Special Questions
Special Questions
For this month’s survey, Texas business executives were asked supplemental questions on wages, prices, outlook concerns and remote work. Results below include responses from participants of all three surveys: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey, Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey and Texas Retail Outlook Survey.
Texas Business Outlook Surveys
Data were collected September 17–25, and 326 Texas business executives responded to the surveys.
Dec. '23 | Mar. '24 | June '24 | Sep. '24 | |||||
Past 12 months (percent) |
Next 12 months (percent) |
Past 12 months (percent) |
Next 12 months (percent) |
Past 12 months (percent) |
Next 12 months (percent) |
Past 12 months (percent) |
Next 12 months (percent) |
|
Wages | 5.6 | 4.3 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 4.9 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 3.7 |
Input prices (excluding wages) | 6.2 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 3.2 |
Selling prices | 3.9 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.7 |
NOTES: 290 responses. Shown are averages, calculated as trimmed means with the lowest and highest 5 percent of responses omitted.
Dec. '22 (percent) |
Mar. '23 (percent) |
June '23 (percent) |
Dec. '23 (percent) |
Mar. '24 (percent) |
June '24 (percent) |
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Domestic policy uncertainty (including national elections) | 31.1 | 40.5 | 37.7 | 49.2 | |||
Level of demand/potential recession | 54.4 | 55.6 | 54.8 | 45.6 | 42.0 | 44.9 | 47.6 |
Taxes and regulation | 18.1 | 15.7 | 17.1 | 18.8 | 24.5 | 22.5 | 29.9 |
Labor costs | 42.9 | 32.2 | 39.3 | 37.9 | 34.4 | 33.2 | 28.9 |
Input costs/inflation | 36.1 | 36.4 | 33.4 | 34.5 | 30.2 | 34.4 | 27.7 |
Geopolitical uncertainty | 11.1 | 10.6 | 9.0 | 21.4 | 17.2 | 19.8 | 22.5 |
Labor shortages/difficulty hiring | 38.3 | 34.6 | 31.5 | 27.6 | 25.4 | 23.4 | 21.2 |
Cost of credit/interest rates | 31.8 | 34.0 | 35.7 | 27.9 | 26.3 | 26.3 | 19.3 |
Supply-chain disruptions | 22.4 | 16.2 | 12.1 | 9.7 | 8.5 | 7.8 | 10.3 |
Other | 4.0 | 6.1 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
None | 2.2 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2.6 |
NOTES: 311 responses. "Domestic policy uncertainty" was added in December 2023.
Feb. '20 (percent) |
Aug. '20 (percent) |
Feb. '21 (percent) |
Apr. '22 (percent) |
Sep. '23 (percent) |
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Total | 8.3 | 35.0 | 35.2 | 39.3 | 32.1 | 30.3 |
Fully remote | 15.6 | 14.4 | 13.2 | |||
Hybrid | 23.6 | 17.7 | 17.1 |
NOTES: 297 responses. Shown are averages, calculated as the mean of received responses. Prior to April 2022, respondents were not asked to break out fully remote versus hybrid, and responses could be lower as a result if respondents had in mind only workers working mostly remotely. Responses for February 2020 are from an August 2020 question asking, "What share of your employees were working remotely in February (pre-COVID-19)?"
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Increased | 10.6 |
No change | 76.5 |
Decreased | 12.9 |
NOTE: 311 responses.
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Help recruit and retain employees | 66.7 |
Increase employee morale | 42.4 |
Accommodate office/employee relocations | 36.4 |
Expand geographical radius for hiring | 30.3 |
Increase productivity | 21.2 |
Reduce operating costs (rent, utilities, maintenance, etc.) | 15.2 |
Other | 6.1 |
NOTES: 33 responses. This question was only posed to firms who noted an increase in remote work.
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Improve teamwork/collaboration | 82.5 |
Build company culture | 80.0 |
Have in-person meetings | 62.5 |
Increase productivity | 60.0 |
Meet with customers | 45.0 |
Increase employee morale | 37.5 |
Improve onboarding/training | 32.5 |
Foster more innovation | 27.5 |
Other | 7.5 |
NOTES: 40 responses. This question was only posed to firms who noted a decrease in remote work.
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Significantly higher | 1.6 |
Slightly higher | 2.1 |
About the same | 87.2 |
Slightly lower | 6.6 |
Significantly lower | 2.5 |
NOTE: 243 responses.
