2016

Research Publications
Mexico Economy Slows in Fourth Quarter
Updated: February 5, 2016
Mexico’s economy grew in the fourth quarter, although at a slower pace than in the third.
Research Dept. Working Papers
Working Paper No. 1601: Why Does the FDIC Sue? image
Updated: February 4, 2016
Cases the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) pursues against the directors and officers of failed commercial banks for (gross) negligence are important for the corporate governance of U.S. commercial banks.
Research Dept. Working Papers
Working Paper No. 1602: Targeted Business Incentives and the Debt Behavior of Households image
Updated: February 4, 2016
The empirical effects of place-based tax incentive schemes designed to aid low-income communities are unclear.
Economic Indicators
Austin Economic Indicators, Feb. 2016 image
Updated: February 4, 2016
The Austin economy continued to expand in December. The Austin Business-Cycle Index grew strongly, but job growth moderated to a modest 1.1 percent annualized rate.
National Economic Update
Labor Market Strength Supports U.S. Outlook
Updated: February 3, 2016
Data released since the December 2015 Federal Open Market Committee meeting supports persistent, yet softer, growth.
Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute
Subdued Emerging Economy Growth Prospects, Uncertainty Loom Large
Updated: February 2, 2016
Emerging economies’ slowdown weighed on the modest recovery in advanced economies in 2015, weakening the 2016–17 global growth outlook somewhat.
Research Publications
Signs That Slower Growth Will Persist in the Regional Economy
Updated: February 1, 2016
The Eleventh District economy continued its modest growth through the end of 2015 even as the near-term outlook dimmed.
Research Publications
Behind the Numbers: PCE Inflation Update, December 2015
Updated: February 1, 2016
The headline, or all-items, PCE price index fell at 1.1 percent annualized rate in December.
Economic Indicators
Houston Economic Indicators, Feb. 2016 image
Updated: February 1, 2016
Employment continued to grow in Houston last year. The metro area added 100,200 fewer jobs than in 2014, thanks to the sharp decline in oil prices.
Research & Data
Trimmed Mean PCE Inflation Rate
Updated: February 1, 2016
The Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate for December was an annualized 0.9 percent. According to the BEA, the overall PCE inflation rate for December was -1.1 percent, annualized, while the inflation rate for PCE excluding food and energy was 0.5 percent.
Economic Indicators
San Antonio Economic Indicators, Jan. 2016 image
Updated: January 28, 2016
The San Antonio economy continued to expand moderately in December. Job growth dipped slightly negative, contrasting with the continued mild growth in the state.
Economic Indicators
Permian Basin Economic Indicators, Fourth Quarter 2015 image
Updated: January 27, 2016
The Permian Basin economy continued to weaken in the fourth quarter as West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices fell over 20 percent. The drop in drilling activity has led to job cuts, moving the unemployment rate higher. The sluggish job market continues to dampen both regional retail sales and the housing market.
Economic Indicators
El Paso Economic Indicators, Jan. 2016 image
Updated: January 27, 2016
The El Paso economy expanded in 2015. Payroll employment grew at a 2.5 percent pace, higher than the state's 1.4 percent.
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey
Texas Service Sector Activity Increases at a Slower Pace as Optimism Wanes
Updated: January 26, 2016
Texas service sector activity continued to reflect expansion in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey. The revenue index, a key measure of state service sector conditions, fell from 15.2 to 10.0, indicating activity increased but at a slower pace than in December.
Economic Indicators
DFW Economic Indicators, Jan. 2016 image
Updated: January 26, 2016
The Dallas-Fort Worth economy continued to expand at a rapid clip in December. For all of 2015, DFW employment grew 3.3 percent, outpacing both the state at 1.5 percent and the nation at 1.9 percent.
Economic Indicators
Texas Economic Indicators, Jan. 2016 image
Updated: January 25, 2016
The Texas economy expanded in December. Payroll employment increased during the month; however, unemployment continued to edge up. Housing starts climbed in November, and home sales strengthened in December. November exports continued to fall, and the estimated value of the Texas Leading Index dipped further in December following November's decline.
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas Manufacturing Activity Falls Sharply
Updated: January 25, 2016
Texas factory activity fell sharply in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index--a key measure of state manufacturing conditions--dropped 23 points, from 12.7 to -10.2, suggesting output declined this month after growing throughout fourth quarter 2015.
Research & Data
Texas Employment Forecast
Updated: January 22, 2016
Incorporating December Texas employment and leading index data into the Dallas Fed’s employment forecast leads to a 2016 estimate of 1.1 percent growth (December/December), slightly below the 1.4 percent rate of growth in 2015. The forecast suggests 131,700 jobs will be added to the state this year, and employment in December 2016 will be 12.0 million.
Economic Indicators
Houston Economic Indicators, Jan. 2016 image
Updated: January 14, 2016
Houston is treading water as oil-related losses abate and the region gets help from health, construction, and refining and petrochemicals. The outlook remains very soft.
Research Publications
Dallas Beige Book
Updated: January 13, 2016
The Eleventh District economy grew at a modest pace over the last six weeks.
Economic Indicators
Austin Economic Indicators, Jan. 2016 image
Updated: January 7, 2016
Austin economic growth was strong in November. The Austin Business-Cycle Index continued to grow above trend, while jobs climbed at a rapid 4.6 percent annualized rate.

 

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