A comprehensive list of recently added postings on Dallasfed.org.
Agricultural Survey, First Quarter 2021
Bankers responding to the first-quarter survey reported overall better conditions across most regions of the Eleventh District. They noted good crop yields and rising prices, while also expressing caution about continued dry conditions.
March 29, 2021
Banking Conditions Survey
Respondents in the Eleventh District financial sector were given an opportunity to comment on current issues that may be affecting their business.
March 29, 2021
An Augmented Anderson-Hsiao Estimator for Dynamic Short-T Panels
This paper introduces the idea of self-instrumenting endogenous regressors in settings when the correlation between these regressors and the errors can be derived and used to bias-correct the moment conditions.
March 27, 2021
PCE Inflation Update, February 2021
The headline, or all-items, PCE price index rose an annualized 2.8 percent in February after rising an annualized 4.1 percent in January.
March 26, 2021
Texas Employment Forecast
Texas employment declined 1.8 percent annualized in February after increasing a revised 4.5 percent in January. The Texas Leading Index increased for the tenth consecutive month, suggesting continued growth over the next three to six months.
March 26, 2021
COVID-19 Time-Varying Reproduction Numbers Worldwide: An Empirical Analysis of Mandatory and Voluntary Social Distancing
This paper estimates time-varying COVID-19 reproduction numbers worldwide solely based on the number of reported infected cases, allowing for under-reporting.
March 25, 2021
Dallas-Fort Worth Economic Indicators, March 2021
Dallas–Fort Worth’s economic recovery stayed on track in January. Job growth continued for the ninth straight month and unemployment dipped.
March 25, 2021
Texas economic conditions improve as price pressures build
Economic conditions in Texas have improved, with the Texas Business Outlook Surveys in February showing a pickup in growth after a deceleration in January.
March 25, 2021
Oil and Gas Activity Expands Strongly; Outlook Improves Dramatically
Activity in the oil and gas sector expanded strongly in first quarter 2021, according to oil and gas executives responding to the Dallas Fed Energy Survey.
March 24, 2021
Mortgage Borrowing and the Boom-Bust Cycle in Consumption and Residential Investment
This paper studies the transmission of the major shocks in the U.S. housing market in the 2000s to consumption and residential investment.
March 24, 2021