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Surveys

Special Questions

Texas Business Outlook Surveys
September 30, 2024

Special Questions

For this month’s survey, Texas business executives were asked supplemental questions on wages, prices, outlook concerns and remote work. Results below include responses from participants of all three surveys: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey, Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey and Texas Retail Outlook Survey.

Texas Business Outlook Surveys

Data were collected September 17–25, and 326 Texas business executives responded to the surveys.

1. What percent change in wages, input prices and selling prices did your firm experience over the past 12 months, and what do you expect over the next 12 months?
  Dec. '23 Mar. '24 June '24 Sep. '24
  Past 12 months
(percent)
Next 12 months
(percent)
Past 12 months
(percent)
Next 12 months
(percent)
Past 12 months
(percent)
Next 12 months
(percent)
Past 12 months
(percent)
Next 12 months
(percent)
Wages 5.6 4.3 4.9 3.6 4.9 3.5 4.4 3.7
Input prices (excluding wages) 6.2 4.2 5.0 3.6 4.9 3.7 4.1 3.2
Selling prices 3.9 3.5 3.0 2.9 3.2 2.8 3.0 2.7

NOTES: 290 responses. Shown are averages, calculated as trimmed means with the lowest and highest 5 percent of responses omitted.

2. What are the primary concerns around your firm’s outlook over the next six months, if any? Please select up to three.
  Dec. '22
(percent)
Mar. '23
(percent)
June '23
(percent)
Dec. '23
(percent)
Mar. '24
(percent)
June '24
(percent)
Sep. '24
(percent)
Domestic policy uncertainty (including national elections) 31.1 40.5 37.7 49.2
Level of demand/potential recession 54.4 55.6 54.8 45.6 42.0 44.9 47.6
Taxes and regulation 18.1 15.7 17.1 18.8 24.5 22.5 29.9
Labor costs 42.9 32.2 39.3 37.9 34.4 33.2 28.9
Input costs/inflation 36.1 36.4 33.4 34.5 30.2 34.4 27.7
Geopolitical uncertainty 11.1 10.6 9.0 21.4 17.2 19.8 22.5
Labor shortages/difficulty hiring 38.3 34.6 31.5 27.6 25.4 23.4 21.2
Cost of credit/interest rates 31.8 34.0 35.7 27.9 26.3 26.3 19.3
Supply-chain disruptions 22.4 16.2 12.1 9.7 8.5 7.8 10.3
Other 4.0 6.1 5.3 2.6 2.7 2.4 2.3
None 2.2 3.2 3.4 2.8 4.2 4.2 2.6

NOTES: 311 responses. "Domestic policy uncertainty" was added in December 2023.

3. What share of your employees is currently working remotely? Please provide shares for fully remote versus hybrid (combination of on-site and remote work).
  Feb. '20
(percent)
Aug. '20
(percent)
Feb. '21
(percent)
Apr. '22
(percent)
Sep. '23
(percent)
Sep. '24
(percent)
Total 8.3 35.0 35.2 39.3 32.1 30.3
Fully remote 15.6 14.4 13.2
Hybrid 23.6 17.7 17.1

NOTES: 297 responses. Shown are averages, calculated as the mean of received responses. Prior to April 2022, respondents were not asked to break out fully remote versus hybrid, and responses could be lower as a result if respondents had in mind only workers working mostly remotely. Responses for February 2020 are from an August 2020 question asking, "What share of your employees were working remotely in February (pre-COVID-19)?"

4. How has the share of employees working remotely changed over the past year?

Sep. '24
(percent)
Increased 10.6
No change 76.5
Decreased 12.9

NOTE: 311 responses.

4a. What motivated the increase in remote work? Please select all that apply.

Sep. '24
(percent)
Help recruit and retain employees 66.7
Increase employee morale 42.4
Accommodate office/employee relocations  36.4
Expand geographical radius for hiring 30.3
Increase productivity 21.2
Reduce operating costs (rent, utilities, maintenance, etc.) 15.2
Other 6.1

NOTES: 33 responses. This question was only posed to firms who noted an increase in remote work.

4b. What motivated the decrease in remote work? Please select all that apply.

Sep. '24
(percent)
Improve teamwork/collaboration 82.5
Build company culture 80.0
Have in-person meetings 62.5
Increase productivity 60.0
Meet with customers 45.0
Increase employee morale 37.5
Improve onboarding/training 32.5
Foster more innovation 27.5
Other 7.5

NOTES: 40 responses. This question was only posed to firms who noted a decrease in remote work.

