Financial stability

 

• Jeffrey Fuhrer: When you don’t get ahead by simply working harder

  Economist Jeffrey Fuhrer, a nonresident fellow at the Brookings Institution and former Boston Fed director of research, discusses "The Myth that Made Us," his new book about inequalities in the nation’s economic system. He offers proposals to close the nation’s wealth gap in a discussion with Dallas Fed economist Pia Orrenius.

  November 03, 2023

• Michael Weber: The messenger affects who listens to your message

  University of Chicago Booth School associate professor Michael Weber explains how audiences are most receptive to monetary policy messaging delivered by Fed officials whose ethnic or gender background is similar to theirs. The tendency is also generally observed in other communications contexts, he tells Dallas Fed economist Pia Orrenius.

  November 03, 2023

• Research Department Working Papers

  Deposit Convexity, Monetary Policy and Financial Stability

  Banks and researchers conventionally model the response of deposit interest rates to market interest rates as constant, implying that deposits have nearly constant duration. Contrary to this standard assumption, this paper shows empirically that the “beta” of deposit rates to market rates increases as market rates rise, causing the duration of deposits to fall.

  October 10, 2023

• Research Department Working Papers

  High-Yield Debt Covenants and Their Real Effects

  Contrary to the prevailing belief that incurrence covenants offer limited protection for creditors, this paper reveals a significant and sudden decline in investment upon triggering these covenants.

  August 22, 2023

• Labor market recovery and wage growth unequal across age groups after pandemic

  The COVID-19 pandemic severely depressed U.S. labor force participation. Although the pandemic has eased, people ages 20–24 and those over 55 have been less likely to return to the workforce.

  August 02, 2023

• Research Department Working Papers

  Financial Shocks in an Uncertain Economy

  This paper focuses on some of the lessons we have learned over the years: (i) uncertainty and tail risk have cyclical variation; (ii) financial shocks can have a significant effect on macroeconomic outcomes; (iii) the impact of shocks is stronger in periods of high volatility.

  July 07, 2023

• EITC increases labor force participation among married Black mothers

  Research has shown that the Earned Income Tax Credit, the largest of the U.S. antipoverty programs, boosts labor force participation among single mothers. It does not, in the aggregate, have the same effect on married mothers.

  June 21, 2023

• Globalization Institute Working Paper

  On the Nexus of Monetary Policy and Financial Stability: Novel Asset Market Monitoring Tools for Building Economic Resilience and Mitigating Financial Risks

  This paper argues that asset pricing bubbles are an important source of financial instabilities.

  June 02, 2023

• Expanded central clearing would increase Treasury market resilience

  The smooth functioning of markets for Treasury securities is critically important to the U.S. economy. The federal government relies on the sale of Treasuries to finance essential services, and the Federal Reserve uses Treasury markets to implement monetary policy.

  December 23, 2022

• Lowest-income workers see accelerated earnings growth during pandemic

  In many respects, the pandemic has disproportionately harmed low-income workers. Earnings growth, triggered by labor shortages and high turnover rates, could be a rare exception.

  August 08, 2022