Essay by President Robert S. Kaplan

Taking the Long View: Creating a Better Future for Our Children and Grandchildren

April 16, 2018

Short-term cyclical developments are only part of the story in understanding the U.S. and global economies.

Economic Letter, Vol. 13, No. 6

Declining U.S. Labor Force Participation Rates Stand Out

April 12, 2018

Male and female prime-age labor force participation rates have declined in the U.S. at a faster rate than in most developed countries over the past 20 years, even among people with a college degree.

Economic Letter, Vol. 13, No. 5

Steeling the U.S. Economy for the Impacts of Tariffs

April 04, 2018

Proposed steel and aluminum tariffs would likely trim a quarter percent from the U.S. gross domestic product over the long run.

Southwest Economy, First Quarter 2018

Gone to Texas: Migration Vital to Growth in the Lone Star State

March 29, 2018

Texas has relied on a large and sustained influx of workers from other states and other countries. Significantly, this inflow brought the types of workers most in demand.

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Robert S. Kaplan

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Recent Additions

Research Working Papers

The Near Term Growth Impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act

This paper uses existing empirical estimates of the macroeconomic effects of tax changes to project the near term impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act on US GDP growth.

Economic Indicators

Permian Basin Economic Indicators

The Permian Basin economy remains robust in terms of employment, energy and housing. Employment expanded for the 18th month in a row during February.

Indicators

Energy Indicators

The Texas oil and gas sector remained strong through March. Prices for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil rose slightly in March, staying close to $63 per barrel. Oil production in the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford rose again. Texas oil and gas employment spiked up in February and is at its highest level since late 2015. U.S. Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) exports are at an all-time high and projected to increase further this year.

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Events

04/26/18
Investing in What Matters
Dallas
05/24/18
Technology-Enabled Disruption: Implications for Business, Labor Markets and Monetary Policy
Dallas Fed

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In Focus

Rob Kaplan Discusses Technology-Enabled Disruption

In a new series of videos, Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan discusses technology-enabled disruption and its likely impact on inflation, labor markets and the skills gap in the United States.

Facing the Storm: The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and the Impact of Hurricane Harvey

The 2017 Annual Report focuses on how the Dallas Fed served the Gulf Coast communities during Hurricane Harvey.

Featured Event

Technology-Enabled Disruption: Implications for Business, Labor Markets and Monetary Policy —Dallas, May 24–25: This conference aims to provide a better understanding of the technology-enabled disruption phenomenon and explore its implications for the broader economy, in particular, labor markets and the workforce.

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About the Dallas Fed

As one of twelve regional Reserve Banks in the Federal Reserve System, the Dallas Fed serves the Eleventh Federal Reserve District, which consists of Texas, northern Louisiana and southern New Mexico.

The Eleventh District