The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas serves the public by contributing to national monetary policy, supervising and regulating financial institutions, and helping maintain a strong payments system. en-us https://www.dallasfed.org/rss/ https://www.dallasfed.org/ https://www.dallasfed.org/-/media/Images/img/logo_gray.png https://www.dallasfed.org/rss/ https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/aus/2026/aus2602 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/aus/2026/aus2602 Thu, 23 Apr 2026 13:27:00 CST Austin employment fell in February, while the unemployment rate declined and wages rose. Housing prices declined and months of inventory increased. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/des/2026/2601/2601update https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/des/2026/2601/2601update Thu, 23 Apr 2026 09:30:00 CST In response to recent developments in the global oil market, we conducted a follow-up to the first quarter survey that published March 25. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0417 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0417 Fri, 17 Apr 2026 08:00:00 CST Recent research quantifies the impact of 2026 Iran war on U.S. inflation and household inflation expectations under a range of scenarios. Under a plausible scenario, 2026 fourth-quarter-over-fourth quarter headline personal consumption expenditures inflation would increase by 0.6 percentage points. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2611 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2611 Thu, 16 Apr 2026 14:18:00 CST Economic theory has long linked employer power to discrimination, but theory and empirical applications have seldom considered which form of power matters. This paper distinguishes between labor market and product market power and designs a study to isolate the role each plays in allowing discrimination to persist. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0416 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0416 Thu, 16 Apr 2026 08:00:00 CST Divergence of core and trimmed mean inflation readings prompt reassessment of which one is the best indicator of medium-term trend. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2026/swe2609 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2026/swe2609 Wed, 15 Apr 2026 09:00:00 CST Home insurance premiums have risen dramatically in the postpandemic years, with the median Texas homeowner paying 60 percent more for home insurance in 2024 compared with 2019, American Community Survey data show. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2610 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2610 Tue, 14 Apr 2026 16:35:00 CST This paper tests managed charging with an experiment including all electric vehicles within a California utility. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0414 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0414 Tue, 14 Apr 2026 11:47:00 CST Retail electricity rates are higher in California than Texas, but electricity cost accounts for a lower share of household budgets in California. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2026/swe2608 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2026/swe2608 Fri, 10 Apr 2026 09:00:00 CST Gary Hoover, author of "Ladder or Lottery: Economic Promises and the Reality of Who Gets Ahead," discusses why some people who follow the rules for getting ahead instead fall behind. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/pce https://www.dallasfed.org/research/pce Thu, 09 Apr 2026 11:00:00 CST The Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate over the 12 months ending in February was 2.3 percent. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0409 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0409 Thu, 09 Apr 2026 08:00:00 CST Overall, homeowners insurance is becoming less affordable, yet this deterioration in affordability is not well captured by either of the most widely used inflation measures—CPI or PCE—both designed to track price levels rather than affordability or household financial strain. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2026/swe2607 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2026/swe2607 Wed, 08 Apr 2026 10:00:00 CST Ciudad Juarez, across the Rio Grande from El Paso, lost nearly one-fifth of its manufacturing jobs over a two-year period. The decline reflects the city’s move into higher value-added, less labor-intensive production of electronics and hardware demanded for the U.S.’s burgeoning data center build-out. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2609 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2609 Tue, 07 Apr 2026 10:30:00 CST This paper shows how to assess the inflationary impact of the rise in the price of oil caused by the 2026 Iran War. https://www.dallasfed.org/news/speeches/logan/2026/lkl260402 https://www.dallasfed.org/news/speeches/logan/2026/lkl260402 Thu, 02 Apr 2026 09:15:00 CST When it comes to the balance sheet, as with all of the Fed’s work, the focus needs to be on how we can best serve the public and support a strong economy and financial system. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0402 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0402 Thu, 02 Apr 2026 09:14:00 CST Some observers have argued that the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet is too large and complicates the central bank’s operations. We catalog options for reducing the Fed’s major liabilities, which help determine the size of the balance sheet, as well as a framework for assessing the costs and benefits of those options. https://www.dallasfed.org/news/speeches/speeches-leaders/2026/260402greenwald https://www.dallasfed.org/news/speeches/speeches-leaders/2026/260402greenwald Thu, 02 Apr 2026 09:00:00 CST Remarks by Emily Greenwald on April 2, 2026 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2026/swe2606 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2026/swe2606 Wed, 01 Apr 2026 09:00:00 CST Texas' booming private space industry is making access to space broader and cheaper than ever before. