Research Seminars

Research seminars at the Dallas Fed are technical discussions targeted for PhD-level economists. Academic visitors present current research in a 75-minute seminar format on a variety of topics in economics and finance. Seminars are open to academic researchers associated with local universities and research institutions.

Researchers who wish to attend a seminar must email Sewon Hur or Xiaoqing Zhou at least 48 hours in advance. All attendees must show photo ID and go through security screening.

2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013

2022 Seminars

Date	Speaker	Presentation
March 23, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Michela Giorcelli University of California, Los Angeles	Technology Transfer and Early Industrial Development: Evidence from Sino-Soviet Alliance (with Bo Li)
March 31, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Gregor Matvos Northwestern University	Banking Without Deposits: Evidence from Shadow Bank Call Reports (with Erica Jiang, Tomasz Piskorski and Amit Seru)
April 7, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Max Auffhammer University of California, Berkeley	Natural Gas Price Elasticities and Optimal Cost Recovery Under Consumer Heterogeneity (with Edward Rubin)
April 28, 2022 2:00–3:15 p.m. (virtual)	Anna Cieslak Duke University	Policymakers’ Uncertainty (with Stephen Hansen, Michael McMahon and Song Xiao)
May 5, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Ludwig Straub Harvard University	A Goldilocks Theory of Fiscal Deficits (with Atif Mian and Amir Sufi)
May 12, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Nitya Pandalai-Nayar University of Texas at Austin	News Media and International Fluctuations (with Ha Bui, Zhen Huo and Andrei Levchenko)
May 19, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Lorenzo Caliendo Yale University	The Quantitative Effects of Trade Policy on Industrial and Labor Location (with Fernando Parro)
May 26, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Andreas Mueller University of Texas at Austin	Predicting Long-Term Unemployment Risk (with Johannes Spinnewijn)
August 11, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Toni Whited University of Michigan	TBA
August 18, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m.	Michael Barnett Arizona State University	TBA
August 25, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m.	Diego Comin Dartmouth College	TBA
September 1, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m.	Eric Zou University of Oregon	TBA
September 8, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m.	Ralf Meisenzahl Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago	TBA
September 15, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m.	Manuel Adelino Duke University	TBA
September 22, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m.	Louphou Coulibaly University of Wisconsin	TBA
September 29, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m.	Sharat Ganapati Georgetown University	TBA
October 13, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m.	Corina Boar New York University	TBA
October 20, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m.	Elena Pikulina University of British Columbia	TBA
October 27, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m.	Amit Seru Stanford University	TBA
November 3, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m.	Andra Ghent University of Utah	TBA
November 10, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m.	Raven Molloy Federal Reserve Board	TBA
November 17, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m.	Kevin Shih Queens College CUNY	TBA
December 1, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m.	Wenli Li Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia	TBA
December 8, 2022 12:45–2:00 p.m.	Catherine Hausman University of Michigan	TBA

2021 Seminars

Date	Speaker	Presentation
April 8, 2021 1:15–2:30 p.m. (virtual)	Regis Barnichon Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco	Testing Macroeconomic Policies with Sufficient Statistics (with Geert Mesters)
April 15, 2021 1:15–2:30 p.m. (virtual)	Sandra Black Columbia University	Where Does Wealth Come From? (with Paul J. Devereux, Fanny Landaud and Kjell G. Salvanes)
April 22, 2021 1:15–2:30 p.m. (virtual)	Conny Olovsson Sveriges Riksbank	On the Effectiveness of Climate Policies (with John Hassler, Per Krusell and Michael Reiter)
April 29, 2021 1:15–2:30 p.m. (virtual)	Andreas Fuster Swiss National Bank	How Resilient is Mortgage Credit Supply? Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic (with Aurel Hizmo, Lauren Lambie-Hanson, James Vickery and Paul Willen)
May 6, 2021 1:15–2:30 p.m. (virtual)	Javier Cravino University of Michigan	Firm-Embedded Productivity and Cross-Country Income Differences: Evidence from Multinational Firms (with Vanessa Alviarez and Natalia Ramondo)
May 13, 2021 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Ivan Ivanov Federal Reserve Board	Fighting Failure: The Persistent Real Effects of Resolving Distressed Banks (with Stephen A. Karolyi)
May 20, 2021 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Milena Almagro Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis	Location Sorting and Endogenous Amenities: Evidence from Amsterdam (with Tomas Dominguez-Iino)
May 27, 2021 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Monika Piazzesi Stanford University	How Unconventional is Green Monetary Policy? (with Melina Papoutsi and Martin Schneider)
June 3, 2021 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Motohiro Yogo Princeton University	Exchange Rates and Asset Prices in a Global Demand System (with Ralph S.J. Koijen)
June 10, 2021 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Christopher Knittel Massachusetts Institute of Technology	Distributed Effects of Climate Policy: A Machine Learning Approach (with Tomas W. Green)
July 29, 2021 1:15–2:30 p.m. (virtual)	Erin Wolcott Middlebury College	How Does the Dramatic Rise of CPS Non-Response Impact Labor Market Indicators? (with Robert Bernhardt and David Munro)
August 5, 2021 9:00–10:15 a.m. (virtual)	Daniel Prinz Institute for Fiscal Studies	The Impact of Payroll Tax Subsidies: Theory and Evidence (with Aniko Biro, Reka Branyiczki, Attila Lindner and Lili Mark)
August 12, 2021 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Matthew Kahn Johns Hopkins University	Local Public Finance Dynamics and Hurricane Shocks (with Rhiannon Jerch and Gary Lin)
August 19, 2021 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Peter Ganong University of Chicago	Spending and Job Search Impacts of Expanded Unemployment Benefits: Evidence from Administrative Micro Data (with Fiona Greig, Max Liebeskind, Pascal Noel, Daniel Sullivan and Joseph Vavra)
September 9, 2021 11:00 a.m.–12:15 p.m. (virtual)	Charles Engel University of Wisconsin	Scrambling for Dollars: International Liquidity, Banks and Exchange Rates (with Javier Bianchi and Saki Bigio)
September 16, 2021 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Loukas Karabarbounis University of Minnesota	Reparations and Persistent Racial Wealth Gaps (with Job Boerma)
September 23, 2021 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Adrien Auclert Stanford University	Demographics, Wealth, and Global Imbalances in the Twenty-First Century (with Hannes Malmberg, Frédéric Martenet and Matthew Rognlie)
September 30, 2021 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Matteo Maggiori Stanford University	Redrawing the Map of Global Capital Flows: The Role of Cross-Border Financing and Tax Havens (with Antonio Coppola, Brent Neiman and Jesse Schreger)
October 7, 2021 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Rebecca Diamond Stanford University	The Effect of Foreclosures on Homeowners, Tenants, and Landlords (with Adam Guren and Rose Tan)
October 14, 2021 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Enrico Moretti University of California, Berkeley	Where is Standard of Living the Highest? Local Prices and Geography of Consumption (with Rebecca Diamond)
October 21, 2021 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Johannes Stroebel New York University	A Quantity-Based Approach to Constructing Climate Risk Hedge Portfolios (with Georgij Alekseev, Stefano Giglio, Quinn Maingi and Julia Selgrad)
October 28, 2021 10:00–11:15 a.m. (virtual)	Kiminori Matsuyama Northwestern University	A Technology-Gap Model of Premature Deindustrialization (with Ippei Fujiwara)
November 4, 2021 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco	When Hosios Meets Phillips: Connecting Efficiency and Stability to Demand Shocks (with Etienne Wasmer and Philippe Weil)
December 2, 2021 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Kilian Huber University of Chicago	Disaggregated Economic Accounts: Measurement and Implications for Fiscal Policy
December 9, 2021 12:45–2:00 p.m. (virtual)	Victoria Ivashina Harvard University	Why is Dollar Debt Cheaper? (with B. Gutiérrez and J. Salomao)