Survey respondents were given the opportunity to also provide comments, which can be found in the Comments tab above.
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Data were collected September 17–25, and 79 Texas manufacturers responded to the survey.
Dec. '23 | Mar. '24 | June '24 | Sep. '24 | |||||
Past 12 months (percent) |
Next 12 months (percent) |
Past 12 months (percent) |
Next 12 months (percent) |
Past 12 months (percent) |
Next 12 months (percent) |
Past 12 months (percent) |
Next 12 months (percent) |
|
Wages | 5.6 | 4.1 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 3.4 |
Input prices (excluding wages) | 6.5 | 3.6 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 2.9 |
Selling prices | 3.6 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.7 |
NOTES: 74 responses. Shown are averages, calculated as trimmed means with the lowest and highest 5 percent of responses omitted.
Dec. '22 (percent) |
Mar. '23 (percent) |
June '23 (percent) |
Dec. '23 (percent) |
Mar. '24 (percent) |
June '24 (percent) |
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Level of demand/potential recession | 61.9 | 63.7 | 68.3 | 45.6 | 52.5 | 52.4 | 63.2 |
Domestic policy uncertainty (including national elections) | 38.9 | 46.3 | 41.5 | 56.6 | |||
Taxes and regulation | 21.4 | 16.5 | 22.0 | 24.4 | 23.8 | 30.5 | 31.6 |
Input costs/inflation | 40.5 | 41.8 | 30.5 | 36.7 | 33.8 | 30.5 | 28.9 |
Geopolitical uncertainty | 10.7 | 12.1 | 12.2 | 25.6 | 22.5 | 23.2 | 27.6 |
Labor costs | 36.9 | 35.2 | 35.4 | 32.2 | 28.8 | 26.8 | 26.3 |
Supply-chain disruptions | 32.1 | 19.8 | 17.1 | 15.6 | 7.5 | 13.4 | 19.7 |
Labor shortages/difficulty hiring | 40.5 | 38.5 | 40.2 | 25.6 | 17.5 | 25.6 | 14.5 |
Cost of credit/interest rates | 32.1 | 24.2 | 23.2 | 21.1 | 20.0 | 19.5 | 13.2 |
Other | 0.0 | 5.5 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
None | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 0.0 |
NOTES: 76 responses. "Domestic policy uncertainty" was added in December 2023.
Feb. '20 (percent) |
Aug. '20 (percent) |
Feb. '21 (percent) |
Apr. '22 (percent) |
Sep. '23 (percent) |
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Total | 4.9 | 20.4 | 17.2 | 17.3 | 9.9 | 14.2 |
Fully remote | 5.4 | 4.0 | 8.5 | |||
Hybrid | 12.0 | 5.9 | 5.7 |
NOTES: 77 responses. Shown are averages, calculated as the mean of received responses. Prior to April 2022, respondents were not asked to break out fully remote versus hybrid, and responses could be lower as a result if respondents had in mind only workers working mostly remotely. Responses for February 2020 are from an August 2020 question asking, "What share of your employees were working remotely in February (pre-COVID-19)?"
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Increased | 13.2 |
No change | 75.0 |
Decreased | 11.8 |
NOTE: 76 responses.
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Help recruit and retain employees | 50.0 |
Expand geographical radius for hiring | 40.0 |
Increase employee morale | 40.0 |
Accommodate office/employee relocations | 30.0 |
Reduce operating costs (rent, utilities, maintenance, etc.) | 20.0 |
Increase productivity | 0.0 |
Other | 10.0 |
NOTES: 10 responses. This question was only posed to firms who noted an increase in remote work.
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Improve teamwork/collaboration | 88.9 |
Build company culture | 88.9 |
Increase productivity | 77.8 |
Have in-person meetings | 77.8 |
Increase employee morale | 66.7 |
Foster more innovation | 55.6 |
Meet with customers | 55.6 |
Improve onboarding/training | 44.4 |
Other | 0.0 |
NOTES: 9 responses. This question was only posed to firms who noted a decrease in remote work.
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Significantly higher | 0.0 |
Slightly higher | 1.8 |
About the same | 83.9 |
Slightly lower | 10.7 |
Significantly lower | 3.6 |
NOTE: 56 responses.
Survey respondents were given the opportunity to also provide comments, which can be found in the Comments tab above.
