Fed credibility enhanced when public finds policymakers relatable
University of Chicago Booth School associate professor Michael Weber explains how audiences are especially receptive to monetary policy messaging delivered by Fed officials whose ethnic or gender background is similar to theirs and outlines the broader implications of such enhanced credibility.
December 06, 2023
Speech by President Lorie K. Logan
Ample reserves and the Friedman rule
How should central banks supply liquidity in an evolving global financial system? Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan shared her framework for weighing the tradeoffs in a keynote address at the European Central Bank.
November 10, 2023
Research Department Working Papers
Deposit Convexity, Monetary Policy and Financial Stability
Banks and researchers conventionally model the response of deposit interest rates to market interest rates as constant, implying that deposits have nearly constant duration. Contrary to this standard assumption, this paper shows empirically that the “beta” of deposit rates to market rates increases as market rates rise, causing the duration of deposits to fall.
October 10, 2023
Speech by President Lorie K. Logan
Financial conditions and the monetary policy outlook
In a speech to the National Association for Business Economics, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said the monetary policy implications of recent rises in long-term interest rates depend on whether the increases result from economic strength or elevated term premiums.
October 09, 2023
Research Department Working Papers
High-Yield Debt Covenants and Their Real Effects
Contrary to the prevailing belief that incurrence covenants offer limited protection for creditors, this paper reveals a significant and sudden decline in investment upon triggering these covenants.
August 22, 2023
Labor market recovery and wage growth unequal across age groups after pandemic
The COVID-19 pandemic severely depressed U.S. labor force participation. Although the pandemic has eased, people ages 20–24 and those over 55 have been less likely to return to the workforce.
August 02, 2023
Research Department Working Papers
Financial Shocks in an Uncertain Economy
This paper focuses on some of the lessons we have learned over the years: (i) uncertainty and tail risk have cyclical variation; (ii) financial shocks can have a significant effect on macroeconomic outcomes; (iii) the impact of shocks is stronger in periods of high volatility.
July 07, 2023
EITC increases labor force participation among married Black mothers
Research has shown that the Earned Income Tax Credit, the largest of the U.S. antipoverty programs, boosts labor force participation among single mothers. It does not, in the aggregate, have the same effect on married mothers.
June 21, 2023
Globalization Institute Working Paper
On the Nexus of Monetary Policy and Financial Stability: Novel Asset Market Monitoring Tools for Building Economic Resilience and Mitigating Financial Risks
This paper argues that asset pricing bubbles are an important source of financial instabilities.
June 02, 2023
Speech by President Lorie K. Logan
Preventing and responding to dysfunction in core markets
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan delivered these remarks at the Workshop on Market Dysfunction at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business.
March 03, 2023