2020 Seminars

Date	Speaker	Presentation
March 3, 2020 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Carolin Pflueger University of Chicago	A Consumption Based Model of Monetary Policy and Asset Prices (with Gianluca Rinaldi)
May 19, 2020 12:00–1:00 p.m. (virtual)	Thiago Ferreira Federal Reserve Board	Scarcity of Safe Assets and Global Neutral Interest Rates (with Samer Shousha)
May 21, 2020 9:30–10:45 a.m. (virtual)	Urban Jermann University of Pennsylvania	Is SOFR Better than LIBOR?
May 28, 2020 9:30–10:45 a.m. (virtual)	Jesús Fernández-Villaverde University of Pennsylvania	Estimating and Simulating a SIRD Model of COVID-19 for Many Countries, States, and Cities (with Charles I. Jones)
June 11, 2020 9:30–10:45 a.m. (virtual)	Veronica Guerrieri University of Chicago	Macroeconomic Implications of COVID-19: Can Negative Supply Shocks Cause Demand Shortages? (with Guido Lorenzoni, Ludwig Straub and Iván Werning)
June 25, 2020 9:30–11:00 a.m. (virtual)	Sergio Rebelo Northwestern University	The Macroeconomics of Epidemics (with Martin Eichenbaum and Mathias Trabandt)
August 27, 2020 9:30–10:45 a.m. (virtual)	Stephanie Johnson Rice University	Financial Technology and the 1990s Housing Boom
September 10, 2020 1:15–2:30 p.m. (virtual)	Jacob Vigdor University of Washington	The Price of Protection: Landlord-Tenant Regulations and the Decline in Rental Affordability, 1960-2017 (with Alanna F. Williams)
September 17, 2020 1:15–2:30 p.m. (virtual)	Dirk Krueger University of Pennsylvania	Health versus Wealth: On the Distributional Effects of Controlling a Pandemic (with Andrew Glover, Jonathan Heathcote and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull)
October 1, 2020 1:15–2:30 p.m. (virtual)	David Berger Duke University	Mortgage Prepayment and the Path-Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy (with Konstantin Milbradt, Fabrice Tourre and Joseph Vavra)
October 14, 2020 1:15–2:30 p.m. (virtual)	Menzie Chinn University of Wisconsin–Madison	The New Fama Puzzle (with Matthieu Bussière, Laurent Ferrara and Jonas Heipertz)
October 22, 2020 1:15–2:30 p.m. (virtual)	Jonathan Dingel University of Chicago	Spatial Economics for Granular Settings (with Felix Tintelnot)
October 29, 2020 1:15–2:30 p.m. (virtual)	Sydnee Caldwell University of California, Berkeley	Experimental Evidence on Male and Female Labor Supply (with Emily Oehlsen)
November 5, 2020 1:15–2:30 p.m. (virtual)	Alp Simsek Massachusetts Institute of Technology	Monetary Policy with Opinionated Markets (with Ricardo J. Caballero)
November 12, 2020 1:15–2:30 p.m. (virtual)	Atif Mian Princeton University	Indebted Demand (with Ludwig Straub and Amir Sufi)
December 3, 2020 1:15–2:30 p.m. (virtual)	Oleg Itskhoki University of California, Los Angeles	Dominant Currencies: How Firms Choose Currency Invoicing and Why It Matters (with Mary Amiti and Jozef Konings)

