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Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey

October 29, 2019

Results Table

Report


Historical data are available from January 2007 to the most current release month.

Business Indicators Relating to Facilities and Products in Texas
Current (versus previous month)
Indicator Oct Index Sep Index Change Series
Average
Trend* % Reporting Increase % Reporting
No Change
% Reporting Decrease

Revenue

15.4

12.9

+2.5

12.1

119(+)

29.6

56.2

14.2

Employment

9.1

6.5

+2.6

6.7

116(+)

16.4

76.3

7.3

Part–Time Employment

2.7

1.4

+1.3

1.8

9(+)

6.9

88.9

4.2

Hours Worked

1.7

2.4

–0.7

2.8

36(+)

7.7

86.3

6.0

Wages and Benefits

19.9

14.1

+5.8

14.6

125(+)

21.5

76.9

1.6

Input Prices

24.5

21.6

+2.9

25.4

126(+)

28.2

68.1

3.7

Selling Prices

–1.0

2.5

–3.5

5.5

1(–)

10.0

79.0

11.0

Capital Expenditures

9.5

13.0

–3.5

10.8

122(+)

16.4

76.7

6.9

General Business Conditions
Current (versus previous month)
Indicator Oct Index Sep Index Change Series
Average
Trend** % Reporting Improved % Reporting
No Change
% Reporting Worsened

Company Outlook

10.7

4.1

+6.6

6.1

2(+)

18.8

73.1

8.1

General Business Activity

1.8

6.3

–4.5

3.9

5(+)

16.1

69.6

14.3


Indicator Oct Index Sep Index Change Series
Average
Trend* % Reporting Increase % Reporting
No Change
% Reporting Decrease

Outlook Uncertainty†

18.0

15.4

+2.6

11.9

21(+)

24.3

69.5

6.3

Business Indicators Relating to Facilities and Products in Texas
Future (six months ahead)
Indicator Oct Index Sep Index Change Series
Average
Trend* % Reporting Increase % Reporting
No Change
% Reporting Decrease

Revenue

38.1

33.3

+4.8

37.9

128(+)

48.5

41.1

10.4

Employment

23.1

21.9

+1.2

22.2

127(+)

31.1

60.9

8.0

Part–Time Employment

8.3

3.3

+5.0

6.7

4(+)

15.0

78.3

6.7

Hours Worked

6.9

4.1

+2.8

5.4

38(+)

9.3

88.3

2.4

Wages and Benefits

42.0

37.5

+4.5

36.5

154(+)

43.4

55.3

1.4

Input Prices

40.6

34.3

+6.3

44.5

154(+)

45.4

49.7

4.8

Selling Prices

20.7

19.6

+1.1

23.4

126(+)

28.3

64.1

7.6

Capital Expenditures

21.9

20.3

+1.6

24.2

127(+)

29.5

63.0

7.6

General Business Conditions
Future (six months ahead)
Indicator Oct Index Sep Index Change Series
Average
Trend** % Reporting Improved % Reporting
No Change
% Reporting Worsened

Company Outlook

10.7

11.6

–0.9

17.0

10(+)

24.9

61.0

14.2

General Business Activity

0.2

6.2

–6.0

13.6

2(+)

19.9

60.4

19.7

Texas Retail Outlook Survey

October 29, 2019

Historical data are available from January 2007 to the most current release month.

Business Indicators Relating to Facilities and Products in Texas
Retail (versus previous month)
Indicator Oct Index Sep Index Change Series
Average
Trend* % Reporting Increase % Reporting
No Change
% Reporting Decrease
Retail Activity in Texas

Sales

7.5

7.7

–0.2

6.8

2(+)

28.1

51.3

20.6

Employment

4.8

–3.1

+7.9

2.4

1(+)

11.7

81.4

6.9

Part–Time Employment

3.5

–3.9

+7.4

–1.6

1(+)

8.8

86.0

5.3

Hours Worked

–11.2

–7.5

–3.7

–1.3

3(–)

