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Exploring energy markets and their impact on the economy

The Center for Energy and the Economy (CEE) produces academic research that expands and deepens our collective understanding of how developments in energy markets inform monetary policy. The Center, established in August 2025, serves as a platform to facilitate the dissemination of energy sector expertise throughout the Federal Reserve System and to the public.

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Recent research

Insights

Dallas Fed Economics

Even after the Iran conflict ends and the flow of crude oil through the Strait of Hormuz normalizes, U.S. fuel prices will likely remain unusually elevated relative to crude prices, owing to diminished refining operations. As a result, headline inflation measures could remain above where oil price trends would normally indicate for as long as a significant portion of global refining capacity stays offline.

Southwest Economy

The Texas economy strengthened in the second quarter, with job growth accelerating and business activity expanding. A pickup in temporary hiring is a positive signal for Texas’ labor market.

Dallas Fed Energy Survey

Activity in the oil and gas sector further expanded in third quarter 2026, according to oil and gas executives responding to the Dallas Fed Energy Survey.

Events of related interest

Energy and the Economy: Tail Risks, Tailwinds and Resiliency

This conference will investigate contours of tail risks in the energy sector, highlighting how such events affect broader economic conditions and what opportunities may emerge as conditions change.

Houston and virtual

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Center for Energy and the Economy

In Focus

Energy Indicators

Energy Indicators is a quarterly publication that provides a snapshot of the energy sector.

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Energy Slideshow

Charts containing the latest data on the outlook for energy in the region, the U.S. and around the world.

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Energy in the Eleventh District

Production, employment and economic activity data highlighting growth in oil and natural gas producing regions and the growing role of solar and wind power.

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