5. For employees who work mostly or entirely remotely, how has wage growth over the past year compared with wage growth for similar employees who work mostly on-site?

Sep. '24
(percent)
Significantly higher 1.6
Slightly higher 2.1
About the same 87.2
Slightly lower 6.6
Significantly lower 2.5

NOTE: 243 responses.

Survey respondents were given the opportunity to also provide comments, which can be found in the Comments tab above.

Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey

Data were collected September 17–25, and 79 Texas manufacturers responded to the survey.

1. What percent change in wages, input prices and selling prices did your firm experience over the past 12 months, and what do you expect over the next 12 months?
  Dec. '23 Mar. '24 June '24 Sep. '24
  Past 12 months
(percent)
Next 12 months
(percent)
Past 12 months
(percent)
Next 12 months
(percent)
Past 12 months
(percent)
Next 12 months
(percent)
Past 12 months
(percent)
Next 12 months
(percent)
Wages 5.6 4.1 4.6 3.4 4.4 3.3 4.1 3.4
Input prices (excluding wages) 6.5 3.6 4.6 3.5 4.9 3.4 3.6 2.9
Selling prices 3.6 2.8 2.6 3.0 3.7 3.0 2.8 2.7

NOTES: 74 responses. Shown are averages, calculated as trimmed means with the lowest and highest 5 percent of responses omitted.

2. What are the primary concerns around your firm’s outlook over the next six months, if any? Please select up to three.
  Dec. '22
(percent)
Mar. '23
(percent)
June '23
(percent)
Dec. '23
(percent)
Mar. '24
(percent)
June '24
(percent)
Sep. '24
(percent)
Level of demand/potential recession 61.9 63.7 68.3 45.6 52.5 52.4 63.2
Domestic policy uncertainty (including national elections) 38.9 46.3 41.5 56.6
Taxes and regulation 21.4 16.5 22.0 24.4 23.8 30.5 31.6
Input costs/inflation 40.5 41.8 30.5 36.7 33.8 30.5 28.9
Geopolitical uncertainty 10.7 12.1 12.2 25.6 22.5 23.2 27.6
Labor costs 36.9 35.2 35.4 32.2 28.8 26.8 26.3
Supply-chain disruptions 32.1 19.8 17.1 15.6 7.5 13.4 19.7
Labor shortages/difficulty hiring 40.5 38.5 40.2 25.6 17.5 25.6 14.5
Cost of credit/interest rates 32.1 24.2 23.2 21.1 20.0 19.5 13.2
Other 0.0 5.5 7.3 3.3 0.0 2.4 1.3
None 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.4 0.0

NOTES: 76 responses. "Domestic policy uncertainty" was added in December 2023.

3. What share of your employees is currently working remotely? Please provide shares for fully remote versus hybrid (combination of on-site and remote work).
  Feb. '20
(percent)
Aug. '20
(percent)
Feb. '21
(percent)
Apr. '22
(percent)
Sep. '23
(percent)
Sep. '24
(percent)
Total 4.9 20.4 17.2 17.3 9.9 14.2
Fully remote 5.4 4.0 8.5
Hybrid 12.0 5.9 5.7

NOTES: 77 responses. Shown are averages, calculated as the mean of received responses. Prior to April 2022, respondents were not asked to break out fully remote versus hybrid, and responses could be lower as a result if respondents had in mind only workers working mostly remotely. Responses for February 2020 are from an August 2020 question asking, "What share of your employees were working remotely in February (pre-COVID-19)?"

4. How has the share of employees working remotely changed over the past year?

Sep. '24
(percent)
Increased 13.2
No change 75.0
Decreased 11.8

NOTE: 76 responses.

4a. What motivated the increase in remote work? Please select all that apply.

Sep. '24
(percent)
Help recruit and retain employees 50.0
Expand geographical radius for hiring 40.0
Increase employee morale 40.0
Accommodate office/employee relocations  30.0
Reduce operating costs (rent, utilities, maintenance, etc.) 20.0
Increase productivity 0.0
Other 10.0

NOTES: 10 responses. This question was only posed to firms who noted an increase in remote work.

4b. What motivated the decrease in remote work? Please select all that apply.

Sep. '24
(percent)
Improve teamwork/collaboration 88.9
Build company culture 88.9
Increase productivity 77.8
Have in-person meetings 77.8
Increase employee morale 66.7
Foster more innovation 55.6
Meet with customers 55.6
Improve onboarding/training 44.4
Other 0.0

NOTES: 9 responses. This question was only posed to firms who noted a decrease in remote work.