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tssos/2026/2603 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tssos/2026/2603 Tue, 31 Mar 2026 09:30:00 CST Texas service sector activity was little changed in March, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0331 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0331 Tue, 31 Mar 2026 08:00:00 CST For policymakers, interpreting labor market conditions increasingly requires looking beyond headline payroll growth and incorporating timely measures of immigration and labor supply. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2608 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2608 Mon, 30 Mar 2026 17:58:00 CST Using confidential microdata from Japan and exploiting a quasi-exogenous reform that expanded foreign investment opportunities in China, this paper assesses empirically how this reform affected employment at firms in both the host country (China) and the home country (Japan). https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tmos/2026/2603 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tmos/2026/2603 Mon, 30 Mar 2026 09:32:00 CST Texas factory activity continued to rise in March, but at a slower pace than the previous month, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/bcs/2026/bcs2602 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/bcs/2026/bcs2602 Mon, 30 Mar 2026 09:31:00 CST Loan volume and demand notably accelerated in March. The upward momentum was driven by real estate loans, especially commercial real estate. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tbos/2026/2603q https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tbos/2026/2603q Mon, 30 Mar 2026 09:30:00 CST The Dallas Fed asked a series of special questions in the Texas Business Outlook Surveys on wages, prices and outlook concerns. https://www.dallasfed.org/banking/pubs/dfb/2026/2604 https://www.dallasfed.org/banking/pubs/dfb/2026/2604 Wed, 25 Mar 2026 10:00:00 CST Recent high-profile bankruptcies of firms relying on private credit financing have raised concerns that relatively opaque and riskier credit could hide broader systemic risk. Several banks announced asset write-downs from exposure to these bankruptcies. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/des/2026/2601 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/des/2026/2601 Wed, 25 Mar 2026 09:30:00 CST Activity in the oil and gas sector increased in first quarter 2026, according to oil and gas executives responding to the Dallas Fed Energy Survey. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0324 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0324 Tue, 24 Mar 2026 08:00:00 CST The rise in homeowners insurance premiums since the pandemic is not just a pricing issue; it is a growing source of financial stress, inequality and geographic sorting. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2607 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2607 Mon, 23 Mar 2026 18:00:00 CST From early 2021 to early 2024, the U.S. experienced an unprecedented boom in unauthorized immigration, followed by a rapid slowdown beginning in mid-2024. This paper provides the first systematic empirical assessment of the labor- and housing-market effects of this episode. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/update/mex/2026/2602 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/update/mex/2026/2602 Mon, 23 Mar 2026 17:00:00 CST Mexico’s monthly proxy for GDP fell 0.9 percent in January after the economy expanded an upwardly revised 1.8 percent in 2025. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/agsurvey/2026/ag2601 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/agsurvey/2026/ag2601 Mon, 23 Mar 2026 09:30:00 CST Bankers responding to the first-quarter survey reported slightly worsening conditions across most of the Eleventh District. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/agsurvey/2026/ag2601 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/agsurvey/2026/ag2601 Mon, 23 Mar 2026 09:30:00 CST Bankers responding to the first-quarter survey reported slightly worsening conditions across most of the Eleventh District. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2026/swe2605 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2026/swe2605 Mon, 23 Mar 2026 09:00:00 CST A fair amount of excess supply remains in some markets, and new properties are facing longer lease-up timelines. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2606 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2606 Fri, 20 Mar 2026 16:35:00 CST Artificial-intelligence-driven data centers are reversing two decades of flat U.S. electricity demand and have generated questions about how this growth will impact electricity prices. This paper quantifies this effect using an hourly, unit-level least-cost dispatch model covering wholesale electricity markets in the continental United States. https://www.dallasfed.org/banking/pubs/dfb/2026/2603-ruralbanking-garcia https://www.dallasfed.org/banking/pubs/dfb/2026/2603-ruralbanking-garcia Fri, 20 Mar 2026 10:12:00 CST Many of the Eleventh District’s rural counties rely on community bank branches, particularly in Texas and Louisiana. These rural areas are important to the production and support of the cattle, agricultural and energy industries for the district, the U.S. and the world. