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Surveys

Special Questions

Texas Business Outlook Surveys
April 24, 2023

Special Questions

For this month’s survey, Texas business executives were asked supplemental questions on labor market and credit conditions. Results below include responses from participants of all three surveys: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey, Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey and Texas Retail Outlook Survey.

Texas Business Outlook Surveys

Data were collected April 11–19, and 370 Texas business executives responded to the surveys.

1. Are you currently trying to hire or recall workers?

Oct. '21
(percent)
Jan. '22
(percent)
Apr. '22
(percent)
Jul. '22
(percent)
Oct. '22
(percent)
Jan. '23
(percent)
Apr. '23
(percent)
Yes 67.9 68.4 65.9 61.6 56.2 49.9 51.8
No 32.1 31.6 34.1 38.4 43.8 50.1 48.2

NOTE: 365 responses.

1a. How has the availability of applicants changed over the past month?

Oct. '21
(percent)
Jan. '22
(percent)
Apr. '22
(percent)
Jul. '22
(percent)
Oct. '22
(percent)
Jan. '23
(percent)
Apr. '23
(percent)
Improved significantly 0.5 1.6 0.6 1.2 0.0 0.7 1.6
Improved slightly 18.2 12.5 20.5 23.3 23.3 28.7 38.5
No change 46.0 40.8 48.9 44.2 54.0 55.2 46.0
Worsened slightly 26.7 35.9 25.6 25.2 17.2 11.2 12.3
Worsened significantly 8.6 9.2 4.5 6.1 5.5 4.2 1.6

NOTES: 187 responses. This question was only posed to those currently trying to hire or recall workers.

2. What is your firm primarily using for its banking needs?
  Apr. '23
Regional bank ($10 billion–$100 billion in assets) 43.3
Large national bank (over $100 billion in assets) 35.0
Small/community bank (community banks less than $10 billion in assets) 17.1
Credit union 0.8
Other 3.9

NOTE: 363 responses.

3. What is your firm primarily using for a source of credit?
  Apr. '23
Regional bank ($10 billion–$100 billion in assets) 39.8
Large national bank (over $100 billion in assets) 28.2
Small/community bank (community banks less than $10 billion in assets) 15.8
Government (SBA loans; federal, state and local government programs) 5.0
Credit union 0.8
Other 10.4

NOTES: 241 responses. These calculations exclude respondents that answered “Not applicable—haven’t sought credit,” which represented 33.1 percent of responses.

4. To what extent is your business having difficulty obtaining financing for desired short-term uses such as paying workers and acquiring inventories of material or supplies?
  Oct. '17
(percent)
Oct. '18
(percent)
Oct. '19
(percent)
Oct. '20
(percent)
Oct. '21
(percent)
Sept. '22
(percent)
Apr. '23
(percent)
No difficulty 78.4 78.8 78.5 76.4 73.1 71.1 66.0
Some difficulty 14.9 14.5 15.7 15.1 19.0 19.1 25.1
Substantial difficulty 4.6 4.1 4.2 4.7 4.6 6.9 3.7
Extreme difficulty 2.1 2.6 1.6 3.8 3.2 2.9 5.1

NOTES: 215 responses. These calculations exclude respondents that answered “Not applicable—haven’t sought credit,” which represented 40.3 percent of responses in Apr. '23, 46.5 percent of responses in Sept. '22, 41.8 percent of responses in Oct. '21, 45.4 percent of responses in Oct. '20, 50.3 percent of responses in Oct. '19, 49.9 percent of responses in Oct. '18, and 47.8 percent of responses in Oct. '17.

5. To what extent is your business having difficulty obtaining financing for desired long-term uses such as capital expenditures?
  Oct. '17
(percent)
Oct. '18
(percent)
Oct. '19
(percent)
Oct. '20
(percent)
Oct. '21
(percent)
Sept. '22
(percent)
Apr. '23
(percent)
No difficulty 71.6 73.7 76.5 67.3 80.2 70.1 65.2
Some difficulty 17.2 20.6 17.5 24.5 14.3 18.0 23.3
Substantial difficulty 6.9 2.9 4.5 6.4 2.8 6.6 5.7
Extreme difficulty 4.4 2.9 1.5 1.8 2.8 5.2 5.7

NOTES: 210 responses. These calculations exclude respondents that answered “Not applicable—haven’t sought credit,” which represented 41.8 percent of responses in Apr. '23, 44.3 percent of responses in Sept. '22, 41.4 percent of responses in Oct. '21, 43.3 percent of responses in Oct. '20, 48.2 percent of responses in Oct. '19, 45.7 percent of responses in Oct. '18, and 45.7 percent of responses in Oct. '17.

