2014

Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Papers No. 201: Stability or Upheaval? The Currency Composition of International Reserves in the Long Run image
Updated: October 20, 2014
Stability or Upheaval? The Currency Composition of International Reserves in the Long Run
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Papers No. 200: The Federal Reserve in a Globalized World Economy image
Updated: October 20, 2014
The Federal Reserve in a Globalized World Economy
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Papers No. 199: Intra-Safe Haven Currency Behavior During the Global Financial Crisis image
Updated: October 20, 2014
Intra-Safe Haven Currency Behavior During the Global Financial Crisis
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Papers No. 198: Exchange Rate Flexibility under the Zero Lower Bound image
Updated: October 20, 2014
Exchange Rate Flexibility under the Zero Lower Bound
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Papers No. 197: International Financial Integration and Crisis Contagion image
Updated: October 10, 2014
International Financial Integration and Crisis Contagion
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Papers No. 196: Real Exchange Rates and Sectoral Productivity in the Eurozone image
Updated: October 10, 2014
Real Exchange Rates and Sectoral Productivity in the Eurozone
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Papers No. 195: Doctrinal Determinants, Domestic and International, of Federal Reserve Policy 1914-1933 image
Updated: October 10, 2014
Doctrinal Determinants, Domestic and International, of Federal Reserve Policy 1914-1933
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Papers No. 194: Working Less and Bargain Hunting More: Macro Implications of Sales during Japan's Lost Decades image
Updated: October 10, 2014
Working Less and Bargain Hunting More: Macro Implications of Sales during Japan's Lost Decades
Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute
Advanced Economies Slow; Global Outlook Cloudy
Updated: September 22, 2014
Global growth in the second quarter picked up in the emerging economies but slumped in the advanced countries.
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Papers No. 192: Trade Partner Diversification and Growth: How Trade Links Matter image
Updated: September 10, 2014
Trade Partner Diversification and Growth: How Trade Links Matter
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Papers No. 193: What Drives Housing Dynamics in China? A Sign Restrictions VAR Approach image
Updated: September 10, 2014
What Drives Housing Dynamics in China? A Sign Restrictions VAR Approach
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Papers No. 191: Benefits of Foreign Ownership: Evidence from Foreign Direct Investment in China image
Updated: September 10, 2014
Benefits of Foreign Ownership: Evidence from Foreign Direct Investment in China
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Papers No. 190: Technical Note on "Assessing Bayesian Model Comparison in Small Samples" image
Updated: August 16, 2014
Technical Note on "Assessing Bayesian Model Comparison in Small Samples"
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Papers No. 189: Assessing Bayesian Model Comparison in Small Samples image
Updated: August 15, 2014
Assessing Bayesian Model Comparison in Small Samples
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Papers No. 188: The Redistributional Consequences of Tax Reform Under Financial Integration image
Updated: August 15, 2014
The Redistributional Consequences of Tax Reform Under Financial Integration
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Papers No. 187: Pricing-to-Market and Optimal Interest Rate Policy image
Updated: August 7, 2014
Pricing-to-Market and Optimal Interest Rate Policy
Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute
Global Growth Outlook Weaker but Still Positive
Updated: July 31, 2014
The world growth outlook remains positive but has weakened slightly with recent data releases, especially in emerging economies. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has reduced its forecast for 2014 global growth from 3.7 percent to 3.4 percent but kept its forecast for 4 percent growth in 2015 unchanged.
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 186: The Domestic Segment of Global Supply Chains In China under State Capitalism image
Updated: June 27, 2014
The Domestic Segment of Global Supply Chains In China under State Capitalism
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 185: Learning to Export from Neighbors image
Updated: June 27, 2014
Learning to Export from Neighbors
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 184: Bank Crises and Sovereign Defaults in Emerging Markets: Exploring the Links image
Updated: June 27, 2014
Bank Crises and Sovereign Defaults in Emerging Markets: Exploring the Links
Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute
Slowdown Could Be Ahead for Advanced Economies Outside of U.S.
Updated: June 24, 2014
The pace of global growth (excluding the U.S.) remained unchanged in first quarter 2014.
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 183: Capital Goods Trade and Economic Development image
Updated: May 23, 2014
Capital Goods Trade and Economic Development
