Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Texas Employment Forecast, July 18

The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 1.7 percent in 2025, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.3 to 2.1 percent.

July 18, 2025

Texas firms open to AI as tariff work-around strategy

Firms are adopting AI and automation to offset rising tariff costs and shrinking margins, aiming to boost productivity and reduce labor needs amid economic challenges.

July 17, 2025

Opening remarks for moderated conversation at the World Affairs Council of San Antonio

Dallas Fed President Logan's base case is that monetary policy needs to hold tight for a while longer to bring inflation sustainably back to target, but she believes it's also quite plausible that some combination of softer inflation and a weakening labor market will call for lower rates fairly soon.

July 15, 2025

How sensitive is the Treasury cash-futures basis trade to funding condition shifts?

In Depth: The Treasury cash-futures basis trade, a very large, leveraged Treasury trade, has drawn scrutiny because unwinding positions amplified stress during the pandemic-era market shock of March 2020. Although the trade has since become more prominent, recent market activity suggest that financial stability concerns have not simultaneously grown.

July 15, 2025

El Paso navigates new complexities in international economy

On President Lorie Logan’s second visit to El Paso as part of her 360 Listening Tour, she heard from business and community leaders about key issues for the Borderplex region, including immigration, trade and water.

July 16, 2025

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360° Listening Tour

On the road with President Logan

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Events & Outreach

Sept. 16, 2025

Digital Access Research Forum

Kansas City

Oct. 16, 2025

Third-party Service Provider Risks in the Economy and Financial System

Houston

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Fed 101: Reserve Banks and the roles of the Fed

What is a Reserve Bank?

Explore our Fed 101 guide to the roles and structure of the Federal Reserve, the U.S. central bank. Learn how the Dallas Fed and other regional Reserve Banks promote a strong economy in communities across the country.

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Global Institute

The Global Institute advances policy-driven research on global trade, international capital and migration flows, and knowledge and technology transfer with a particular interest in linkages with Mexico. Through this expertise, the Institute delivers insights and analysis to better inform U.S. monetary policy.

Dallas Fed Economics

Texas firms open to AI as tariff work-around strategy

How sensitive is the Treasury cash-futures basis trade to funding condition shifts?

Declining immigration weighs on GDP growth, with little impact on inflation

Advances in AI will boost productivity, living standards over time

How Gen Z Texans use credit cards can shed light on their future financial health

Local communities gain capacity to improve economic outcomes as they complete Advance Together program

How valuable is a short-term credential for a job seeker? It’s complicated

Moving up, falling back or staying still: How income mobility in Texas differs by race, ethnicity

China remains modest player in U.S.–Mexico trade despite growing scrutiny

Eleventh District banks rely on core business, stay profitable as loan growth softens

Santa Teresa port of entry navigates future during fraught time

Texas’ economic outlook deteriorates as tariff-related uncertainty builds

Global Perspectives

The Dallas Fed’s signature speaker series features engaging conversation with business leaders, economics and policy experts and Federal Reserve officials.

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