A comprehensive list of recently added postings on Dallasfed.org.
International comparisons show AI effect on productivity
Because AI use varies across countries, we can draw on international data to investigate the relationship between AI exposure and productivity growth at the sector level. The positive relationship in the U.S. fits a pattern visible among countries and appears related to high AI use.
July 7, 2026
Should States Reduce Teacher Licensing Requirements? Evidence from the Rise of For-Profit Training Programs in Texas
This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of a Texas policy that relaxed teacher licensing requirements and created a large for-profit training industry.
July 6, 2026
Fort Worth Economic Indicators, May 2026
The Fort Worth–Arlington economy expanded in May. Payroll employment continued to grow, while the unemployment rate was unchanged.
July 6, 2026
Texas Economic Indicators, May 2026
The Texas economy expanded in May. Overall, employment grew and the labor force expanded modestly. The June Texas Business Outlook Surveys showed continued expansion in wages and benefits. Exports rose in April, while the Texas Leading Index ticked down in May.
July 3, 2026
Work from Home and Migration
This paper studies how full-time work from home affects migration and economic activity across cities.
July 1, 2026
Houston Economic Indicators, May 2026
Houston’s labor market grew moderately over the three months ending in May. Home prices in the metro declined over the past year. In commercial real estate, net asking rents for office and industrial space increased last year with little change in vacancy rate.
July 1, 2026
Semiparametric Local Projections
This paper proposes a semiparametric local projection estimator of nonlinear impulse response functions for a broad class of structural dynamic models relevant for applied macroeconomics, including models with nonlinearly transformed regressors, state dependent coefficients and nonlinear interactions between shocks and state variables.
June 30, 2026
Growth in Texas service sector activity accelerates
Texas service sector activity expanded at a faster pace in June than the prior month, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey.
June 30, 2026
Supplier networks transmit Fed rate moves through economy
An important way monetary policy affects the economy is through household spending. When the Federal Reserve increases or lowers interest rates, the effects do not end with just the businesses most exposed to the resulting changes in household spending.
June 30, 2026
Texas factory output growth slows further
Texas manufacturing output growth decelerated in June, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
June 29, 2026