A comprehensive list of recently added postings on Dallasfed.org.
Running the economy hotter for longer could steepen Phillips curve
In the short run, running the economy hot—with output growth above potential—comes with the cost of additional inflation. But policymakers cannot exploit this relationship forever because inflation expectations won’t remain anchored, as the public comes to expect a higher level of inflation for any given level of output.
July 16, 2024
Houston Economic Indicators, July 2024
Houston’s labor market growth was broad based in May 2024, but slowdowns in top sectors weighed on growth. Employment growth in the metro area is in-line with the nation, and unemployment has been holding steady. Average hourly earnings in Houston ticked up slightly year over year.
July 10, 2024
Electricity providers hard pressed to keep up with growing tech-heavy demand
Dallas Fed economist Kunal Patel discusses the strains on the power grid, including those arising from Texas’ growing population, electrification of the economy, nearshoring and evolving technologies.
July 10, 2024
When Is the Use of Gaussian-inverse Wishart-Haar Priors Appropriate?
Several recent studies have expressed concern that the Haar prior typically employed in estimating sign-identified VAR models is driving the prior about the structural impulse responses and hence their posterior. This paper provides evidence that the quantitative importance of the Haar prior for posterior inference has been overstated.
July 9, 2024
Surging population growth from immigration may have little effect on inflation
U.S. population growth increased sharply recently following a wave of immigration. This article examines what this surprise immigration surge could mean for the macroeconomy.
July 9, 2024
Austin Economic Indicators, July 2024
Austin employment growth slowed in May, the unemployment rate remained the same, and wages increased. The median house price was unchanged, and home inventories fell.
July 8, 2024
Austin’s ecosystem combines government, education and the tech industry
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan's 360° Listening Tour is taking her to communities all around the Eleventh Federal Reserve District. The tour is helping deepen her understanding of the region’s people and economy by adding color and perspective that go beyond official statistics.
July 8, 2024
Mexico’s economy continues growing through second quarter
Mexico’s economy continued growing steadily through the second quarter, according to the monthly GDP proxy. However, high inflation and the recent increase in political uncertainty remain headwinds for the Mexican economy.
July 3, 2024
Dallas-Fort Worth Economic Indicators, June 2024
The Dallas–Fort Worth economy expanded in May. Employment growth remained strong but moderated from April’s brisk pace.
July 3, 2024
Unprecedented U.S. immigration surge boosts job growth, output
U.S. labor market conditions are among the main drivers of an unprecedented surge of immigration, the exact size and consequences of which are still being assessed.
July 2, 2024