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0320 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0320 Fri, 20 Mar 2026 08:00:00 CST The ongoing military conflict between Iran and the United States and Israel has raised concerns about a major disruption of global oil supplies driven by geopolitical events. This conflict has involved attacks on oil infrastructure in neighboring countries, including Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/pubs/25trade/a4 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/pubs/25trade/a4 Fri, 06 Mar 2026 09:00:00 CST While China’s trade and investment with Mexico have attracted significant attention, Taiwan firms’ investment in both Mexico and Texas is arguably more significant for the evolution of U.S.–Mexico production networks. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0305 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0305 Thu, 05 Mar 2026 07:39:00 CST Even a modest data center boom could put upward pressure on retail electricity prices, impacting PCE inflation. https://www.dallasfed.org/fed/leadership/logan/listeningin360/2026/2602 https://www.dallasfed.org/fed/leadership/logan/listeningin360/2026/2602 Wed, 04 Mar 2026 08:53:00 CST In a recent visit to Austin, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan met with business, education and finance leaders focused on positioning the city’s technology sector for the future. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0303 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0303 Tue, 03 Mar 2026 08:00:00 CST With demand for electric vehicles failing to meet ambitious projections, automakers, battery companies and utilities are reassessing how best to deploy battery power. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2605 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2605 Mon, 02 Mar 2026 16:35:00 CST This paper introduces a novel measure of contagion intensity that significantly forecasts Bitcoin volatility, trading volume and market crashes. https://www.dallasfed.org/banking/pubs/risks/2026/25q4 https://www.dallasfed.org/banking/pubs/risks/2026/25q4 Mon, 02 Mar 2026 08:20:00 CST Commercial real estate, interest rates and cybersecurity are current risks for banks in the Eleventh District, per fourth quarter 2025 data. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/dfw/2026/dfw2602 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/dfw/2026/dfw2602 Mon, 02 Mar 2026 08:14:00 CST The Dallas–Fort Worth economy rebounded in recent months. Employment increased in December while unemployment declined. Hourly earnings declined but remained higher than the state and nation as well as year-ago levels. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2026/swe2604 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2026/swe2604 Fri, 27 Feb 2026 09:00:00 CST Ken Simonson, chief economist for the Associated General Contractors of America, discusses the state of commercial construction in Texas and the U.S., including ongoing office and data center activity. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tssos/2026/2602 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tssos/2026/2602 Tue, 24 Feb 2026 09:30:00 CST Texas service sector activity grew slightly in February, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0224 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0224 Tue, 24 Feb 2026 08:00:00 CST Artificial intelligence’s impact on the labor market will depend on whether the technology automates or augments worker tasks. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2604 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2604 Mon, 23 Feb 2026 16:17:00 CST The adoption of new technologies is widely viewed as a key driver of the rapid growth of nonbanks in the U.S. mortgage market after the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). This paper studies technology investment by mortgage lenders and its implications for post-GFC market structure. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tmos/2026/2602 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tmos/2026/2602 Mon, 23 Feb 2026 09:31:00 CST Texas factory activity continued to rise in February, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tbos/2026/2602q https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tbos/2026/2602q Mon, 23 Feb 2026 09:30:00 CST The Dallas Fed asked a series of special questions in the Texas Business Outlook Surveys on demand, regulation and hiring. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/heart https://www.dallasfed.org/research/heart Fri, 20 Feb 2026 12:14:00 CST This special report is a comprehensive look at the industry clusters, history and demographics shaping twelve of Texas’ key metropolitan areas with additional tables on average annual earnings, demographics and more. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2026/swe2603 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2026/swe2603 Fri, 20 Feb 2026 12:00:00 CST Texas economic output grew in 2025 but did so with near-zero job growth. The last time that happened was in 2002–03, when the state emerged from the dot-com bust into an extended jobless recovery. https://www.dallasfed.org/banking/pubs/dfb/2026/2602 https://www.dallasfed.org/banking/pubs/dfb/2026/2602 Thu, 19 Feb 2026 10:12:00 CST How does a bank attract deposits and remain competitive when rates fluctuate and depositors are increasingly mobile? Managing the bank deposit franchise is a cornerstone of bank profitability and stability, and doing so has been challenging during the rapid rise in interest rates in 2022 and the subsequent regional banking turmoil. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2603 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2603 Tue, 17 Feb 2026 15:43:00 CST This paper proposes mean group and pooled estimators of impulse responses based on mixed-frequency auxiliary distributed lag (DL), autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) or vector autoregressive distributed lag (VARDL) estimating equations. