A comprehensive list of recently added postings on Dallasfed.org.
Texas Employment Forecast
Incorporating July employment growth of 1.3 percent and new leading index data, the Texas Employment Forecast suggests jobs will grow 2.7 percent this year (December/December), with an 80 percent confidence band of 2.1 to 3.3 percent.
August 17, 2018
Does Medicaid Generosity Affect Household Income?
Using a Regression Kink Design (RKD) framework, this paper takes a uniquely
different approach to the identification of the effect of Medicaid generosity on household income.
August 9, 2018
A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area
This paper examines point and density forecasts of real GDP growth, inflation and unemployment from the European Central Bank’s Survey of Professional Forecasters.
August 8, 2018
Detecting Periods of Exuberance: A Look at the Role of Aggregation with an Application to House Prices
In this paper, we examine through simulation experiments the effect of cross-sectional aggregation on the power properties of SADF and GSADF unit root tests.
August 3, 2018
PCE Inflation Update, June 2018
The headline, or all-items, PCE price index rose 1.2 percent at an annualized rate in June, following a 2.4 percent annualized increase a month earlier.
August 3, 2018
Austin Economic Indicators
The Austin economy continued to expand at a solid pace in June. The Austin Business-Cycle Index grew near its long-term trend. Although labor markets remained constrained, the metro posted solid employment growth.
August 2, 2018
Houston Economic Indicators
The professional services sector continues to lead a broad-based acceleration in the Houston economy this year amid strong growth in the local labor force. Construction employment is surging as the existing-home market remains tight.
July 31, 2018
Hispanics in the U.S. Labor Market: A Tale of Three Generations
While relatively low education levels do not appear to hamper Hispanic immigrants’ employment, they play a key role in explaining low levels of employment among Hispanic immigrants’ descendants.
July 31, 2018
El Paso Economic Indicators
The El Paso economy continues to expand as the labor market continues to add jobs and home sales reach record levels. Trade through the El Paso port of entry rose, while maquiladora employment remained steady.
July 27, 2018
San Antonio Economic Indicators
Growth in the San Antonio economy remained mild in June. The San Antonio Business-Cycle Index continued to expand, though below its long-term average, as the unemployment rate held at a low level and job growth remained tepid.
July 26, 2018