved criticism. But having once adopted the view
that its fundamental objective was to maintain stable
prices, the Fed has been able to do so. And over the
period of about 1990 to now, you’ve had close
to stable prices. It’s been about 2 or 3 percent
inflation, on and off, up and down. And that has provided
a stable background, which has facilitated adjustment
to these other changes that have come along.
Not only has there been greater
price stability, but there has been greater stability
of the economy. The accepted doctrine among monetary
economists was that there was a trade-off between price
stability and economic stability—to get greater
stability of the economy, you had to have more instability
in prices. You had to use ups in prices and downs in
prices to keep the economy straight. And that has turned
out to be wholly false. It’s just the opposite.
The stability of prices facilitates the stability in
economic output.
Fisher:
What do you worry about in terms
of the future of America?
Friedman: Well,
I am basically, innately an optimist. So I see a great
future for America. I think we have the right kind of
a basic government if we can keep it. And what I worry
about most for America is that we will not control the
propensity for government spending to increase.
If freedom is going to be lost
in America, it will be lost by excessive government
involvement. It’s hard to say, but it’s
true. We are much wealthier today than we were in 1950,
but we are less free today than we were in 1950. If
you think of all the regulations that have been imposed
in the period since then, all of the organizations—Medicare,
Medicaid, aid for disabled people, you can go down the
line—there are hundreds of them. There’s
less regulation on business, but there’s more
regulation on people. From the long-run point of view,
the one and only thing I’m really worried about
is that government will grow too large.
Video clips of this conversation
and other information about Friedman can be found on
the Dallas Fed’s web site at http://dallasfed.
org/research/friedman.cfm.
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