2019 Seminars

Date	Speaker	Presentation
February 21, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Marco Del Negro Federal Reserve Bank of New York	A Bayesian Approach for Inference on Probabilistic Surveys (with Roberto Casarin and Federico Bassetti)
February 28, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Annette Vissing-Jorgensen University of California, Berkeley	The Impact of Pensions and Insurance on Global Yield Curves (with Robin Greenwood)
March 7, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Eric Sims University of Notre Dame	Evaluating Central Banks' Tool Kit: Past, Present, and Future (with Jing Cynthia Wu)
March 14, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Ufuk Akcigit University of Chicago	What Happened to the U.S. Business Dynamism? (with Sina T. Ates)
March 20, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Christopher Otrok University of Missouri	Estimating Macroeconomic Models of Financial Crises: An Endogenous Regime Switching Approach (with Gianluca D. Benigno, Andrew Foerster and Alessandro Rebucci)
April 4, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Francesco Bianchi Duke University	The Origins and Effects of Macroeconomic Uncertainty (with Howard Kung and Mikhail Tirskikh)
April 11, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Antoine Martin Federal Reserve Bank of New York	Can the US Interbank Market Be Revived? (with Kyungmin Kim and Ed Nosal)
April 18, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Wouter den Haan London School of Economics	Agnostic Structural Disturbances (ASDs): Detecting and Reducing Misspecification in Empirical Macroeconomic Models (with Thomas Drechsel)
May 2, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Dejanir Silva University of Illinois	Wealth Effects and the Transmission Mechanism of Monetary Policy (with Nicolas Caramp)
May 9, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Nicholas Bloom Stanford University	The Finance Uncertainty Multiplier (with Iván Alfaro and Xiaoji Lin)
May 16, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Pascual Restrepo Boston University	Demographics and Automation (with Daron Acemoglu)
May 30, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Martin Eichenbaum Northwestern University	Monetary Policy and the Predictability of Nominal Exchange Rates (with Benjamin K. Johannsen and Sergio Rebelo)
June 20, 2019 1:15–2:30 p.m.	Stephen Ross University of Connecticut	The Returns to Ability and Experience in High School Labor Markets: Revisiting Evidence on Employer Learning and Statistical Discrimination (with Xizi Li)
June 27, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Andrés Fernández Martin Central Bank of Chile	Sticky Capital Controls (with Miguel Acosta and Laura Alfaro)
July 16, 2019 10:30 a.m.–12:00 p.m.	Stathis Tompaidis University of Texas at Austin	Measuring Risks in Hedge Funds: Evaluation and Usefulness of Exposure Data in Form PF (with Phillip J. Monin and Matthew Pritsker)
July 25, 2019 1:15–2:30 p.m.	Émilien Gouin-Bonenfant University of California, San Diego	Productivity Dispersion, Between-Firm Competition, and the Labor Share
August 13, 2019 1:15–2:30 p.m.	Michael Bordo Rutgers University	Digital Cash: Principles & Practical Steps and Central Bank Digital Currency and the Future of Monetary Policy
August 22, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Mikkel Plagborg-Møller Princeton University	Local Projections and VARs Estimate the Same Impulse Responses (with Christian K. Wolf)
September 5, 2019 1:15–2:30 p.m.	Winston Dou University of Pennsylvania	Competition, Profitability, and Risk Premia (with Yan Ji and Wei Wu)
September 13, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Carola Binder Haverford College	Central Bank Communication and Disagreement about the Natural Rate Hypothesis
September 24, 2019 1:15–2:30 p.m.	Linda Goldberg Federal Reserve Bank of New York	International Capital Flow Pressures (with Signe Krogstrup)
October 1, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Ali Ozdagli Federal Reserve Bank of Boston	Monetary Policy through Production Networks: Evidence from the Stock Market (with Michael Weber)
October 3, 2019 1:15–2:30 p.m.	Felix Tintelnot University of Chicago	The Effects of Foreign Multinationals on Workers and Firms in the United States (with Bradley Setzler)
October 8, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Toni Ahnert Bank of Canada	Bank Competition, Bank Runs and Opacity (with David Martinez-Miera)
October 10, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Rodrigo Adão University of Chicago	Technological Transitions with Skill Heterogeneity Across Generations (with Martin Beraja and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar)
October 17, 2019 1:15–2:30 p.m.	Harald Uhlig University of Chicago	Cryptocurrencies, Currency Competition, and the Impossible Trinity (with Pierpaolo Benigno and Linda M. Schilling)
October 24, 2019 1:15–2:30 p.m.	John Knowles Simon Fraser University	Savings and Attitudes – An Intergenerational Analysis (with Andrew Postlewaite)
October 31, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Michael McMahon University of Oxford	Monetary Policymakers' Uncertainty (with Anna Cieslak and Stephen Hansen)
November 4, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Florin Bilbiie University of Lausanne	Monetary Policy and Heterogeneity: An Analytical Framework
November 7, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Kyle Jurado Duke University	Recoverability and Expectations-Driven Fluctuations (with Ryan Chahrour)
November 14, 2019 9:30–10:45 a.m.	Fatih Karahan Federal Reserve Bank of New York	Anatomy of Lifetime Earnings Inequality: Heterogeneity in Job Ladder Risk vs Human Capital (with Serdar Ozkan and Jae Song)
December 5, 2019 1:15–2:30 p.m.	Dana Kiku University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign	Climate Change Risk (with Ravi Bansal and Marcelo Ochoa)
December 12, 2019 1:15–2:30 p.m.	Luigi Pistaferri Stanford University	The Great Micro Moderation (with Nicholas Bloom, Fatih Guvenen, John Sabelhaus, Sergio Salgado and Jae Song)