4.8

79.2

16.0

Wages and Benefits

12.8

5.3

+7.5

9.7

104(+)

17.9

77.0

5.1

Input Prices

11.6

17.8

–6.2

19.1

45(+)

16.5

78.6

4.9

Selling Prices

11.5

15.5

–4.0

10.3

31(+)

16.0

79.5

4.5

Capital Expenditures

6.9

3.8

+3.1

9.5

9(+)

13.8

79.3

6.9

Inventories

–6.5

–4.0

–2.5

3.9

2(–)

14.2

65.1

20.7

Companywide Retail Activity

Companywide Sales

12.8

8.3

+4.5

8.5

4(+)

28.5

55.8

15.7

Companywide Internet Sales

3.7

4.2

–0.5

6.9

18(+)

15.5

72.7

11.8

General Business Conditions, Retail
Current (versus previous month)
Indicator Oct Index Sep Index Change Series
Average
Trend** % Reporting Improved % Reporting
No Change
% Reporting Worsened

Company Outlook

11.1

–0.1

+11.2

4.4

1(+)

19.3

72.5

8.2

General Business Activity

–0.2

–2.0

+1.8

–0.1

11(–)

17.4

65.0

17.6

Outlook Uncertainty
Current (versus previous month)
Indicator Oct Index Sep Index Change Series
Average
Trend* % Reporting Increase % Reporting
No Change
% Reporting Decrease

Outlook Uncertainty†

13.8

11.3

+2.5

10.4

17(+)

22.4

69.0

8.6

Business Indicators Relating to Facilities and Products in Texas, Retail
Future (six months ahead)
Indicator Oct Index Sep Index Change Series
Average
Trend* % Reporting Increase % Reporting
No Change
% Reporting Decrease
Retail Activity in Texas

Sales

21.2

19.8

+1.4

32.8

5(+)

34.6

52.0

13.4

Employment

5.1

8.6

–3.5

12.6

2(+)

15.0

75.1

9.9

Part–Time Employment

4.9

3.6

+1.3

0.7

2(+)

11.5

81.9

6.6

Hours Worked

–2.5

–2.3

–0.2

2.8

12(–)

3.8

89.9

6.3

Wages and Benefits

23.6

32.1

–8.5

27.3

130(+)

28.3

67.0

4.7

Input Prices

29.1

21.2

+7.9

33.1

126(+)

38.2

52.7

9.1

Selling Prices

25.0

23.5

+1.5

29.1

126(+)

32.1

60.7

7.1

Capital Expenditures

14.2

7.9

+6.3

18.6

5(+)

19.6

75.0

5.4

Inventories

–9.8

–5.2

–4.6

8.5

6(–)

15.5

59.2

25.3

Companywide Retail Activity

Companywide Sales

24.2

26.7

–2.5

31.3

127(+)

34.0

56.2

9.8

Companywide Internet Sales

13.1

16.6

–3.5

21.9

39(+)

19.6

73.9

6.5

General Business Conditions, Retail
Future (six months ahead)
Indicator Oct Index Sep Index Change Series
Average
Trend** % Reporting Improved % Reporting
No Change
% Reporting Worsened

Company Outlook

4.3

6.6

–2.3

17.5

2(+)

24.0

56.2

19.7

General Business Activity

–7.2

–1.2

–6.0

13.2

3(–)

17.9

57.0

25.1

*Shown is the number of consecutive months of expansion or contraction in the underlying indicator. Expansion is indicated by a positive index reading and denoted by a (+) in the table. Contraction is indicated by a negative index reading and denoted by a (–) in the table.

**Shown is the number of consecutive months of improvement or worsening in the underlying indicator. Improvement is indicated by a positive index reading and denoted by a (+) in the table. Worsening is indicated by a negative index reading and denoted by a (–) in the table.

†Added to survey in January 2018.

Data have been seasonally adjusted as necessary, with the exception of the outlook uncertainty index which does not yet have a sufficiently long time series to test for seasonality.

Questions regarding the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey can be addressed to Christopher Slijk at christopher.slijk@dal.frb.org.

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