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/bcs/2026/bcs2601 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/bcs/2026/bcs2601 Tue, 17 Feb 2026 09:31:00 CST Loan volume and demand continued to increase in February. The expansion in overall loan volume has been supported entirely by commercial real estate loans; residential real estate, consumer and commercial and industrial loan volumes have been declining since the end of 2025. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0217 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0217 Tue, 17 Feb 2026 08:00:00 CST Interest has recently increased in the question of whether the destabilization of inflation during the 1970s might repeat itself in the 2020s. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/update/mex/2026/2601 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/update/mex/2026/2601 Fri, 13 Feb 2026 14:37:00 CST Mexico's economy expanded at year-end 2025. GDP grew 1.2 percent year-over-year in the fourth quarter after contracting 0.2 percent in the third quarter. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/hou/2026/hou2601 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/hou/2026/hou2601 Fri, 13 Feb 2026 11:27:00 CST Houston’s labor market contracted from September through December 2025. Early benchmarking of employment data removed previously estimated job gains, bringing full-year 2025 job growth in Houston to near zero on-net. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/tei/2026/tei2602 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/tei/2026/tei2602 Thu, 12 Feb 2026 15:56:00 CST The Texas economy decelerated at the end of 2025. Overall, employment growth slowed notably in Texas and major metro areas in 2025 relative to 2024, though payrolls expanded in December. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/energy/indicators/2026/en2601 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/energy/indicators/2026/en2601 Thu, 12 Feb 2026 09:50:00 CST Global oil inventories are expected to rise over the next year as supply growth continues outpacing consumption. Chinese stockpiling has provided some price support. U.S. crude production is projected to remain stable supported by continued efficiency gains. https://www.dallasfed.org/cd/communities/2026/2602 https://www.dallasfed.org/cd/communities/2026/2602 Thu, 12 Feb 2026 09:00:00 CST While small businesses continue to face structural issues such as lack of financing and competition against larger firms, current conditions are not only exacerbating these issues but presenting new and unique challenges to business owners. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0212-levymccormick-repotiming https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0212-levymccormick-repotiming Thu, 12 Feb 2026 08:00:00 CST As system liquidity declines and rates of return rise, new types of participants enter repo markets as lenders, although some may not be able to reliably deploy cash in the early morning when markets are most active. The short tenor and early-morning timing of most private market repo transactions make domestic banks especially inelastic lenders in response to unanticipated demands for lending. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/ep/2026/ep2602 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/ep/2026/ep2602 Wed, 11 Feb 2026 16:53:00 CST Employment in El Paso contracted in the three months ended in December. The unemployment rate was unchanged. Single-family house permits decreased, and trade volumes grew. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/snm/2025/snm2504 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/snm/2025/snm2504 Wed, 11 Feb 2026 10:53:00 CST Employment in Las Cruces grew solidly in 2025. The unemployment rate ticked up in December but remains low compared with pre-pandemic levels. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2602 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2602 Tue, 10 Feb 2026 17:16:00 CST This paper uses Texas administrative data to assess the long-standing claim that teacher certification exams discriminate against underrepresented minority (URM) candidates. https://www.dallasfed.org/banking/pubs/dfb/2026/2601 https://www.dallasfed.org/banking/pubs/dfb/2026/2601 Tue, 10 Feb 2026 15:30:00 CST The increase in corporate power purchase agreements relative to utility PPAs means more opportunities for renewable energy developers, but it also presents higher counterparty and merchant tail risks for lenders involved in renewable energy project financing. https://www.dallasfed.org/news/speeches/logan/2026/lkl260210 https://www.dallasfed.org/news/speeches/logan/2026/lkl260210 Tue, 10 Feb 2026 11:59:00 CST Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan delivered these remarks at the FIA-SIFMA Asset Management Derivatives Forum in Austin, Texas. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0210-searls-aifinancing https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0210-searls-aifinancing Tue, 10 Feb 2026 08:00:00 CST Financing needs related to AI data center investments are likely to be large and persistent. While the overall economics of such investments remains a topic of much debate, the duration supply implications for U.S. interest rate markets have received less attention. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/aus/2026/aus2601 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/aus/2026/aus2601 Mon, 09 Feb 2026 11:16:00 CST Austin employment ticked up in December, and high-tech jobs decreased, while the unemployment rate declined and wages rose. