Exploring energy markets and their impact on the economy
The Center for Energy and the Economy (CEE) produces academic research that expands and deepens our collective understanding of how developments in energy markets inform monetary policy. The Center, established in August 2025, serves as a platform to facilitate the dissemination of energy sector expertise throughout the Federal Reserve System and to the public.
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Research
Pollution Taxes and Clean Subsidies in an Open Economy
This paper shows that the same conditions that lead to pollution leakage enhance the efficacy of clean subsidies.
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Time-Limited Subsidies: Optimal Taxation with Implications for Renewable Energy Subsidies
Pigouvian subsidies are efficient, but output subsidies with uncertain or limited durations are not Pigouvian. This paper shows that optimal “time-limited” policies must also subsidize investment to correct externalities generated after the output subsidy ends.
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The Effects of Competition in the Retail Gasoline Industry
This paper estimates the effect of competition on incumbent firm pricing by using high frequency price data and the precise geographic location for all gas stations in California.
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What Fuels the Volatility of Electricity Prices?
This paper uses emergency outages of coal generators as an exogenous source of variation in the power generation stack to study how changes in marginal fuel affect real-time prices. Contrary to anecdotal evidence, the authors find that wholesale prices are less volatile when natural gas is on the margin more often.
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Do Bill Shocks Induce Energy Efficiency Investments?
This paper studies whether electricity bill shocks draw attention to the benefits of home energy efficiency investments.
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Geopolitical Oil Price Risk and Economic Fluctuations
This paper studies the general equilibrium effects of time-varying geopolitical risk in the oil market by simultaneously modeling downside risk from disasters, oil storage and the endogenous determination of oil price and macroeconomic uncertainty in the global economy.
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Insights
Better understanding of the workforce implications of rising electricity demand, particularly at the state and local levels, is critical to planning and anticipating its economic and policy impacts.
New Mexico has become a U.S. leader in energy production over the past five years, drawing on Permian Basin reserves in the southeastern corner of the state. Oil and gas proceeds fund an increasing share of state government, most notably involving education programs.
Activity in the oil and gas sector contracted slightly in the second quarter of 2025, according to oil and gas executives responding to the Dallas Fed Energy Survey.
Featured event
Energy and the Economy: The Geography of Energy Flows
The tenth joint energy conference hosted by the Federal Reserve Banks of Dallas and Kansas City will focus on the outlook for global energy markets as well as energy trade flows and developing domestic energy infrastructure. Participants include business leaders, central bankers, government officials, academics and financial market representatives.
November 14, 2025
Denver and virtual
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Center for Energy and the Economy