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Surveys

Special Questions

Texas Business Outlook Surveys
August 31, 2026

Special Questions

For this month’s survey, Texas business executives were asked supplemental questions on demand and margins. Results below include responses from participants from both the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey and Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey.

Texas Business Outlook Surveys

Data were collected Aug. 18–26 and 304 Texas business executives responded to the surveys.

1. How do you expect demand for your firm's goods and/or services over the next six months to compare with the past six months, aside from seasonal variation?

Demand expectations among Texas businesses are now slightly less bullish than what was reported in February. Of responding firms, 43 percent expect increases in demand over the next six months, exceeding the 17 percent share expecting decreases. Manufacturers in particular report optimism regarding future demand.

Chart 1
2. Compared to six months ago, how has your firm’s ability to pass price increases on to customers changed?

Pricing power has declined on net over the past six months as more firms said it’s gotten harder to pass price increases on to customers than said it’s gotten easier.

Chart 2
3. How has your firm’s operating margin (defined as earnings before interest and taxes, or EBIT, as a share of total revenue) changed over the past six months?

Margin compression continues on net, as the share of Texas businesses citing decreases in margins exceeds the share citing increases.

Chart 3

The following question was posed to those answering increased/decreased substantially to question 3.

3a. What is the main factor driving the change in your firm’s operating margin over the past six months?

Responses can be found on the individual survey Special Questions results pages, accessible on the Manufacturing and Service Sector tabs above.

4. How do you expect your firm’s operating margin (defined as earnings before interest and taxes, or EBIT, as a share of total revenue) to change over the next six months?

Looking ahead, more Texas businesses expect increases than expect decreases in margins over the next six months. Expectations of margin growth were most widespread among manufacturers (45 percent).

Chart 4

Survey respondents were given the opportunity to also provide comments, which can be found in the Comments tab above.

Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey

Data were collected August 18–26, and 68 Texas manufacturers responded to the survey.

1. How do you expect demand for your firm's goods and/or services over the next six months to compare with the past six months, aside from seasonal variation?
  Feb. '23
(percent)
Feb. '24
(percent)
Aug. '24
(percent)
Feb. '25
(percent)
Aug. '25
(percent)
Feb. '26
(percent)
Aug. '26
(percent)
Increase substantially 11.0 5.5 1.3 19.8 12.3 14.3 13.4
Increase slightly 30.0 46.2 53.8 43.0 37.0 42.9 38.8
Remain the same 28.0 23.1 20.0 15.1 29.6 26.0 28.4
Decrease slightly 17.0 17.6 22.5 18.6 16.0 14.3 14.9
Decrease substantially 14.0 7.7 2.5 3.5 4.9 2.6 4.5

NOTE: 67 responses.

2. Compared to six months ago, how has your firm’s ability to pass price increases on to customers changed?
  Apr. '25
(percent)
Aug. '25
(percent)
Aug. '26
(percent)
Much easier 1.3 1.3 3.0
Somewhat easier   22.5 16.5 19.7
No change 38.8 46.8 42.4
Somewhat harder   22.5 27.8 19.7
Much harder 15.0 7.6 15.2

NOTES: 66 responses. Prior to Aug. '26, the question asked compared to three months ago.

3. How has your firm’s operating margin (defined as earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) as a share of total revenue) changed over the past six months?
  May '19
(percent)
Dec. '21
(percent)
Nov. '22
(percent)
Nov. '23
(percent
Nov. '24
(percent
Nov. '25
(percent
Aug. '26
(percent)
Increased substantially 11.4 4.6 5.3 2.3 4.8 1.5 4.5
Increased slightly 23.8 26.4 14.7 32.2 21.4 19.4 28.4
Remained the same 22.9 19.5 20.0 18.4 28.6 28.4 25.4
Decreased slightly 33.3 25.3 38.9 27.6 32.1 34.3 31.3
Decreased substantially 8.6 24.1 21.1 19.5 13.1 16.4 10.4

NOTE: 67 responses.

The following question was posed to those answering increased/decreased substantially to question 3.

3a. What is the main factor driving the change in your firm’s operating margin over the past six months?
Respondents noting substantially increased operating margins
Primary metals
  • Tighter supply.
Machinery manufacturing
  • Price flexibility.
Computer and electronic product manufacturing
  • Product sales mix and price increases to customers.
Respondents noting substantially decreased operating margins
Beverage and tobacco product manufacturing
  • Increases in wages are not being offset by increases in prices for goods sold.
Paper manufacturing
  • Freight costs due to higher fuel costs. Raw materials have increased a little more than selling prices.
Machinery manufacturing
  • Lack of work.
Computer and electronic product manufacturing
  • Price and tariff increases. We got a significant tariff refund, so that may improve the numbers once they are calculated.
4. How do you expect your firm’s operating margin (defined as earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) as a share of total revenue) to change over the next six months?

Nov. '22
(percent)
Feb. '23
(percent)
Nov. '23
(percent)
Nov. '24
(percent)
Nov. '25
(percent)
Aug. '26
(percent)
Increase substantially 5.3 3.0 4.6 16.7 6.0 3.0
Increase slightly 32.6 37.0 24.1 35.7 35.8 41.8
Remain the same 20.0 21.0 28.7 35.7 31.3 31.3
Decrease slightly 28.4 31.0 28.7 10.7 19.4 17.9
Decrease substantially 13.7 8.0 13.8 1.2 7.5 6.0

NOTE: 67 responses.

Survey respondents were given the opportunity to also provide comments, which can be found in the Comments tab above.

Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey

Data were collected August 18–26, and 236 Texas business executives responded to the survey.

