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Research and analysis of economic trends and developments

J. Scott Davis and Brendan Kelly

China’s private sector debt ballooned from 2008 through 2016, among the largest and most sustained such increases historically. Notably, this Chinese credit growth was financed entirely from domestic savings, unlike many other examples of rapid credit expansion elsewhere.

Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

The Federal Open Market Committee adjusts the stance of monetary policy primarily by changing its target range for the federal funds rate. A new measure examines rate transmission efficacy across interest rates in a variety of money markets.

Benjamin Hoham and Fang Yang

Analysts have taken notice of the large share of total U.S. spending attributable to the very highest earners. The concerns are that the emergence of K-shaped growth—bifurcated activity at an elevated rate among high earners and much more restrained among most others—may put the U.S. in greater economic peril.

Cameron Barrett

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, a broad package of federal spending and tax policies signed into law in July 2025, spells trouble for the residential solar industry.

J. Scott Davis and Lillian Derr

While recent levels of government borrowing have been high, private savings by U.S. residents have been elevated as well. As a result, overall borrowing for the entire U.S economy has been remarkably stable.

Garrett Golding and Reid Taylor

Many Texas residents remain skeptical about the reliability of the electric grid since massive dayslong outages in February 2021. Notably, the power supply situation has since improved, with capacity added over the past two years, primarily from solar and a tripling of battery storage capacity.

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Dallas Fed Economics