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0205 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0205 Thu, 05 Feb 2026 08:30:00 CST A research workshop hosted by the Federal Reserve banks of Boston, Chicago and Dallas focused on trade-offs between increased efficiency and specialized expertise and the potential introduction of vulnerabilities that companies face when dealing with third-party service providers. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0203-patel-solar https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0203-patel-solar Tue, 03 Feb 2026 10:35:00 CST Texas is now the top state for utility-scale solar power generation capacity. However, developers of new solar projects face a changing operating environment, one lacking strong federal policy support but also featuring cost-boosting tariffs on imported solar module components. https://www.dallasfed.org/cd/communities/2026/2601 https://www.dallasfed.org/cd/communities/2026/2601 Fri, 30 Jan 2026 09:00:00 CST While challenging economic conditions were top of mind for many participants, they also considered personal and practical factors. https://www.dallasfed.org/news/speeches/logan/2026/lkl260129 https://www.dallasfed.org/news/speeches/logan/2026/lkl260129 Thu, 29 Jan 2026 16:10:00 CST Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan delivered these remarks at the SMU Science and Technology Law Review 2026 annual symposium, "Payments of the Future: Law, Innovation, and Access in a Digital Economy." https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tssos/2026/2601 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tssos/2026/2601 Tue, 27 Jan 2026 09:30:00 CST Texas service sector activity grew in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/dfw/2026/dfw2601 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/dfw/2026/dfw2601 Tue, 27 Jan 2026 07:56:00 CST The Dallas–Fort Worth economy slowed in November. Employment declined, while unemployment remained flat. Hourly earnings rose and were higher than the state and nation as well as above year-ago levels. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tmos/2026/2601 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tmos/2026/2601 Mon, 26 Jan 2026 09:31:00 CST Texas factory activity expanded solidly in January after contracting in December, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tbos/2026/2601q https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tbos/2026/2601q Mon, 26 Jan 2026 09:30:00 CST The Dallas Fed posed a series of questions on labor market conditions and capital expenditures to executives in the manufacturing and service sectors. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/tei/2026/tei2601 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/tei/2026/tei2601 Fri, 23 Jan 2026 15:56:00 CST The Texas economy decelerated toward the end of 2025. Employment fell in October and November, and the unemployment rate ticked up from September. https://www.dallasfed.org/fed/leadership/logan/listeningin360/2026/2601 https://www.dallasfed.org/fed/leadership/logan/listeningin360/2026/2601 Fri, 23 Jan 2026 09:28:00 CST Business and civic leaders told Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan that Denton has become a destination for business expansion due to the location in the northwest corner of the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area and the regular supply of graduates. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2026/swe2602 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2026/swe2602 Fri, 16 Jan 2026 14:16:00 CST Despite a relatively stable peso-dollar exchange rate that would normally favor shopping in the U.S., Mexican consumers increasingly stay closer to home. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/ep/2026/ep2601 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/ep/2026/ep2601 Fri, 16 Jan 2026 13:36:00 CST Employment in El Paso contracted in November, and the unemployment rate ticked down. Year over year, wages increased while home prices fell and inventories rose. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0115 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0115 Thu, 15 Jan 2026 08:00:00 CST House prices matter to more than just individual homebuyers and sellers. They are closely tied to consumer spending, business investment and the broader path of the economy. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0113 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0113 Tue, 13 Jan 2026 08:00:00 CST A sudden reversal in U.S. net unauthorized immigration has important implications for the demographic outlook, labor force participation, employment growth and local labor markets. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2601 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2026/wp2601 Mon, 12 Jan 2026 17:57:00 CST This paper approximates the finite-sample distribution of impulse response function (IRF) estimators that are just-identified with a weak instrument using the conventional local-to-zero asymptotic framework. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2026/swe2601 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2026/swe2601 Wed, 07 Jan 2026 09:00:00 CST A pandemic-era period of relatively low interest rates and rising house prices drew a record number of new real estate agents to the field. Home prices have since remained high, but elevated interest rates and slowing sales have made the industry less attractive. