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Workshop on Commodity Super Cycles

April 27, 2015 Bank of Canada (Ottawa)

Presented by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and Bank of Canada.

Agenda and Speakers

Agenda

April 27, 2015
Welcome and Opening Remarks
Eric Santor
Keynote Presentation
Correlation: Fundamentals, Frictions, and Financialization
Presentation: Craig Pirrong
Session 1: Long-Run Perspectives on Commodity Prices I
Chair: Michele Cavallo
Hotelling Under Pressure
Presentation: Soren Anderson, Ryan Kellogg and Stephen Salant
Trends and Super Cycles in Energy & LME Metal Prices
Presentation: John Cuddington, Daniel Jerrett and Abdel Zellou
What Drives Fluctuations of Commodity Prices in the Long Run?
Presentation: David Jacks and Martin Stuermer
Session 2: Investment Banks’ Perspectives on Commodity Super Cycles
Chair: Eric Santor
Introductory Remarks
Aakash Doshi
Breanne Dougherty
Katherine Spector
Harry Tchilinguirian
Session 3: Commodity Exporting Countries and Commodity Super Cycles
Chair: Martin Stuermer
Otaviano Canuto
Alberto Naudon
Greg Priddy
Ronald Ripple
Closing Remarks
Mine Yücel
Keynote Presentation
Correlation: Fundamentals, Frictions, and Financialization
Mark Finley
Session 4: Long-Run Perspectives on Commodity Prices II
Chair: Bahattin Buyuksahin
Discerning Long-Term Trends in Commodity Prices
Presentation: Dimitri Dimitropoulos, Mathieu Marcoux and Adonis Yatchew
Oil Price Forecasts for Macroeconomic Projections: Experts Outlooks, Models, or Both?
Presentation: Jean-Thomas Bernard, Lynda Khalaf, Maral Kichian and Clement Yelou
The Big Drop: Causes and Consequences
Presentation: Rabah Arezki, Benjamin Hunt and Akito Matsumoto
Session 5: Commodity-Importing Countries and Commodity Super Cycles
Chair: Michael Plante
Daniel Ahn
Peter Buchholz
Bertrand Gruss
Miswin Mahesh
Closing Remarks
Eric Santor and Mine Yücel