2018 Seminars

Date	Speaker	Presentation
January 16, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Cynthia Wu University of Chicago, Booth	A Shadow Rate New Keynesian Model (with Ji Zhang)
January 17, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Drew Creal University of Chicago, Booth	Multihorizon Currency Returns and Purchasing Power Parity (with Mikhail Chernov)
February 27, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Kris Mitchener Santa Clara University	Systemic Risk and the Great Depression (with Sanjiv Das and Angela Vossmeyer)
March 8, 2018 1:15–2:30 p.m.	Ryan Chahrour Boston College	The International Medium of Exchange: Privilege and Duty (with Rosen Valchev)
March 15, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi Northwestern University	Information Revelation and Efficiency in Heterogeneous Markets
March 22, 2018 1:15–2:30 p.m.	Dmitriy Sergeyev Bocconi University	Central Bank Balance Sheet Policies without Rational Expectations (with Luigi Iovino)
March 29, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Dacheng Xiu University of Chicago, Booth	Inference on Risk Premia in the Presence of Omitted Factors (with Stefano Giglio)
April 3, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Galina Hale Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco	Monitoring Banking System Fragility with Big Data (with Jose A. Lopez)
April 13, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Lutz Kilian University of Michigan	Modeling Fluctuations in the Global Demand for Commodities (with Xiaoqing Zhou)
April 19, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Ben Johannsen Federal Reserve Board	A Time Series Model of Interest Rates with the Effective Lower Bound (with Elmar Mertens)
April 26, 2018 1:15–2:30 p.m.	Pablo Cuba-Borda Federal Reserve Board	Likelihood Evaluation of Models with Occasionally Binding Constraints (with Luca Guerrieri, Matteo Iacoviello and Molin Zhong)
May 1, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Jose Montiel Olea Columbia University	A/B Testing (with Eduardo Azevedo, Alex Deng, Justin Rao and E. Glen Weyl)
May 3, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Yuriy Gorodnichenko University of California, Berkeley	Unbundling Quantitative Easing: Taking a Cue from Treasury Auctions (with Walker Ray)
May 10, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Giorgio Primiceri Northwestern University	The Mortgage Rate Conundrum (with Alejandro Justiniano and Andrea Tambalotti)
May 17, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Latchezar Popov Texas Tech University	Misallocation and Intersectoral Linkages (with Sophie Osotimehin)
May 22, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Michel Robe American University	The Third Dimension of Financialization: Electronification, Intraday Institutional Trading, and Commodity Market Quality (with Vikas Raman and Pradeep K. Yadav)
May 31, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	B. Ravikumar Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis	Explaining Cross-Cohort Differences in Life-Cycle Earnings (with Yu-Chien Kong and Guillaume Vandenbroucke)
June 7, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Boragan Aruoba University of Maryland	How Big is the Wealth Effect? Decomposing the Response of Consumption to House Prices (with Ronel Elul and Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan)
June 14, 2018 1:15–2:30 p.m.	Benjamin Wong Monash University	Estimating and Accounting for the Output Gap with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions (with James Morley)
June 26, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Jorge Miranda-Pinto The University of Queensland	Production Network Structure, Service Share, and Aggregate Volatility
July 26, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	David Miller Federal Reserve Board	A Monetary-Fiscal Theory of the Price Level
August 23, 2018 1:15–2:30 p.m.	James D. Hamilton University of California, San Diego	A Skeptical View of the Impact of the Fed's Balance Sheet (with David Greenlaw, Ethan S. Harris and Kenneth D. West)
August 28, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Eric Swanson University of California, Irvine	Measuring the Effects of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance and Asset Purchases on Financial Markets
September 4, 2018 1:15–2:30 p.m.	Xiaoqing Zhou Bank of Canada	The Propagation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada (with Lutz Kilian)
September 6, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Alex Gelber University of California, San Diego	Using Non-Linear Budget Sets to Estimate Extensive Margin Responses: Method and Evidence from the Social Security Earnings Test (with Damon Jones, Daniel W. Sacks and Jae Song)
September 13, 2018 1:15–2:30 p.m.	Benjamin Born Frankfurt School of Finance & Management	The Costs of Economic Nationalism: Evidence from the Brexit Experiment (with Gernot Müller, Moritz Schularick and Petr Sedlacek)
September 20, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Martin Uribe Columbia University	The Neo-Fisher Effect: Econometric Evidence from Empirical and Optimizing Models
September 26, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	James Vickery Federal Reserve Bank of New York	The Role of Technology in Mortgage Lending (with Andreas Fuster, Matthew Plosser and Philipp Schnabl)
September 27, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Nicolas Ziebarth Auburn University	Firm Networks in the Great Depression (with Chris Vickers and Erik Loualiche)
October 4, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Domenico Giannone Federal Reserve Bank of New York	Economic Predictions with Big Data: The Illusion of Sparsity (with Michele Lenza and Giorgio E. Primiceri)
October 11, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Bernard Herskovic UCLA Anderson School of Management	OTC Intermediaries (with Andrea L. Eisfeldt, Sriram Rajan and Emil Siriwardane)
October 18, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Jennifer Hunt Rutgers University	Why Are Fewer Workers Earning Middle Wages and Is It a Bad Thing? (with Ryan Nunn)
October 25, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Aditya Aladangady Federal Reserve Board	High-Frequency Spending Responses to the Earned Income Tax Credit (with Shifrah Aron-Dine, David Cashin, Wendy Dunn, Laura Feiveson, Paul Lengermann, Katherine Richard and Claudia Sahm)
November 1, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Christoph Boehm University of Texas at Austin	Government Consumption and Investment: Does the Composition of Purchases Affect the Multiplier?
November 2, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Eric Van Wincoop University of Virginia	Puzzling Exchange Rate Dynamics and Delayed Portfolio Adjustment (with Philippe Bacchetta)
November 8, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	David Albouy University of Illinois	Valuing Public Goods More Generally: The Case of Infrastructure (with Arash Farahani)
November 15, 2018 1:15–2:30 p.m.	Johannes Wieland Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago	The Interest Elasticity of Durable Demand: Measurement and Implications (with Alisdair McKay)
December 11, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Neil Mehrotra Brown University	Small and Large Firms Over the Business Cycle (with Nicolas Crouzet)
December 13, 2018 10:30–11:45 a.m.	Anna Orlik Federal Reserve Board	On Credible Monetary Policies under Model Uncertainty (with Ignacio Presno)