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0106 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0106 Tue, 06 Jan 2026 08:00:00 CST In recent years, unemployment has gradually ticked up, and job searchers report increased difficulty finding new work. Is this related to AI? https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2025/1231 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2025/1231 Wed, 31 Dec 2025 08:00:00 CST During a presentation and discussion hosted by the Global Institute last month, Steve Kamin discussed how tariffs, volatility and evolving payment technologies are challenging—but not yet dislodging—the dollar’s position as a reserve currency at the center of the global financial system. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/bcs/2025/bcs2508 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/bcs/2025/bcs2508 Tue, 30 Dec 2025 09:31:00 CST Loan volume and demand increased in December after decreasing in the previous month. Loan volume was driven up by commercial real estate loans. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tssos/2025/2512 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tssos/2025/2512 Tue, 30 Dec 2025 09:30:00 CST Texas service sector activity was unchanged in December, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2025/1230 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2025/1230 Tue, 30 Dec 2025 08:00:00 CST Nearly 30 percent of China's industrial firms operate at a loss, up from 20 percent before the pandemic. The question arises: How can this be sustained? https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tmos/2025/2512 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tmos/2025/2512 Mon, 29 Dec 2025 09:31:00 CST Texas factory activity contracted slightly in December after rising notably in November, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tbos/2025/2512q https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tbos/2025/2512q Mon, 29 Dec 2025 09:30:00 CST The Dallas Fed posed a series of questions on wages, prices, outlook concerns and artificial intelligence to executives in the manufacturing, service and retail sectors. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/hou/2025/hou2510 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/hou/2025/hou2510 Wed, 24 Dec 2025 11:27:00 CST Houston’s labor market grew modestly during the three months ending in September. The Houston Purchasing Managers Index and the Houston Leading Index were flat in November, and indexes of manufacturing input prices showed a deceleration in growth. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2025/1223 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2025/1223 Tue, 23 Dec 2025 08:00:00 CST China’s private sector debt ballooned from 2008 through 2016, among the largest and most sustained such increases historically. Notably, this Chinese credit growth was financed entirely from domestic savings, unlike many other examples of rapid credit expansion elsewhere. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/agsurvey/2025/ag2504 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/agsurvey/2025/ag2504 Mon, 22 Dec 2025 09:30:00 CST Bankers responding to the fourth-quarter survey reported stable conditions in the agricultural industry in most regions of the Eleventh District. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2025/wp2540 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/papers/2025/wp2540 Mon, 22 Dec 2025 08:00:00 CST This paper examines the underappreciated challenges that electric vehicle (EV) adoption poses for the distribution grid. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/update/mex/2025/2505 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/update/mex/2025/2505 Fri, 19 Dec 2025 14:37:00 CST Mexico’s GDP contracted in the third quarter , reflecting a 5.9 percent (annualized) decline in manufacturing output and a pullback in investment amid uncertainty about U.S. trade policy. https://www.dallasfed.org/fed/leadership/logan/listeningin360/2025/2506 https://www.dallasfed.org/fed/leadership/logan/listeningin360/2025/2506 Fri, 19 Dec 2025 14:30:00 CST Better known as a vacation destination for Texans looking to escape the heat for the waterfront, Galveston is boosting its contribution to the state’s economy with a variety of projects. https://www.dallasfed.org/fed/leadership/logan/listeningin360/2025/2507 https://www.dallasfed.org/fed/leadership/logan/listeningin360/2025/2507 Fri, 19 Dec 2025 14:30:00 CST Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan’s return to Houston on her 360 Listening Tour orbited around the commercialization of space. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/des/2025/2504 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/des/2025/2504 Wed, 17 Dec 2025 09:30:00 CST Activity in the oil and gas sector edged lower in fourth quarter 2025, according to oil and gas executives responding to the Dallas Fed Energy Survey. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2025/1216-sws-transmit https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2025/1216-sws-transmit Tue, 16 Dec 2025 08:00:00 CST The Federal Open Market Committee adjusts the stance of monetary policy primarily by changing its target range for the federal funds rate. A new measure examines rate transmission efficacy across interest rates in a variety of money markets. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2025/swe2519-otr-burke https://www.dallasfed.org/research/swe/2025/swe2519-otr-burke Fri, 12 Dec 2025 10:13:00 CST Jim Burke, president and chief executive officer of Vistra Corp., the largest competitive power producer in the country, discusses the outlook for electric power generation in Texas as data centers and artificial intelligence demands are expected to reframe the business. https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/tei/2025/tei2510 https://www.dallasfed.org/research/indicators/tei/2025/tei2510 Thu, 04 Dec 2025 15:56:00 CST Growth in the Texas economy appears to be slowing. The November Texas Business Outlook Surveys indicated slight increase in employment and mixed output growth.