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey
Data were collected September 17–25, and 247 Texas business executives responded to the survey.
Dec. '23 | Mar. '24 | June '24 | Sep. '24 | |||||
Past 12 months (percent) |
Next 12 months (percent) |
Past 12 months (percent) |
Next 12 months (percent) |
Past 12 months (percent) |
Next 12 months (percent) |
Past 12 months (percent) |
Next 12 months (percent) |
|
Wages | 5.7 | 4.5 | 5.1 | 3.7 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 4.6 | 3.9 |
Input prices (excluding wages) | 6.0 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 3.4 |
Selling prices | 4.0 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 2.7 |
NOTES: 216 responses. Shown are averages, calculated as trimmed means with the lowest and highest 5 percent of responses omitted.
Dec. '22 (percent) |
Mar. '23 (percent) |
June '23 (percent) |
Dec. '23 (percent) |
Mar. '24 (percent) |
June '24 (percent) |
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Domestic policy uncertainty (including national elections) | 28.4 | 38.6 | 36.5 | 46.8 | |||
Level of demand/potential recession | 52.3 | 53.0 | 50.7 | 45.6 | 38.6 | 42.5 | 42.6 |
Labor costs | 44.6 | 31.2 | 40.5 | 39.8 | 36.3 | 35.3 | 29.8 |
Taxes and regulation | 17.1 | 15.4 | 15.7 | 16.9 | 24.7 | 19.8 | 29.4 |
Input costs/inflation | 34.8 | 34.7 | 34.3 | 33.7 | 29.1 | 35.7 | 27.2 |
Labor shortages/difficulty hiring | 37.6 | 33.3 | 28.8 | 28.4 | 27.9 | 22.6 | 23.4 |
Cost of credit/interest rates | 31.7 | 37.2 | 39.4 | 30.3 | 28.3 | 28.6 | 21.3 |
Geopolitical uncertainty | 11.1 | 10.2 | 8.0 | 19.9 | 15.5 | 18.7 | 20.9 |
Supply-chain disruptions | 19.5 | 15.1 | 10.6 | 7.7 | 8.8 | 6.0 | 7.2 |
Other | 5.2 | 6.3 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 2.6 |
None | 2.8 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 3.4 |
NOTES: 235 responses. "Domestic policy uncertainty" was added in December 2023.
Feb. '20 (percent) |
Aug. '20 (percent) |
Feb. '21 (percent) |
Apr. '22 (percent) |
Sep. '23 (percent) |
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Total | 9.5 | 40.4 | 42.2 | 47.1 | 39.4 | 35.7 |
Fully remote | 19.4 | 17.8 | 14.9 | |||
Hybrid | 27.7 | 21.6 | 20.8 |
NOTES: 220 responses. Shown are averages, calculated as the mean of received responses. Prior to April 2022, respondents were not asked to break out fully remote versus hybrid, and responses could be lower as a result if respondents had in mind only workers working mostly remotely. Responses for February 2020 are from an August 2020 question asking, "What share of your employees were working remotely in February (pre-COVID-19)?"
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Increased | 9.8 |
No change | 77.0 |
Decreased | 13.2 |
NOTE: 235 responses.
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Help recruit and retain employees | 73.9 |
Increase employee morale | 43.5 |
Accommodate office/employee relocations | 39.1 |
Increase productivity | 30.4 |
Expand geographical radius for hiring | 26.1 |
Reduce operating costs (rent, utilities, maintenance, etc.) | 13.0 |
Other | 4.3 |
NOTES: 23 responses. This question was only posed to firms who noted an increase in remote work.
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Improve teamwork/collaboration | 80.6 |
Build company culture | 77.4 |
Have in-person meetings | 58.1 |
Increase productivity | 54.8 |
Meet with customers | 41.9 |
Improve onboarding/training | 29.0 |
Increase employee morale | 29.0 |
Foster more innovation | 19.4 |
Other | 9.7 |
NOTES: 31 responses. This question was only posed to firms who noted a decrease in remote work.
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Significantly higher | 2.1 |
Slightly higher | 2.1 |
About the same | 88.2 |
Slightly lower | 5.3 |
Significantly lower | 2.1 |
NOTE: 187 responses.
Survey respondents were given the opportunity to also provide comments, which can be found in the Comments tab above.