2017 Seminars

Date	Speaker	Presentation
February 24, 2017	Lorenzo Caliendo Yale University	Productivity and Organization in Portuguese Firms (with Giordano Mion, Luca David Opromolla, and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg)
March 10, 2017	Ben Johannsen Federal Reserve Board	Monetary Policy and the Predictability of Nominal Exchange Rates (with Martin Eichenbaum and Sergio Rebelo)
March 17, 2017	Young (Seonyoung) Park University of Delaware	Recent Decline in Aggregate Labor Supply of Married Women in the United States: A Life-Cycle Structural Model
March 24, 2017	Daniel Murphy University of Virginia	Fiscal Stimulus, Interest Rates, and Inequality: A Global Perspective (with Jorge Miranda-Pinto and Kieran Walsh)
April 7, 2017	Pietro Peretto Duke University	Commodity Prices and Growth (with Domenico Ferraro)
April 14, 2017	Ryan Kellogg University of Chicago	Information Asymmetry, Drilling Distortions, and Oil and Gas Leases (with Evan Herrnstadt and Eric Lewis)
May 5, 2017	Ricardo Reyes-Heroles Federal Reserve Board	Globalization and Structural Change in the United States: A Quantitative Assessment
May 12, 2017	Daniel Greenwald Massachusetts Institute of Technology	The Mortgage Credit Channel of Macroeconomic Transmission
May 26, 2017	Jose Joaquin Lopez University of Memphis	Size-Dependent Policies, the Allocation of Talent, and the Return to Skill (with Jesica Torres-Coronado)
June 23, 2017	Marco Lombardi Bank for International Settlements	The Real Effects of Household Debt in the Short and Long Run (with Madhusudan Mohanty and Ilhyock Shim)
June 30, 2017	Anson Soderbery Purdue University	Trade Elasticities, Heterogeneity, and Optimal Tariffs
July 7, 2017	Gil Sadka University of Texas at Dallas	Cross-Sectional Dispersion, Expected Loan Losses, and Debt Cycles (with Xanthi Gkougkousi and Suresh Radhakrishnan)
July 14, 2017	Eric Young University of Virginia	Flexibility and Frictions in Multisector Models (with Jorge Miranda-Pinto)
July 28, 2017	Ralf Meisenzahl Federal Reserve Board	Pipeline Risk in Leveraged Loan Syndication (with Max Bruche and Frederic Malherbe)
August 11, 2017	Kim Ruhl Penn State University	Offshore Profit Shifting and Domestic Productivity Measurement (with Fatih Guvenen, Raymond Mataloni, and Dylan Rassier)
September 15, 2017	Andy Glover University of Texas at Austin	Aggregate Effects of Minimum Wage Regulation at the Zero Lower Bound
September 22, 2017	Benjamin Bridgman Bureau of Economic Analysis	Is Productivity on Vacation? The Impact of the Digital Economy on the Value of Leisure
September 29, 2017	Christian Matthes Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond	Indeterminacy and Imperfect Information (with Thomas Lubik and Elmar Mertens)
October 6, 2017	Matthew Jaremski Colgate University	Stealing Deposits: Deposit Insurance, Risk-Taking and the Removal of Market Discipline in Early 20th Century Banks (with Charles W. Calomiris)
October 13, 2017	Ayse Sapci Colgate University	Housing Wealth Reallocation between Subprime and Prime Borrowers during Recessions (with Nam Vu)
October 27, 2017	Radek Paluszynski University of Houston	Learning about Debt Crises
November 10, 2017	Daniela Scida Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond	Structural VAR and Financial Networks: A Minimum Distance Approach to Spatial Modeling
November 17, 2017	Rodolfo Manuelli Washington University in St. Louis	Central Banking Without Fiscal Support: Honest (and Dishonest) Optimal Monetary Policy
December 8, 2017	Pablo Guerron-Quintana Boston College	Political Distribution Risk and Business Cycles (with Thorsten Drautzburg and Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde)
December 15, 2017	Sarah Zubairy Texas A&M University	Homeownership and Housing Transitions: Explaining the Demographic Composition (with Eunseong Ma)