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 182: Very Long-Run Discount Rates image
Updated: May 22, 2014
Very Long-Run Discount Rates
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 181: International Capital Flows and the Boom-Bust Cycle in Spain image
Updated: May 20, 2014
International Capital Flows and the Boom-Bust Cycle in Spain
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 180: Theory and Practice of GVAR Modeling image
Updated: May 19, 2014
Theory and Practice of GVAR Modeling
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 179: The Role of Direct Flights in Trade Costs image
Updated: May 7, 2014
The Role of Direct Flights in Trade Costs
Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute
Low Inflation and Slower Medium-Term Growth Accompany Uneven Recovery
Updated: May 6, 2014
World (excluding the U.S.) economic growth stood at 3 percent year over year in fourth quarter 2013
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 178: Credit Booms, Banking Crises, and the Current Account image
Updated: May 5, 2014
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 177: Error Correction Dynamics of House Prices: An Equilibrium Benchmark image
Updated: May 2, 2014
Error Correction Dynamics of House Prices: An Equilibrium Benchmark
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 176: What Drives the German Current Account? And How Does it Affect Other EU Member States? image
Updated: April 30, 2014
What Drives the German Current Account? And How Does it Affect Other EU Member States?
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 175: Banking on Seniority: The IMF and the Sovereign's Creditors image
Updated: April 30, 2014
Banking on Seniority: The IMF and the Sovereign's Creditors
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 174: Inflation Targeting and the Anchoring of Inflation Expectations: Cross-country Evidence from Consensus Forecasts image
Updated: April 30, 2014
Inflation Targeting and the Anchoring of Inflation Expectations: Cross-country Evidence from Consensus Forecasts
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 173: Minimum Wages and Firm Employment: Evidence from China image
Updated: April 30, 2014
Minimum Wages and Firm Employment: Evidence from China
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 172: Trade Linkages and the Globalisation of Inflation in Asia and the Pacific image
Updated: April 30, 2014
Trade Linkages and the Globalisation of Inflation in Asia and the Pacific
Globalization Institute Publications
2013 Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute Annual Report
Updated: March 31, 2014
The Globalization Institute's 2013 annual report highlights the work of the Institute's staff and Research Associates over the past year. The lead articles address the importance of innovations in transportation technology as drivers of globalization and alternative ways of measuring the external value of the dollar.
Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute
Is the Tide Turning Back?
Updated: March 25, 2014
Economic activity improved for the world during the second half of 2013 as year-over-year growth ticked up to 3 percent with the acceleration in advanced economies.
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 171: Capital Controls as an Instrument of Monetary Policy image
Updated: February 27, 2014
Capital Controls as an Instrument of Monetary Policy
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 170: Monetary Policy Shocks and Foreign Investment Income: Evidence from a Large Bayesian VAR image
Updated: February 10, 2014
Monetary Policy Shocks and Foreign Investment Income: Evidence from a Large Bayesian VAR
Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute
Global Economic Growth Acceleration Tempered by Deflation Risks
Updated: January 31, 2014
The global economy is expected to post increased growth in 2014 after expanding at 3.0 percent in 2013.
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 169: A Contribution to the Chronology of Turning Points in Global Economic Activity (1980-2012) image
Updated: January 24, 2014
A Contribution to the Chronology of Turning Points in Global Economic Activity (1980-2012)
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 168: Vertical Integration and Supplier Finance image
Updated: January 16, 2014
Vertical Integration and Supplier Finance
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 167: The Boy Who Cried Bubble: Public Warnings against Riding Bubbles image
Updated: January 14, 2014
The Boy Who Cried Bubble: Public Warnings against Riding Bubbles
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 166: Database of Global Economic Indicators (DGEI): A Methodological Note image
Updated: January 9, 2014
Database of Global Economic Indicators (DGEI): A Methodological Note
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 165: Monitoring Housing Markets for Episodes of Exuberance: An Application of the Phillips et al. (2012, 2013) GSADF Test on the Dallas Fed International House Price Database image
Updated: January 9, 2014
Monitoring Housing Markets for Episodes of Exuberance: An Application of the Phillips et al. (2012, 2013) GSADF Test on the Dallas Fed International House Price Database

 

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