Survey respondents were given the opportunity to provide comments, which can be found in the Comments tab above.

Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey

Data were collected April 11–19, and 81 Texas manufacturers responded to the survey.

1. Are you currently trying to hire or recall workers?

Oct. '21
(percent)
Jan. '22
(percent)
Apr. '22
(percent)
Jul. '22
(percent)
Oct. '22
(percent)
Jan. '23
(percent)
Apr. '23
(percent)
Yes 78.0 83.0 73.9 65.5 56.4 52.0 58.8
No 22.0 17.0 26.1 34.5 43.6 48.0 41.3

NOTE: 80 responses.

1a. How has the availability of applicants changed over the past month?

Oct. '21
(percent)
Jan. '22
(percent)
Apr. '22
(percent)
Jul. '22
(percent)
Oct. '22
(percent)
Jan. '23
(percent)
Apr. '23
(percent)
Improved significantly 0.0 1.8 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1
Improved slightly 18.8 12.5 15.8 21.7 29.4 22.9 42.6
No change 43.8 44.6 45.6 41.3 50.0 60.0 36.2
Worsened slightly 26.6 28.6 35.1 28.3 17.6 11.4 17.0
Worsened significantly 10.9 12.5 1.8 8.7 2.9 5.7 2.1

NOTES: 47 responses. This question was only posed to those currently trying to hire or recall workers.

2. What is your firm primarily using for its banking needs?
  Apr. '23
Regional bank ($10 billion–$100 billion in assets) 39.5
Large national bank (over $100 billion in assets) 39.5
Small/community bank (community banks less than $10 billion in assets) 19.8
Credit union 0.0
Other 1.2

NOTE: 81 responses.

3. What is your firm primarily using for a source of credit?
  Apr. '23
Regional bank ($10 billion–$100 billion in assets) 37.9
Large national bank (over $100 billion in assets) 36.2
Small/community bank (community banks less than $10 billion in assets) 17.2
Government (SBA loans; federal, state and local government programs) 3.4
Credit union 0.0
Other 5.2

NOTES: 58 responses. These calculations exclude respondents that answered “Not applicable—haven’t sought credit,” which represented 33.1 percent of responses.

4. To what extent is your business having difficulty obtaining financing for desired short-term uses such as paying workers and acquiring inventories of material or supplies?
  Oct. '17
(percent)
Oct. '18
(percent)
Oct. '19
(percent)
Oct. '20
(percent)
Oct. '21
(percent)
Sept. '22
(percent)
Apr. '23
(percent)
No difficulty 78.9 76.9 87.3 76.7 73.8 75.9 70.9
Some difficulty 15.8 13.8 7.9 13.3 10.8 14.8 21.8
Substantial difficulty 5.3 6.2 3.2 10.0 9.2 7.4 1.8
Extreme difficulty 0.0 3.1 1.6 0.0 6.2 1.9 5.5

NOTES: 55 responses. These calculations exclude respondents that answered “Not applicable—haven’t sought credit,” which represented 30.4 percent of responses in Apr. '23, 37.9 percent of responses in Sept. '22, 35.0 percent of responses in Oct. '21, 33.3 percent of responses in Oct. '20, 39.4 percent of responses in Oct. '19, 43.5 percent of responses in Oct. '18, and 47.2 percent of responses in Oct. '17.