2016 Seminars

Date	Speaker	Presentation
February 3, 2016	Clemens Sialm University of Texas at Austin	Complex Mortgages (with Gene Amromin, Jennifer Huang, and Edward Zhong)
February 4, 2016	Mark Wright Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago	Bad Investments and Missed Opportunities? Capital Flows to Asia and Latin America (with Lee Ohanian and Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria)
March 3, 2016	Berthold Herrendorf Arizona State University	Structural Transformation of Occupation Employment (with Georg Duernecker)
March 15, 2016	Yunjong Eo University of Sydney	Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates with Potentially Misspecified Models (with Kyu Ho Kang)
March 22, 2016	Cathy Zhang Purdue University	Corporate Finance and Monetary Policy (with Guillaume Rocheteau and Randall Wright)
March 24, 2016	Athanasios Orphanides Massachusetts Institute of Technology	The Euro Area Crisis Five Years After the Original Sin
March 28, 2016	Georgios Georgiadis European Central Bank	To Bi, or not to Bi? Differences in Spillover Estimates from Bilateral and Multilateral Multi-country Models
April 13, 2016	Bernabe Lopez-Martin Bank of Mexico	The Blighted Youth: The Impact of Recessions and Policies on Life-Cycle Unemployment (with Naoki Takayama)
April 28, 2016	Jae Won Lee Seoul National University	Optimal Index versus Simple Index for Monetary Policy (with Yeji Sung)
May 5, 2016	Saroj Bhattarai University of Texas at Austin	Optimal Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy at the Zero Lower Bound in a Small Open Economy (with Konstantin Egorov)
May 11, 2016	Alex Hsu Georgia Institute of Technology	Monetary Policy, Volatility Risk, and Return Predictability
May 19, 2016	Adrien Auclert Princeton University	Inequality and Aggregate Demand (with Matthew Rognlie)
May 25, 2016	Ricardo Fernholz Claremont McKenna	Empirical Methods for Dynamic Power Law Distributions in the Social Sciences
June 7, 2016	Anand Srinivasan National University of Singapore	Unintended Consequences of Government Bailouts: Evidence from Bank-Dependent Borrowers of Large Banks (with Yupeng Lin and Xin Liu)
July 6, 2016	Rodrigo Sekkel Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City	The Real-Time Properties of the Bank of Canada's Staff Output Gap Estimates
July 18, 2016	Edward Nelson University of Sydney	The Correlation between Money and Output in the United Kingdom: A Resolution of the Puzzle
August 17, 2016	Jon Willis Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City	Can Machine-Learning Techniques Contribute to our Understanding of Labor Market Dynamics? (with San Cannon, Nenad Jukic, Svetlozar Nestorov, and Abhishek Sharma)
August 19, 2016	David Papell University of Houston	Policy Rules and Economic Performance (with Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy)
August 22, 2016	Karel Mertens Cornell University	The Macroeconomic Effects of Government Asset Purchases: Evidence from Postwar US Housing Credit Policy (with Andrew Fieldhouse and Morten Ravn)
August 30, 2016	Edward Herbst Federal Reserve Board	The Empirical Implications of the Interest-Rate Lower Bound (with Chris Gust, Matt Smith, and David Lopez-Salido)
September 8, 2016	Lilia Maliar University of Alicante and Stanford University	A Tractable Framework for Analyzing a Class of Nonstationary Markov Models (with Serguei Maliar, John Taylor, and Inna Tsener)
September 19, 2016	Adam Kolasinski Texam A&M	Managerial Myopia and the Mortgage Meltdown (with Nan Yang)
September 29, 2016	Roc Armenter Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia	The Perils of Nominal Targets
October 5, 2016	Eric Van Wincoop University of Virginia	What Can we Learn from Euro-Dollar Tweets? (with Vahid Gholampour)
October 14, 2016	Christiane Baumeister University of Notre Dame	Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks (with James Hamilton)
October 20, 2016	George Alessandria University of Rochester	The Dynamics of the U.S. Trade Balances and Real Exchange rate: The J Curve and Trade Costs? (with Horag Choi)
October 28, 2016	Todd Walker University of Indiana	Approximate Aggregation in Dynamic Economies (with Karsten O. Chipeniuk and Nets Hawk Katz)
November 18, 2016	Anna Kormilitsina Southern Methodist University	Is Government Spending Predetermined? A Test of identification for Fiscal Policy Shocks
December 9, 2016	Farid Farrokhi Purdue University	Global Sourcing in Oil Markets
December 16, 2016	Mark Agerton Rice University	Anatomy of a Shale Boom: A Dynamic Equilibrium Model of Mineral Leasing and Drilling Decisions