5. For employees who work mostly or entirely remotely, how has wage growth over the past year compared with wage growth for similar employees who work mostly on-site?

Sep. '24
(percent)
Significantly higher 0.0
Slightly higher 1.8
About the same 83.9
Slightly lower 10.7
Significantly lower 3.6

NOTE: 56 responses.

Survey respondents were given the opportunity to also provide comments, which can be found in the Comments tab above.

Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey

Data were collected September 17–25, and 247 Texas business executives responded to the survey.

1. What percent change in wages, input prices and selling prices did your firm experience over the past 12 months, and what do you expect over the next 12 months?
  Dec. '23 Mar. '24 June '24 Sep. '24
  Past 12 months
(percent)
Next 12 months
(percent)
Past 12 months
(percent)
Next 12 months
(percent)
Past 12 months
(percent)
Next 12 months
(percent)
Past 12 months
(percent)
Next 12 months
(percent)
Wages 5.7 4.5 5.1 3.7 5.0 3.6 4.6 3.9
Input prices (excluding wages) 6.0 4.5 5.0 3.6 4.9 3.8 4.4 3.4
Selling prices 4.0 3.7 3.2 2.8 3.0 2.7 3.1 2.7

NOTES: 216 responses. Shown are averages, calculated as trimmed means with the lowest and highest 5 percent of responses omitted.

2. What are the primary concerns around your firm’s outlook over the next six months, if any? Please select up to three.
  Dec. '22
(percent)
Mar. '23
(percent)
June '23
(percent)
Dec. '23
(percent)
Mar. '24
(percent)
June '24
(percent)
Sep. '24
(percent)
Domestic policy uncertainty (including national elections) 28.4 38.6 36.5 46.8
Level of demand/potential recession 52.3 53.0 50.7 45.6 38.6 42.5 42.6
Labor costs 44.6 31.2 40.5 39.8 36.3 35.3 29.8
Taxes and regulation 17.1 15.4 15.7 16.9 24.7 19.8 29.4
Input costs/inflation 34.8 34.7 34.3 33.7 29.1 35.7 27.2
Labor shortages/difficulty hiring 37.6 33.3 28.8 28.4 27.9 22.6 23.4
Cost of credit/interest rates 31.7 37.2 39.4 30.3 28.3 28.6 21.3
Geopolitical uncertainty 11.1 10.2 8.0 19.9 15.5 18.7 20.9
Supply-chain disruptions 19.5 15.1 10.6 7.7 8.8 6.0 7.2
Other 5.2 6.3 4.7 2.3 3.6 2.4 2.6
None 2.8 3.9 4.4 3.8 4.8 4.8 3.4

NOTES: 235 responses. "Domestic policy uncertainty" was added in December 2023.

3. What share of your employees is currently working remotely? Please provide shares for fully remote versus hybrid (combination of on-site and remote work).
  Feb. '20
(percent)
Aug. '20
(percent)
Feb. '21
(percent)
Apr. '22
(percent)
Sep. '23
(percent)
Sep. '24
(percent)
Total 9.5 40.4 42.2 47.1 39.4 35.7
Fully remote 19.4 17.8 14.9
Hybrid 27.7 21.6 20.8

NOTES: 220 responses. Shown are averages, calculated as the mean of received responses. Prior to April 2022, respondents were not asked to break out fully remote versus hybrid, and responses could be lower as a result if respondents had in mind only workers working mostly remotely. Responses for February 2020 are from an August 2020 question asking, "What share of your employees were working remotely in February (pre-COVID-19)?"

4. How has the share of employees working remotely changed over the past year?

Sep. '24
(percent)
Increased 9.8
No change 77.0
Decreased 13.2

NOTE: 235 responses.

4a. What motivated the increase in remote work? Please select all that apply.

Sep. '24
(percent)
Help recruit and retain employees 73.9
Increase employee morale 43.5
Accommodate office/employee relocations  39.1
Increase productivity 30.4
Expand geographical radius for hiring 26.1
Reduce operating costs (rent, utilities, maintenance, etc.) 13.0
Other 4.3

NOTES: 23 responses. This question was only posed to firms who noted an increase in remote work.

4b. What motivated the decrease in remote work? Please select all that apply.

