A comprehensive list of recently added postings on Dallasfed.org.
Productivity the key to raising living standards
There has been incredible stability in the rate of improvement in U.S. living standards over time. As first documented by Stanford economist Charles Jones, living standards, measured by GDP per capita, have risen at a pretty constant rate of about 2 percent per year in the U.S. for more than 150 years.
September 29, 2026
Texas manufacturing activity accelerates sharply even as outlook moderates
Texas manufacturing output growth accelerated sharply in September, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
September 28, 2026
Bankers report continued but slower growth in loan volume despite higher pricing
Loan volume and demand continued to grow but at a decelerated pace in September, a reversal of the six-month trend of accelerating growth.
September 28, 2026
Texas Business Outlook Surveys Special Questions
The Dallas Fed asked a series of special questions in the Texas Business Outlook Surveys on wages, prices and outlook concerns.
September 28, 2026
Human Capital Accumulation Across Space
This paper studies how human capital shapes the economic geography of development. The authors propose a model in which human capital acquisition costs vary across space, and regions with higher human capital invest more in human-capital-augmenting technology.
September 23, 2026
Mexican economy shows mixed signals in the third quarter
Mexico’s economy grew slightly in July, according to preliminary monthly GDP estimates.
September 23, 2026
Globalization, Inflation Dynamics and the Slope of the Phillips Curve
This paper studies how international trade has affected U.S. inflation dynamics. The authors develop a multi-region New Keynesian model of an open monetary union in which regional Phillips curve slopes depend on exposure to imported goods.
September 22, 2026
AI plays a role in weak labor market for college graduates
Evidence suggests that generative AI (GenAI) has reduced demand for positions in which the new technology can more efficiently complete tasks than humans.
September 22, 2026
Endogenous Markups and Trade Elasticities
This paper develops a search model of international trade where buyers allocate costly cognitive attention across suppliers.
September 21, 2026
Agricultural Survey, third quarter 2026
Bankers responding to the third-quarter survey reported deteriorating conditions across most of the Eleventh District.
September 21, 2026