2015 Seminars

Date	Speaker	Presentation
January 13, 2015	Zachary Stangebye University of Pennsylvania	Dynamic Panics: Theory and Application to the Eurozone
January 15, 2015	Ilaf Scheikh Elard University of Oxford	Financial Openness and Interbank Market Crises
January 20, 2015	Everett Grant University of Virginia	Exposure to International Crises: Trade vs. Financial Contagion
January 21, 2015	Aaron Flaaen University of Michigan	Input Linkages and the Transmission of Shocks: Firm Level Evidence from the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake
January 23, 2015	Regina Martinez George Washington University	International Banking Flows and 'Bad' Credit Booms: Do Booms Go with the Flow?
February 2, 2015	Nikhil Patel Columbia University	Credit Constraints, Trade Finance and the Cost Channel of Monetary Policy in Open Economies
February 6, 2015	Qingqing Cao Princeton University	Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy with Collateral Constraints
February 13, 2015	Pablo Cuba-Borda University of Maryland	What Explains the Great Recession and the Slow Recovery?
March 5, 2015	Lutz Killian University of Michigan	A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices With An Application to Crude Oil
March 27, 2015	Todd Walker Indiana University	Approximate Aggregation in the Neoclassical Growth Model with Idiosyncratic Shocks
April 3, 2015	Giuseppe Moscarini Yale University	Wage Posting and Business Cycles: A Quantitative Exploration
April 10, 2015	Guido Lorenzoni Northwestern University	Slow Moving Debt Crises
April 17, 2015	Nicholas Sly University of Oregon	Labor Market Effects of Offshoring Within and Across Firm Boundaries
May 1, 2015	Andrea Civelli University of Arkansas	Globalization and Inflation: Evidence from a Time Varying VAR
May 11, 2015	Thomas Covert University of Chicago, Booth School of Business	Experiential and Social Learning in Firms: The Case of Hydraulic Fracturing in the Bakken Shale
May 19, 2015	Ina Simonovska University of California, Davis	The Risky Capital of Emerging Markets
May 28, 2015	Michael Klein Tufts University	Rounding the Corners of the Policy Trilemma: Sources of Monetary Policy Autonomy
June 12, 2015	Batchimeg Sambalaibat University of Oklahoma	A Theory of Liquidity Spillover Between Bond and CDS Markets
July 1, 2015	Hilde Bjornland BI Norwegian Business School	Boom or Gloom: Examining the Dutch Disease in a Two-Speed Economy
August 19, 2015	William Gavin Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (retired)	The Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000 and Financial Crises
September 17, 2015	Ariel Burstein University of California, Los Angeles	Aggregate Implications of Innovation Policy (with Andrew Atkeson)
September 23, 2015	Stephen Quinn Texas Christian University	Death of a Reserve Currency (with William Roberds)
September 29, 2015	Juergen von Hagen University of Bonn	Governance of the Euro Area: Fiscal Union, Debt Union, Fiscal Freedom
October 5, 2015	Stefan Zeume University of Michigan	Corporate Tax Havens and Transparency (with Morten Bennedsen)
October 26, 2015	Ariel Weinberger University of Oklahoma	Exporter Heterogeneity and Price Discrimination: A Quantitative View
November 5, 2015	Thomas Holden University of Surrey	Existence, Uniqueness and Computation of Solutions to DSGE Models with Occasionally Binding Constraints
November 9, 2015	Ine Van Robays European Central Bank	Oil Prices, Exchange Rates and Asset Prices (with Marcel Fratzscher and Daniel Schneider)
November 20, 2015	Andrei Levchenko University of Michigan	TFP, News, and "Sentiments:" The International Transmission of Business Cycles (with Nitya Pandalai-Nayar)
December 1, 2015	Malory Vachon Louisiana State University	The Impact of Local Labor Market Conditions on Migration: Evidence from the Bakken Oil Boom
December 18, 2015	Erwan Quintin University of Wisconsin	Limited Disclosure And Hidden Orders In Asset Markets (with Cyril Monnet)