Sep. '24
(percent)
Improve teamwork/collaboration 80.6
Build company culture 77.4
Have in-person meetings 58.1
Increase productivity 54.8
Meet with customers 41.9
Improve onboarding/training 29.0
Increase employee morale 29.0
Foster more innovation 19.4
Other 9.7

NOTES: 31 responses. This question was only posed to firms who noted a decrease in remote work.

5. For employees who work mostly or entirely remotely, how has wage growth over the past year compared with wage growth for similar employees who work mostly on-site?

Sep. '24
(percent)
Significantly higher 2.1
Slightly higher 2.1
About the same 88.2
Slightly lower 5.3
Significantly lower 2.1

NOTE: 187 responses.

Survey respondents were given the opportunity to also provide comments, which can be found in the Comments tab above.

Texas Retail Outlook Survey

Data were collected September 17–25, and 53 Texas retailers responded to the survey.

1. What percent change in wages, input prices and selling prices did your firm experience over the past 12 months, and what do you expect over the next 12 months?
  Dec. '23 Mar. '24 June '24 Sep. '24
  Past 12 months
(percent)
Next 12 months
(percent)
Past 12 months
(percent)
Next 12 months
(percent)
Past 12 months
(percent)
Next 12 months
(percent)
Past 12 months
(percent)
Next 12 months
(percent)
Wages 5.8 3.5 4.9 3.3 4.5 2.6 4.6 3.8
Input prices (excluding wages) 5.8 3.6 3.5 2.7 4.4 2.6 3.4 2.5
Selling prices 4.4 2.9 2.0 2.4 2.4 1.8 2.0 2.3

NOTES: 48 responses. Shown are averages, calculated as trimmed means with the lowest and highest 5 percent of responses omitted.

2. What are the primary concerns around your firm’s outlook over the next six months, if any? Please select up to three.
  Dec. '22
(percent)
Mar. '23
(percent)
June '23
(percent)
Dec. '23
(percent)
Mar. '24
(percent)
June '24
(percent)
Sep. '24
(percent)
Level of demand/potential recession 51.6 54.0 48.3 49.1 36.0 45.3 48.1
Domestic policy uncertainty (including national elections) 29.1 34.0 28.3 42.3
Input costs/inflation 35.5 39.7 23.3 34.5 34.0 37.7 26.9
Cost of credit/interest rates 40.3 41.3 53.3 40.0 30.0 45.3 26.9
Taxes and regulation 19.4 12.7 10.0 12.7 26.0 11.3 26.9
Labor shortages/difficulty hiring 29.0 28.6 31.7 30.9 34.0 18.9 25.0
Labor costs 43.5 42.9 45.0 27.3 30.0 34.0 23.1
Geopolitical uncertainty 12.9 9.5 6.7 20.0 14.0 15.1 19.2
Supply-chain disruptions 32.3 27.0 25.0 12.7 16.0 7.5 13.5
Other 3.2 6.3 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.9 0.0
None 3.2 3.2 3.3 1.8 4.0 3.8 3.8

NOTES: 52 responses. "Domestic policy uncertainty" was added in December 2023.

3. What share of your employees is currently working remotely? Please provide shares for fully remote versus hybrid (combination of on-site and remote work).
  Feb. '20
(percent)
Aug. '20
(percent)
Feb. '21
(percent)
Apr. '22
(percent)
Sep. '23
(percent)
Sep. '24
(percent)
Total 6.0 21.2 28.4 28.6 21.3 14.2
Fully remote 17.7 15.1 8.9
Hybrid 10.9 6.3 5.3

NOTES: 50 responses. Shown are averages, calculated as the mean of received responses. Prior to April 2022, respondents were not asked to break out fully remote versus hybrid, and responses could be lower as a result if respondents had in mind only workers working mostly remotely. Responses for February 2020 are from an August 2020 question asking, "What share of your employees were working remotely in February (pre-COVID-19)?"

4. How has the share of employees working remotely changed over the past year?

Sep. '24
(percent)
Increased 5.8
No change 86.5
Decreased 7.7

NOTE: 52 responses.

4a. What motivated the increase in remote work? Please select all that apply.

Sep. '24
(percent)
Help recruit and retain employees 66.7
Accommodate office/employee relocations  33.3
Increase productivity 33.3
Increase employee morale 33.3
Expand geographical radius for hiring 0.0
Reduce operating costs (rent, utilities, maintenance, etc.) 0.0
Other 0.0

NOTES: 3 responses. This question was only posed to firms who noted an increase in remote work.

4b. What motivated the decrease in remote work? Please select all that apply.