5. To what extent is your business having difficulty obtaining financing for desired long-term uses such as capital expenditures?
  Oct. '17
(percent)
Oct. '18
(percent)
Oct. '19
(percent)
Oct. '20
(percent)
Oct. '21
(percent)
Sept. '22
(percent)
Apr. '23
(percent)
No difficulty 68.9 76.1 78.5 71.9 84.5 78.9 70.6
Some difficulty 18.0 17.9 16.9 18.8 5.6 12.3 17.6
Substantial difficulty 9.8 3.0 3.1 9.4 4.2 1.8 3.9
Extreme difficulty 3.3 3.0 1.5 0.0 5.6 7.0 7.8

NOTES: 51 responses. These calculations exclude respondents that answered “Not applicable—haven’t sought credit,” which represented 36.3 percent of responses in Apr. '23, 34.5 percent of responses in Sept. '22, 29.0 percent of responses in Oct. '21, 28.9 percent of responses in Oct. '20, 36.9 percent of responses in Oct. '19, 41.7 percent of responses in Oct. '18, and 43.5 percent of responses in Oct. '17.

Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey

Data were collected April 11–19, and 289 Texas business executives responded to the survey.

1. Are you currently trying to hire or recall workers?

Oct. '21
(percent)
Jan. '22
(percent)
Apr. '22
(percent)
Jul. '22
(percent)
Oct. '22
(percent)
Jan. '23
(percent)
Apr. '23
(percent)
Yes 64.2 63.4 63.1 60.4 56.2 49.2 49.8
No 35.8 36.6 36.9 39.6 43.8 50.8 50.2

NOTE: 285 responses.

1a. How has the availability of applicants changed over the past month?

Oct. '21
(percent)
Jan. '22
(percent)
Apr. '22
(percent)
Jul. '22
(percent)
Oct. '22
(percent)
Jan. '23
(percent)
Apr. '23
(percent)
Improved significantly 0.8 1.6 0.0 1.7 0.0 0.9 1.4
Improved slightly 17.9 12.5 22.7 23.9 21.7 30.6 37.1
No change 47.2 39.1 50.4 45.3 55.0 53.7 49.3
Worsened slightly 26.8 39.1 21.0 23.9 17.1 11.1 10.7
Worsened significantly 7.3 7.8 5.9 5.1 6.2 3.7 1.4

NOTES: 140 responses. This question was only posed to those currently trying to hire or recall workers.

2. What is your firm primarily using for its banking needs?
  Apr. '23
Regional bank ($10 billion–$100 billion in assets) 44.3
Large national bank (over $100 billion in assets) 33.7
Small/community bank (community banks less than $10 billion in assets) 16.3
Credit union 1.1
Other 4.6

NOTE: 282 responses.

3. What is your firm primarily using for a source of credit?
  Apr. '23
Regional bank ($10 billion–$100 billion in assets) 40.4
Large national bank (over $100 billion in assets) 25.7
Small/community bank (community banks less than $10 billion in assets) 15.3
Government (SBA loans; federal, state and local government programs) 5.5
Credit union 1.1
Other 12.0

NOTES: 183 responses. These calculations exclude respondents that answered “Not applicable—haven’t sought credit,” which represented 34.9 percent of responses.

4. To what extent is your business having difficulty obtaining financing for desired short-term uses such as paying workers and acquiring inventories of material or supplies?
  Oct. '17
(percent)
Oct. '18
(percent)
Oct. '19
(percent)
Oct. '20
(percent)
Oct. '21
(percent)
Sept. '22
(percent)
Apr. '23
(percent)
No difficulty 78.1 79.7 74.2 76.3 72.8 69.3 64.4
Some difficulty 14.6 14.8 19.5 15.8 22.5 20.7 26.3
Substantial difficulty 4.4 3.1 4.7 2.6 2.6 6.7 4.4
Extreme difficulty 2.9 2.3 1.6 5.3 2.0 3.3 5.0

NOTES: 160 responses. These calculations exclude respondents that answered “Not applicable—haven’t sought credit,” which represented 43.1 percent of responses in Apr. '23, 49.0 percent of responses in Sept. '22, 44.3 percent of responses in Oct. '21, 49.0 percent of responses in Oct. '20, 54.3 percent of responses in Oct. '19, 52.6 percent of responses in Oct. '18, and 48.1 percent of responses in Oct. '17.