2014 Seminars

Date	Speaker	Presentation
January 13, 2014	Chiara Forlati École Polytechnique Fédéerale de Lausanne	Mortgage Amortization and Welfare (with Luisa Lambertini)
January 15, 2014	Emir Malikov SUNY Binghamton	Are All U.S. Credit Unions Alike (with Diego A. Restrepo-Tobon and Subal C. Kumbhakar)
January 17, 2014	Soojin Jo Bank of Canada	The Effects of Oil Price Uncertainty on Global Real Economic Activity
January 22, 2014	Jonathan Hoddenbagh Boston College	The Optimal Design of a Fiscal Union (with Mikhail Dmitriev)
January 27, 2014	Julieta Yung University of Notre Dame	Can Interest Rate Factors Explain Exchange Rates?
January 28, 2014	Martin Stuermer University of Bonn	150 Years of Boom and Bust: What Drives Mineral Commodity Prices?
January 30, 2014	Lance Bachmeier Kansas State University	Does the Stock Market React Slowly to Oil Price Shocks?
January 31, 2014	Kimberly Berg University of Notre Dame	The Choice of Exchange Rate Regime: A Welfare Based Analysis
February 3, 2014	Mark Curtis Georgia State University	Who Loses Under Power Plant Cap-and-Trade Programs?
February 4, 2014	Raju Huidrom University of Virginia	Credit Shocks and the U.S. Business Cycle: Is This Time Different?
February 5, 2014	Felipe Benguria University of Virginia	Production and Distribution in International Trade: Evidence from Matched Exporter-Importer Data
February 6, 2014	Mikhail Dmitriev Boston College	The Financial Accelerator and the Optimal Lending Contract (with Jonathan Hoddenbagh)
February 7, 2014	Burcu Cigerli Centrica plc	An Imperfectly Competitive Model of the World Natural Gas Market
March 5, 2014	Mario Crucini Vanderbilt University	Geographic Barriers to Commodity Price Integration: Evidence from US Cities and Swedish Towns
March 11, 2014	Alexander Richter Auburn University	Global Dynamics at the Zero Lower Bound
March 17, 2014	Frank Barry Trinity College, Dublin	The Mechanics of Aggressive Tax Planning by U.S. Multinationals
March 28, 2014	Benjamin Keen University of Oklahoma	The Stimulative Effect of Forward Guidance
April 7, 2014	Jing Cynthia Wu University of Chicago, Booth	Measuring the Macroeconomic Impact of Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound
April 16, 2014	Olivier Coibion University of Texas, Austin	Commodity Price Comovement and Global Economic Activity (with Ron Alquist)
April 17, 2014	Zoltan Pozsar Senior adviser at the U.S. Department of Treasury and visiting Scholar at the IMF	Shadow Banking: The Money View
May 9, 2014	Guillaume Vandenbroucke University of Southern California	Dynamic Squeezing: Marriage and Fertility in France After World War One (with John Knowles)
May 12, 2014	German Cubas University of Houston	A Macroeconomic Analysis of Career Choice and Earnings Risk in the Labor Market (with Pedro Silos)
May 19, 2014	Alvaro Aguirre Central Bank of Chile	Welfare Effects of Structural Balance Fiscal Rules
May 23, 2014	Heiwai Tang Johns Hopkins University	Domestic Value Added in Exports: Theory and Firm Evidence from China (with Hiau Looi Kee)
June 20, 2014	Victor Valcarcel Texas Tech University	A Model of Monetary Policy Shocks for Financial Crises and Normal Conditions
June 23, 2014	Ippei Fujiwara Keio University and Australian National University	Policy Regime Change Against Chronic Deflation? Policy Option Under a Long-term Liquidity Trap (with Yoshiyuki Nakazono and Kozo Ueda)
June 24, 2014	Ronald Edwards Tamkang University	Economic Revolution: Song China and England
July 7, 2014	David Gould World Bank	Europe's Linkages with the World: Has EU Integration Been as Successful as Global Integration?
September 5, 2014	Ruth Judson Federal Reserve Board	Estimating Cross-Border Securities Positions: New Data and New Methods (with Carol Bertaut)
September 22, 2014	Manasa Patnam CREST (ENSAE)	Estimating Fiscal Multipliers with Essential Heterogeneity (with Emmanuoil Kitsios)
October 2, 2014	Loris Rubini Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile	Trade Costs and Markups (with Alexander McQuoid)
October 6, 2014	Nathaniel Throckmorton College of William and Mary	The Consequences of an Unknown Debt Target (with Alexander Richter)
October 10, 2014	Saroj Bhattarai University of Texas, Austin	Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy at the Zero Lower Bound in a Small Open Economy
October 14, 2014	Elisa Keller Durham University Business School	Gender and Occupational Outcome
October 21, 2014	Mark Wohar University of Nebraska Omaha	What Drives Commodity Returns? Market, Sector or Idiosyncratic Factors? (with Jun Ma and Andrew Vivian)
October 27, 2014	Ezra Oberfield Princeton University	Micro Data and Macro Technology (with Devesh Raval)
November 3, 2014	CY Choi University of Texas Arlington	The Role of Two Frictions in Geographic Price Dispersion: When Market Friction Meets Nominal Rigidity
November 10, 2014	Lorenzo Caliendo Yale University	The Impact of Regional and Sectoral Productivity Changes on the U.S. Economy (with Fernando Parro, Esteban Rossi-Hansberg and Pierre-Daniel Sarte)
November 12, 2014	Diego Vilan University of Southern California	Demand Shocks and Endogenous Uncertainty
November 14, 2014	Samuel Reynard Swiss National Bank	QE Equivalence to Interest Rate Policy: Implications for Exit
November 17, 2014	Daniel Sullivan Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago	Estimating and Forecasting Trend Labor Force Participation
November 17, 2014	Santiago Barraza University of Arkansas	Financial Crisis and the Supply of Corporate Credit (with Wayne Lee and Timothy Yeager)
December 3, 2014	David Jacks Simon Fraser University	From Boom to Bust: A Typology of Real Commodity Prices in the Long Run

2013 Seminars

Date	Speaker	Presentation
January 9, 2013	Danilo Trupkin Universidad de Montevideo	The Role of Inventories and Capacity Utilization as Shock Absorbers
March 1, 2013	David Ling University of Florida	Credit Availability and Asset Pricing in Illiquid Markets
March 29, 2013	Natalia Kovrijnykh Arizona State University	Who Should Pay for Credit Ratings and How?
April 10, 2013	Anastasia Zervou Texas A&M University	Firms’ Finance, Cyclical Sensitivity, and the Role of Monetary Policy
April 16, 2013	Colleen Baker University of Notre Dame	The Federal Reserve as a Last Resort
August 30, 2013	Yu Yuan Shanghai Advanced Institute for Finance and Wharton Financial Institutions Center at the University of Pennsylvania	Global, Local, and Contagious Investor Sentiment” and “Arbitrage Asymmetry and the Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle
October 10, 2013	Lutz Kilian University of Michigan	The Role of Inventories and Speculative Trading in the Global Market for Crude Oil (with Daniel P. Murphy)
October 16, 2013	David Papell University of Houston	(Taylor) Rules versus Discretion in U.S. Monetary Policy
December 2, 2013	Stephen Terry Stanford University	Really Uncertain Business Cycles

Recent Articles