Texas Retail Outlook Survey
Data were collected September 17–25, and 53 Texas retailers responded to the survey.
Dec. '23 | Mar. '24 | June '24 | Sep. '24 | |||||
Past 12 months (percent) |
Next 12 months (percent) |
Past 12 months (percent) |
Next 12 months (percent) |
Past 12 months (percent) |
Next 12 months (percent) |
Past 12 months (percent) |
Next 12 months (percent) |
|
Wages | 5.8 | 3.5 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 3.8 |
Input prices (excluding wages) | 5.8 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
Selling prices | 4.4 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.3 |
NOTES: 48 responses. Shown are averages, calculated as trimmed means with the lowest and highest 5 percent of responses omitted.
Dec. '22 (percent) |
Mar. '23 (percent) |
June '23 (percent) |
Dec. '23 (percent) |
Mar. '24 (percent) |
June '24 (percent) |
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Level of demand/potential recession | 51.6 | 54.0 | 48.3 | 49.1 | 36.0 | 45.3 | 48.1 |
Domestic policy uncertainty (including national elections) | 29.1 | 34.0 | 28.3 | 42.3 | |||
Input costs/inflation | 35.5 | 39.7 | 23.3 | 34.5 | 34.0 | 37.7 | 26.9 |
Cost of credit/interest rates | 40.3 | 41.3 | 53.3 | 40.0 | 30.0 | 45.3 | 26.9 |
Taxes and regulation | 19.4 | 12.7 | 10.0 | 12.7 | 26.0 | 11.3 | 26.9 |
Labor shortages/difficulty hiring | 29.0 | 28.6 | 31.7 | 30.9 | 34.0 | 18.9 | 25.0 |
Labor costs | 43.5 | 42.9 | 45.0 | 27.3 | 30.0 | 34.0 | 23.1 |
Geopolitical uncertainty | 12.9 | 9.5 | 6.7 | 20.0 | 14.0 | 15.1 | 19.2 |
Supply-chain disruptions | 32.3 | 27.0 | 25.0 | 12.7 | 16.0 | 7.5 | 13.5 |
Other | 3.2 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.0 |
None | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
NOTES: 52 responses. "Domestic policy uncertainty" was added in December 2023.
Feb. '20 (percent) |
Aug. '20 (percent) |
Feb. '21 (percent) |
Apr. '22 (percent) |
Sep. '23 (percent) |
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Total | 6.0 | 21.2 | 28.4 | 28.6 | 21.3 | 14.2 |
Fully remote | 17.7 | 15.1 | 8.9 | |||
Hybrid | 10.9 | 6.3 | 5.3 |
NOTES: 50 responses. Shown are averages, calculated as the mean of received responses. Prior to April 2022, respondents were not asked to break out fully remote versus hybrid, and responses could be lower as a result if respondents had in mind only workers working mostly remotely. Responses for February 2020 are from an August 2020 question asking, "What share of your employees were working remotely in February (pre-COVID-19)?"
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Increased | 5.8 |
No change | 86.5 |
Decreased | 7.7 |
NOTE: 52 responses.
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Help recruit and retain employees | 66.7 |
Accommodate office/employee relocations | 33.3 |
Increase productivity | 33.3 |
Increase employee morale | 33.3 |
Expand geographical radius for hiring | 0.0 |
Reduce operating costs (rent, utilities, maintenance, etc.) | 0.0 |
Other | 0.0 |
NOTES: 3 responses. This question was only posed to firms who noted an increase in remote work.
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Improve teamwork/collaboration | 100.0 |
Increase productivity | 75.0 |
Build company culture | 75.0 |
Meet with customers | 50.0 |
Have in-person meetings | 50.0 |
Increase employee morale | 50.0 |
Foster more innovation | 25.0 |
Improve onboarding/training | 25.0 |
Other | 0.0 |
NOTES: 4 responses. This question was only posed to firms who noted a decrease in remote work.
Sep. '24 (percent) |
|
Significantly higher | 0.0 |
Slightly higher | 0.0 |
About the same | 91.2 |
Slightly lower | 5.9 |
Significantly lower | 2.9 |
NOTE: 34 responses.
Survey respondents were given the opportunity to also provide comments, which can be found in the Comments tab above.
Questions regarding the Texas Business Outlook Surveys can be addressed to Emily Kerr at emily.kerr@dal.frb.org.
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Special Questions Comments
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