5. To what extent is your business having difficulty obtaining financing for desired long-term uses such as capital expenditures?
  Oct. '17
(percent)
Oct. '18
(percent)
Oct. '19
(percent)
Oct. '20
(percent)
Oct. '21
(percent)
Sept. '22
(percent)
Apr. '23
(percent)
No difficulty 72.7 72.5 75.6 65.4 78.1 66.9 63.5
Some difficulty 16.8 21.8 17.8 26.9 18.5 20.1 25.2
Substantial difficulty 5.6 2.8 5.2 5.1 2.1 8.4 6.3
Extreme difficulty 4.9 2.8 1.5 2.6 1.4 4.5 5.0

NOTES: 159 responses. These calculations exclude respondents that answered “Not applicable—haven’t sought credit,” which represented 43.4 percent of responses in Apr. '23, 47.3 percent of responses in Sept. '22, 45.9 percent of responses in Oct. '21, 47.7 percent of responses in Oct. '20, 52.3 percent of responses in Oct. '19, 47.4 percent of responses in Oct. '18, and 46.6 percent of responses in Oct. '17.

Texas Retail Outlook Survey

Data were collected April 11–19, and 59 Texas retailers responded to the survey.

1. Are you currently trying to hire or recall workers?

Oct. '21
(percent)
Jan. '22
(percent)
Apr. '22
(percent)
Jul. '22
(percent)
Oct. '22
(percent)
Jan. '23
(percent)
Apr. '23
(percent)
Yes 69.6 68.2 68.9 64.3 57.6 48.6 43.9
No 30.4 31.8 31.1 35.7 42.4 51.4 56.1

NOTE: 57 responses.

1a. How has the availability of applicants changed over the past month?

Oct. '21
(percent)
Jan. '22
(percent)
Apr. '22
(percent)
Jul. '22
(percent)
Oct. '22
(percent)
Jan. '23
(percent)
Apr. '23
(percent)
Improved significantly 0.0 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Improved slightly 4.2 16.7 16.7 19.4 23.3 25.9 32.0
No change 50.0 37.5 75.0 48.4 53.3 51.9 52.0
Worsened slightly 37.5 37.5 8.3 25.8 16.7 18.5 16.0
Worsened significantly 8.3 0.0 0.0 6.5 6.7 3.7 0.0

NOTES: 25 responses. This question was only posed to those currently trying to hire or recall workers.

2. What is your firm primarily using for its banking needs?
  Apr. '23
Regional bank ($10 billion–$100 billion in assets) 40.4
Large national bank (over $100 billion in assets) 36.8
Small/community bank (community banks less than $10 billion in assets) 21.1
Credit union 0.0
Other 1.8

NOTE: 57 responses.

3. What is your firm primarily using for a source of credit?
  Apr. '23
Regional bank ($10 billion–$100 billion in assets) 43.9
Large national bank (over $100 billion in assets) 29.3
Small/community bank (community banks less than $10 billion in assets) 22.0
Government (SBA loans; federal, state and local government programs) 2.4
Credit union 0.0
Other 2.4

NOTES: 41 responses. These calculations exclude respondents that answered “Not applicable—haven’t sought credit,” which represented 28.1 percent of responses.

4. To what extent is your business having difficulty obtaining financing for desired short-term uses such as paying workers and acquiring inventories of material or supplies?
  Oct. '17
(percent)
Oct. '18
(percent)
Oct. '19
(percent)
Oct. '20
(percent)
Oct. '21
(percent)
Sept. '22
(percent)
Apr. '23
(percent)
No difficulty 82.4 90.0 72.0 100.0 77.3 76.5 74.4
Some difficulty 14.7 10.0 20.0 0.0 18.2 8.8 17.9
Substantial difficulty 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 11.8 2.6
Extreme difficulty 2.9 0.0 4.0 0.0 4.5 2.9 5.1

NOTES: 39 responses. These calculations exclude respondents that answered “Not applicable—haven’t sought credit,” which represented 31.6 percent of responses in Apr. '23, 41.4 percent of responses in Sept. '22, 53.2 percent of responses in Oct. '21, 45.8 percent of responses in Oct. '20, 54.5 percent of responses in Oct. '19, 48.3 percent of responses in Oct. '18, and 39.3 percent of responses in Oct. '17.

