U.S. Economy

Economic data

Trimmed Mean PCE

The Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate is an alternative measure of core inflation in the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE).

Weekly Economic Index

The WEI is an index of 10 daily and weekly indicators of real economic activity, scaled to align with the four-quarter GDP growth rate.

Market value of U.S. government debt

Par and market values are reported for gross federal debt, privately held gross federal debt and marketable Treasury debt.

U.S. economic data

List of all U.S. data produced by the Dallas Fed.

Discover articles and papers from our research team

Monetary policy

Inflation

Banking and finance

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Working papers and research

The Effects of U.S. Public R&D on Global Growth

This paper provides the first causal estimates of the global social returns to U.S. public R&D.

Work from Home and Migration

This paper studies how full-time work from home affects migration and economic activity across cities.

How Times Have Changed: The Impact of the 2026 Iran War on the U.S. Economy

The 2026 Iran war has raised the question of how exposed the U.S. economy is to geopolitical oil supply disruptions. This paper develops a two-country model of the global economy with large geopolitical oil supply disruptions that distinguishes between the U.S. economy and the rest of the world.

The Impacts of Unauthorized Immigration on U.S. Labor and Housing Markets: New Evidence from Administrative Microdata

From early 2021 to early 2024, the U.S. experienced an unprecedented boom in unauthorized immigration, followed by a rapid slowdown beginning in mid-2024. This paper provides the first systematic empirical assessment of the labor- and housing-market effects of this episode.

Processing Power: The Effect of Data Centers on Wholesale Electricity Markets

Artificial-intelligence-driven data centers are reversing two decades of flat U.S. electricity demand and have generated questions about how this growth will impact electricity prices. This paper quantifies this effect using an hourly, unit-level least-cost dispatch model covering wholesale electricity markets in the continental United States.

Social Network and Sentiment Contagion: Evidence from the Bitcoin Market

This paper introduces a novel measure of contagion intensity that significantly forecasts Bitcoin volatility, trading volume and market crashes.

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Explore the national economy

Mitigating tariffs via USMCA may have limited 2025 price increases

Higher tariffs do not automatically show up one-for-one in consumer prices. Price effects depend on how firms respond. Foreign exporters may cut pre-tariff prices to preserve access to the U.S. market, while domestic importers or retailers may absorb part of the increase with lower margins.

Alternative Trimmed Mean PCE inflation measure better tracked price surge

To gauge the medium-term trend in underlying inflation, the Dallas Fed’s Trimmed Mean personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation rate drops price changes in the tails of the monthly distribution of PCE components, minimizing the impact of outliers.