A comprehensive list of recently added postings on Dallasfed.org.
PCE Inflation Update, July 2018
The headline, or all-items, PCE price index rose 1.5 percent at an annualized rate in July, following a 1.4 percent annualized increase a month earlier.
August 30, 2018
Houston Economic Indicators
Softer employment growth in July slowed the business-cycle index to a more modest above-trend growth rate. Revisions to employment data dulled Houston’s stellar job growth in the six months following Hurricane Harvey.
August 29, 2018
Finite-Order VAR Representation of Linear Rational Expectations Models: With Some Lessons for Monetary Policy
This paper considers the characterization via finite-order VARs of the solution of a large class of linear rational expectations (LRE) models.
August 29, 2018
The Heterogeneous Effects of Global and National Business Cycles on Employment in U.S. States and Metropolitan Areas
This paper isolates the relative importance of global, national and region-specific shocks as drivers of the business cycle in individual U.S. states and metro areas.
August 28, 2018
San Antonio Economic Indicators
Growth in the San Antonio economy remained mild in July. The San Antonio Business-Cycle Index accelerated, though it remains below its long-term average.
August 23, 2018
Permian Basin Economic Indicators
Employment and the rig count growth have slowed over the last three months in the Permian Basin but overall, economic indicators show a robust economy.
August 22, 2018
El Paso Economic Indicators
A strong labor market is boosting the El Paso economy. Year-to-date jobs gains have been broad based, and trade through the El Paso port of entry is up. Housing affordability remains above average.
August 22, 2018
Dallas-Fort Worth Economic Indicators
Economic expansion in Dallas–Fort Worth (DFW) remained broad based and swift, with the July jobs report showing the metro area growing at a 3.0 percent annualized rate—well above its long-run average.
August 21, 2018
Where We Stand: Assessment of Economic Conditions and Implications for Monetary Policy
The purpose of this essay is to discuss economic conditions in the Eleventh District and the U.S. It discusses the implications of this assessment for the stance of monetary policy in the U.S.
August 21, 2018
Texas Economic Indicators
Texas’ economic expansion moderated in July. Employment growth softened, and growth in the Texas Business-Cycle Index slowed. The Dallas Fed’s Texas Business Outlook Surveys indicated a pickup in growth and continued optimism but also rising uncertainty.
August 20, 2018