5. To what extent is your business having difficulty obtaining financing for desired long-term uses such as capital expenditures?
  Oct. '17
(percent)
Oct. '18
(percent)
Oct. '19
(percent)
Oct. '20
(percent)
Oct. '21
(percent)
Sept. '22
(percent)
Apr. '23
(percent)
No difficulty 82.4 84.4 82.1 78.6 72.7 75.0 76.5
Some difficulty 11.8 12.5 17.9 21.4 18.2 13.9 17.6
Substantial difficulty 2.9 3.1 0.0 0.0 4.5 5.6 2.9
Extreme difficulty 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 5.6 2.9

NOTES: 34 responses. These calculations exclude respondents that answered “Not applicable—haven’t sought credit,” which represented 40.4 percent of responses in Apr. '23, 36.8 percent of responses in Sept. '22, 53.2 percent of responses in Oct. '21, 41.7 percent of responses in Oct. '20, 50.0 percent of responses in Oct. '19, 44.8 percent of responses in Oct. '18, and 40.4 percent of responses in Oct. '17.

Special Questions Comments

These comments have been edited for publication.

Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey

Computer and electronic product manufacturing
  • We have had a $1 million line of credit established with our bank for a number of years and have not required any additional credit facility.
  • No difficulty, as we go to bond markets for a modest amount of debt. We generate enough free cash flow to fund our expansion needs (which are significant right now) and have a strong cash position too, if needed.
Food manufacturing
  • We are debt free and do not borrow. We do have a $1 million revolving line of credit in place.
  • Credit has been challenging. We’re currently paying 10 percent per annum on a working capital line of credit.
Machinery manufacturing
  • With this horrid economy, debt is the last thing on the list.
Primary metal manufacturing
  • Banking is not the problem. Finding customers who need to buy is. Don’t worry about the banks; worry about the coming recession.

Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey

Utilities
  • Economic conditions are tighter than usual since the [interest] rates have gone up.
Accommodation
  • The higher cost of debt is having a heavier impact on our franchise owners than us directly.
Ambulatory health care services
  • Availability of credit is still reasonable, yet the costs have increased significantly due to rising interest rates overall.
Administrative and support services
  • State laws impacting local government's ability to use banks that have an environmental, social and governance (ESG) strategy will force us to attempt to find a new bank, which will be a challenge because of our business volume and required protections. We have some longer-term debt and some operational debt that will make our revenue grow slower than anticipated.
Professional, scientific and technical services
  • We are not looking for financing currently.
  • We are looking for help from the Small Business Administration or other government-related entities to help small business.
  • We have not seen any significant slowdown in construction projects moving forward.
Real estate
  • The real estate markets are completely locked up now. It is imperative we return certainty via a stabilized interest rate policy.
  • As a service business, we're OK, but several of our clients are starting to get desperate.
Publishing industries (except internet)
  • We continue to be able to solicit term sheets and offers from equity investors and lenders (both conventional and private), but the terms are highly structured and restrictive. Overall, the environment is not transaction friendly. It took six months to raise an amount that in years past took half that time. Our company was previously rewarded for high growth rates, and our organization was designed to facilitate such growth. Today, however, those same decisions are hampering our ability to raise capital with the terms we desire. We are therefore making significant organizational changes, including reducing force by hundreds of employees, to ensure we can meet the demands of investors and lenders in this market.
  • Available funds for tech companies are tighter currently.
Warehousing and storage
  • We are currently sitting on a substantial cash surplus, but we also have an untapped line of credit at our disposal.
Rental and leasing services
  • We are not your typical construction machinery dealer. We have preserved and built cash through the pandemic, so financing is not a problem.

Texas Retail Outlook Survey

Nonstore retailers
  • We repeatedly hire workers, then they don't show up or quit soon after they are hired. We have never had this kind of problem before.
Furniture and home furnishings stores
  • Interest rates are high, so [we are] trying not to use debt.
Motor vehicle and parts dealers
  • The interest hikes are eliminating small businesses’ capacity to borrow and stay in business. The environment is extremely hostile; economic activity has diminished in our area.
Food services and drinking places
  • Volatility in the credit markets has raised caution amongst the regional bank managers with whom we work daily.
  • We use small community banks for real estate purchases. We pay cash for all remodeling, equipment and vehicle purchases.

Questions regarding the Texas Business Outlook Surveys can be addressed to Emily Kerr at emily.kerr@dal.frb.org.

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