A comprehensive list of recently added postings on Dallasfed.org.
Texas Employment Forecast
Texas employment growth slowed to a 4.4 percent annualized rate in August after an upwardly revised 9.0 percent (previously 7.1 percent) in July.
September 17, 2021
Sudden Stops in Emerging Economies: The Role of World Interest Rates and Foreign Exchange Intervention
This paper shows how foreign exchange intervention can be used to avoid a sudden stop in capital flows in a small open emerging market economy.
September 10, 2021
Eleventh District Beige Book
Solid expansion continued in the Eleventh District economy, though surging COVID-19 cases has added uncertainty to outlooks. Growth in the manufacturing and nonfinancial services sectors remained strong, and retail sales rose in August after holding steady in recent months.
September 8, 2021
Houston Economic Indicators
There are signs that Houston’s third wave of COVID-19 infections that began in late July was depressing local economic activity by the end of August, albeit modestly. Payroll growth in July accelerated as Houston’s recovery continued.
September 7, 2021
Using inflation expectations to boost consumer spending poses policy risks
Communication that raises inflation expectations has been suggested as a policy tool for central banks. Our research suggests that this policy tool has some limitations that central banks must manage when implementing it.
September 7, 2021
Austin Economic Indicators
The Austin economy accelerated in July. The Austin Business-Cycle Index grew at a strong pace, led by declines in the unemployment rate and recent broad-based job gains.
September 2, 2021
Dallas-Fort Worth Economic Indicators, September 2, 2021
Recovery in the DFW economy continued at a healthy pace in July. The Dallas and Fort Worth business-cycle indexes expanded, buoyed by strong job growth.
September 2, 2021
Texas Service Sector Expansion Moderates in August
The pace of growth in the Texas service sector slowed in August, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey.
August 31, 2021
Treasury auctions during the pandemic: stresses but few surprises
The Treasury auction surprise indicator suggests that, despite a sharply negative reading in March 2020, Treasury auction outcomes have normalized.
August 31, 2021
San Antonio Economic Indicators
Growth in the San Antonio Business-Cycle Index decelerated in July as payrolls declined. The unemployment rate fell. Consumer spending moved sideways but remained above pre-COVID-19 levels.
August 27, 2021