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Research and analysis of economic trends and developments

Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

Observers often assert that stigma—a perception that depositors, investors or others will penalize an institution for borrowing from the discount window—keeps banks from borrowing when they should, making the facilities less effective. Dallas Fed Senior Vice President Sam Schulhofer-Wohl argues that some harms of discount window stigma can be mitigated regardless of whether stigma itself persists.

J. Scott Davis and Pon Sagnanert

The purchasing power parity theory of exchange rates is easily understood: A basket of goods should have the same price in different markets when that price is expressed in a common currency. However, the relationship between market-determined exchange rates and inflation shocks is not always straightforward. In the short run, central bank transparency can become an important determinant.

Luis A. Lopez, Nitzan Tzur-Ilan and Jackson Owen

Wildfire smoke pollution may significantly affect housing market activity in locations hundreds or even thousands of miles away from the fires.

Falk Bräuning, Victoria Ivashina, Ali Ozdagli and Jackson Owen

An evolving change affecting the expanding, highly leveraged corporate loan sector may impact how the economy responds to adverse shocks.

Enrique Martínez García and Lauren Spits

A review of market-based and private forecasters’ expectations suggests that U.S. housing may be at an inflection point. U.S. income growth and, more broadly, the robust U.S. labor market will likely help wring out pandemic-era excesses that led to rapidly deteriorating affordability.

Laila Assanie and Robert Leigh

The housing market slowed, with sales down and inventories rising. Data reflecting strain among small businesses and low- and moderate-income households appeared mixed. Some data point to rising stress, while others suggest resilience.

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Dallas Fed Economics