Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Texas Employment Forecast, June 20

The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 2.0 percent in 2025, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.5 to 2.5 percent.

June 20, 2025

Strong U.S. employment driven by sectors less sensitive to business cycles

The U.S. has enjoyed strong payroll job gains in the past couple of years despite generally restrictive monetary policy. The sectoral composition of employment reveals job growth has been concentrated in areas that are the least sensitive to national employment fluctuations over the business cycle.

April 01, 2025

Monetary policy implementation and the consolidated government balance sheet

This essay examines the trade-offs between different monetary policy implementation methods through the lens of the consolidated government balance sheet and income statement

April 15, 2025

U.S. tariff outcomes dependent on trading partner responses

n Depth: U.S. tariff policy has historically shifted among competing goals: providing revenue, protecting domestic markets and opening foreign markets to domestic producers. These goals are unlikely to be achieved simultaneously.

May 13, 2025

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360° Listening Tour

On the road with President Logan

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Events & Outreach

June 2-Oct. 31, 2025

Economy in Action Museum Impact Study

Dallas

July 10, 2025

A Conversation with Federal Reserve Governor Chris Waller

Dallas

Sept. 16-18, 2025

Digital Access Research Forum

Kansas City

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Trending International House Price Database

Global Institute

The Global Institute advances policy-driven research on global trade, international capital and migration flows, and knowledge and technology transfer with a particular interest in linkages with Mexico. Through this expertise, the Institute delivers insights and analysis to better inform U.S. monetary policy.

Dallas Fed Economics

Will AI replace your job? Perhaps not in the next decade

Has the Beige Book become disconnected from economic data?

U.S. tariff outcomes dependent on trading partner responses

Job cyclicality provides timely signals on Texas, U.S. business cycle

How Gen Z Texans use credit cards can shed light on their future financial health

Local communities gain capacity to improve economic outcomes as they complete Advance Together program

How valuable is a short-term credential for a job seeker? It’s complicated

Moving up, falling back or staying still: How income mobility in Texas differs by race, ethnicity

Eleventh District banks rely on core business, stay profitable as loan growth softens

Santa Teresa port of entry navigates future during fraught time

Texas’ economic outlook deteriorates as tariff-related uncertainty builds

Waco building on ‘Fixer Upper,’ Baylor notoriety to reinvent itself

Global Perspectives

The Dallas Fed’s signature speaker series returns in 2025 featuring engaging conversation with business leaders, economics and policy experts and Federal Reserve officials.

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