A comprehensive list of recently added postings on Dallasfed.org.
Dallas-Fort Worth Economic Indicators
Dallas–Fort Worth economic growth was moderate in January. Revised data indicate that DFW employment expanded 2.4 percent in 2017.
March 14, 2018
Texas Economic Indicators
Texas economic growth remained strong in January. The state posted solid job gains, and unemployment remained low. Texas employment increased at a solid pace in 2017 but slower than estimated prior to the benchmark revision.
March 13, 2018
Texas Employment Forecast
Incorporating January employment growth of 2.5 percent and leading index data, the Texas Employment Forecast suggests jobs will grow 3.3 percent this year (December/December), with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.8 to 4.8 percent.
March 9, 2018
A New Way to Quantify the Effect of Uncertainty
This paper develops a new way to quantify the effect of uncertainty and other higher-order moments.
March 8, 2018
Austin Economic Indicators
Austin economic growth remained robust in January. According to revised data, employment grew 4.2 percent in 2017, the fastest rate among Texas’ large metro areas.
March 2, 2018
El Paso Economic Indicators
El Paso’s robust labor market has placed pressure on average weekly wages. Home sales and single-family housing permits are expanding, although the median home price remains steady.
March 1, 2018
PCE Inflation Update, January 2018
The headline, or all-items, PCE price index rose at a 4.5 percent annualized rate in January. The price index for energy goods and services rose sharply for the month; food prices rose slightly.
March 1, 2018
New Perspectives on Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Market Economies: An Empirical Assessment
This paper uses a broad-range set of inflation models and pseudo out-of-sample forecasts to assess their predictive ability among 14 emerging market economies at different horizons.
March 1, 2018
Permian Basin Economic Indicators
Wages in the Permian Basin fell for the second quarter in a row after spiking in first quarter 2017. The rig count, crude oil production and oil prices all rose in January.
February 22, 2018
Discussion of Economic Conditions and Key Challenges Facing the U.S. Economy
In a new essay, Robert S. Kaplan provides a synopsis of his current views regarding economic conditions and U.S. monetary policy.
February 21, 2018