Sep. '24
(percent)
Improve teamwork/collaboration 100.0
Increase productivity 75.0
Build company culture 75.0
Meet with customers 50.0
Have in-person meetings 50.0
Increase employee morale 50.0
Foster more innovation 25.0
Improve onboarding/training 25.0
Other 0.0

NOTES: 4 responses. This question was only posed to firms who noted a decrease in remote work.

5. For employees who work mostly or entirely remotely, how has wage growth over the past year compared with wage growth for similar employees who work mostly on-site?

Sep. '24
(percent)
Significantly higher 0.0
Slightly higher 0.0
About the same 91.2
Slightly lower 5.9
Significantly lower 2.9

NOTE: 34 responses.

Survey respondents were given the opportunity to also provide comments, which can be found in the Comments tab above.

Special Questions Comments

These comments have been edited for publication.

Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Computer and electronic product manufacturing
  • We only use remote work for high-skill individual contributors. We have no intention to expand this and would gradually reduce it as existing remote employees turn over.
Food manufacturing
  • We are seeing modest growth in input costs, mostly associated with commodities such as beef and pork. Our concern is that these will be a headwind for us as we will not be able to pass along future price increases due to the economic conditions. As a result, we are focusing on cost-savings ideas to offset the rising commodity costs. We have had good success with offering hybrid work to our administrative staff and will continue to offer this option for the foreseeable future.
  • Being a food manufacturer, few jobs can be performed remotely—mostly management jobs. We just gave wage increases to hourly employees. The range was from 3 percent to 12 percent, with an overall average of 8 percent. We set the minimum wage at $14 per hour. It is challenging to find good, motivated people who want a stable job.
Machinery manufacturing
  • No one works remotely. Not even those who are paid to do so!
Plastics and rubber products manufacturing
  • Next year doesn't look too rosy. Oil demand is dropping, driven by China’s slowing economy. The supply glut is high, driven by U.S. drilling operations. Then there is OPEC trying to keep prices up and not increase drilling.
Primary metal manufacturing
  • Prices are increasing significantly due to a new product line being added.
Transportation equipment manufacturing
  • Most of our remote employees are regional sales people. For others, we are about ready to require them to be on-site at least four days per week. It takes a unique person to work remotely and be as productive as someone in the office exclusively.
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey
Real estate
  • We resisted requests to work remotely and that has paid off. Most of our workforce has to be on-site, so it's only fair that everyone else come to the office as well. In the end, they appreciate the camaraderie.
Waste management and remediation services
  • Our company is in manufacturing. All staff, regardless of accounting, HR, production, sales, etc., works at the plant. We do not offer remote work.
Management of companies and enterprises
  • We are a bank, and in 12 months our net interest spread was down 25 percent.
Professional, scientific and technical services
  • Remote work is not desired by our firm, but it has been necessary because of a lack of available labor pool within the city. We do not allow remote work if the employee lives in the city where the office is located. Remote work is only available for experienced, high performing employees.
  • All things considered, downward inflation has a direct impact on employee mood and morale.
  • We only allow our employees to work hybrid. We feel the culture of the company suffers when employees work remote.
  • We are fully remote since March 2020
  • In-office requirements are based on role. For example, our software engineers are 100 percent remote regardless of geography.
  • Most of our people who work remotely are back-office employees. Employees who have direct access to our clients are mostly in the office.
Insurance carriers and related activities
  • Our input and sales prices do not reflect revenue growth. We are insurance brokers, so those are property insurance rate increases as well as cyber liability rates.
Securities, commodity contracts and other financial investments and related activities
  • None of our employees works remotely.
Credit intermediation and related activities
  • Remote work has been primarily related to the quality of talent and commitment.
  • We have not given wage increases. We can't afford to increase compensation.
Data processing, hosting and related services
  • The pressure on management to run a competitive company, manage employees who are not in the office, manage clients who are also working remotely, and manage inflating costs while selling prices are stagnant is extremely challenging.
Texas Retail Outlook Survey
Furniture and home furnishings stores
  • We have no remote workers or hybrid.
Merchant wholesalers, durable goods
  • Our hybrid workforce was working 15 percent in the office. Then we requested they work 40–50 percent in the office, and they are voluntarily complying. Our plan is to move the amount of in-office work by the hybrid employees to 60 percent in 2025.
Food services and drinking places
  • We worry about domestic policy uncertainty, elections. input costs inflation and geopolitical uncertainty.

Questions regarding the Texas Business Outlook Surveys can be addressed to Emily Kerr at emily.kerr@dal.frb.org.

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