A comprehensive list of recently added postings on Dallasfed.org.
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 1.7 percent in 2025, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.3 to 2.1 percent.
July 18, 2025
Weekly Economic Index
The WEI is currently 2.37 percent, scaled to four-quarter GDP growth, for the week ended July 12 and 2.63 percent for July 5.
July 17, 2025
Texas firms open to AI as tariff work-around strategy
Firms are adopting AI and automation to offset rising tariff costs and shrinking margins, aiming to boost productivity and reduce labor needs amid economic challenges.
July 17, 2025
El Paso navigates new complexities in international economy
On President Lorie Logan’s second visit to El Paso as part of her 360 Listening Tour, she heard from business and community leaders about key issues for the Borderplex region, including immigration, trade and water.
July 16, 2025
Eleventh District Beige Book
Economic activity in the Eleventh District economy was up slightly over the reporting period. Nonfinancial services activity grew modestly while manufacturing production held steady. Retail sales declined notably.
July 16, 2025
Why Do Households Save and Work?
This paper develops and estimates a dynamic life-cycle model to quantify why households save and work. The model incorporates multiple sources of risk—health, marital status, wages, medical expenses and mortality—as well as endogenous labor supply and human capital accumulation, retirement, and bequest motives at the death of the first and last household member.
July 15, 2025
Opening remarks for moderated conversation at the World Affairs Council of San Antonio
Dallas Fed President Logan's base case is that monetary policy needs to hold tight for a while longer to bring inflation sustainably back to target, but she believes it's also quite plausible that some combination of softer inflation and a weakening labor market will call for lower rates fairly soon.
July 15, 2025
How sensitive is the Treasury cash-futures basis trade to funding condition shifts?
In Depth: The Treasury cash-futures basis trade, a very large, leveraged Treasury trade, has drawn scrutiny because unwinding positions amplified stress during the pandemic-era market shock of March 2020. Although the trade has since become more prominent, recent market activity suggest that financial stability concerns have not simultaneously grown.
July 15, 2025
Energy Indicators
Production from OPEC+ member countries is increasing. That’s keeping downward pressure on oil prices, tempering the impact of recent attacks on Iran by Israel and the United States.
July 9, 2025
China remains modest player in U.S.–Mexico trade despite growing scrutiny
Understanding Mexico’s evolving economic linkages with East Asia and China is critical to the future of the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement (USMCA trade accord) and the nearshoring and integration of North American manufacturing supply chains.
July 9, 2025