1. How do you expect demand for your firm's goods and/or services over the next six months to compare with the past six months, aside from seasonal variation?
  Feb. '23
(percent)
Feb. '24
(percent)
Aug. '24
(percent)
Feb. '25
(percent)
Aug. '25
(percent)
Feb. '26
(percent)
Aug. '26
(percent)
Increase substantially 7.0 4.5 3.5 7.2 4.5 6.4 5.6
Increase slightly 36.2 47.4 41.2 50.0 37.2 44.2 34.5
Remain the same 31.2 29.3 33.3 29.2 37.2 34.3 43.5
Decrease slightly 21.6 16.9 19.2 11.0 16.6 13.7 13.8
Decrease substantially 4.0 1.9 2.7 2.5 4.5 1.3 2.6

NOTE: 232 responses.

2. Compared to six months ago, how has your firm’s ability to pass price increases on to customers changed?
  Apr. '25
(percent)
Aug. '25
(percent)
Aug. '26
(percent)
Much easier 0.4 0.4 0.4
Somewhat easier   9.8 12.5 15.2
No change 51.2 54.7 50.4
Somewhat harder   24.0 21.6 22.8
Much harder 14.6 10.8 11.2

NOTES: 224 responses. Prior to Aug. '26, the question asked compared to three months ago.

3. How has your firm’s operating margin (defined as earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) as a share of total revenue) changed over the past six months?
  May '19
(percent)
Dec. '21
(percent)
Nov. '22
(percent)
Nov. '23
(percent
Nov. '24
(percent
Nov. '25
(percent
Aug. '26
(percent)
Increased substantially 4.0 11.9 3.0 1.8 3.2 2.1 2.1
Increased slightly 22.5 34.3 24.0 19.9 24.2 18.6 21.0
Remained the same 31.7 17.8 27.0 29.4 39.3 33.9 29.6
Decreased slightly 33.7 25.8 33.0 34.6 25.0 33.1 38.2
Decreased substantially 8.0 10.2 13.0 14.3 8.3 12.3 9.0

NOTE: 233 responses.

The following question was posed to those answering increased/decreased substantially to question 3.

3a. What is the main factor driving the change in your firm’s operating margin over the past six months?
Respondents noting substantially increased operating margins
Motor vehicle and parts dealers
  • Expense control.
Real estate
  • More activity and sales.
Professional, scientific and technical services
  • Steady improvement in contracted projects while holding staff size constant resulted in increased margin. We had the capacity to handle the additional workload without hiring.
Social assistance
  • Productivity improvements.
Respondents noting substantially decreased operating margins
Motor vehicle and parts dealers
  • Inflated prices and high interest rates.
  • New vehicle margins have declined considerably.
Furniture and home furnishings stores
  • Lower gross margins on sales, increased expenses.
Air transportation
  • Fuel prices.
Support activities for transportation
  • Gas prices.
Data processing, hosting and related services
  • Lack of additional revenue.
Insurance carriers and related activities
  • Cost increases and decreased demand.
Real estate
  • We got very busy and needed to add manpower. The people we have been able to find have not been as productive as our core employees, and that lack of productivity has led to working more overtime and reduced margins.
Professional, scientific and technical services
  • Client attrition.
  • Interest rates.
  • High wages.
Administrative and support services
  • Less demand for executive search, contingency hiring and interim contractors. Less demand, less opportunity for revenue, expenses higher (software providers raising prices).
  • Cost of everything, limited ability to pass on the costs to customers.
Food services and drinking places
  • Fixed costs have gone up while sales have gone down.
  • Inflation. The price of labor and goods continues to increase.
  • Declining sales and increased expenditures.
4. How do you expect your firm’s operating margin (defined as earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) as a share of total revenue) to change over the next six months?

Nov. '22
(percent)
Feb. '23
(percent)
Nov. '23
(percent)
Nov. '24
(percent)
Nov. '25
(percent)
Aug. '26
(percent)
Increase substantially 4.0 5.7 4.4 5.2 4.2 3.4
Increase slightly 29.2 30.0 25.4 39.8 30.9 31.3
Remain the same 27.2 27.0 32.0 34.7 35.2 34.8
Decrease slightly 30.6 31.3 30.9 16.7 25.4 26.6
Decrease substantially 9.0 6.0 7.4 3.6 4.2 3.9

NOTE: 233 responses.

Survey respondents were given the opportunity to also provide comments, which can be found in the Comments tab above.

Special Questions Comments

Survey participants are given the opportunity to submit comments. Some comments have been edited for grammar and clarity.

Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Computer and electronic product manufacturing
  • We have seen 2-3 percentage points of operating margin compression over the last six months. Three major factors: raw material costs, labor costs and health insurance costs. Our health insurance cost went up 30 percent over last year at our Sept. 1 renewal. Other business owners tell me they are seeing the same thing. Our employees need this benefit, so our only option is to either pass this cost to our customers or accept margin compression. We're doing our best to raise prices, but it is easy to get behind when our costs increase this much and this quickly.
Food manufacturing
  • Overhead costs are increasing as well as overtime with labor increasing.
  • We are seeing margin improvement over the past six months due primarily to operational improvements within our COGS (cost of goods sold). We are using AI and other technology-related tools to improve processes and workflows to eliminate non-value-added costs.
Plastics and rubber products manufacturing
  • We took a bath last year trying to figure out tariff uncertainty. We have clawed back a little improved operating margin thanks to price increases this year.
Primary metal manufacturing
  • We are hopeful that more business will continue to be onshored in the months ahead, but that will be directly influenced by whether the administration provides tariff relief to Canada and Mexico. If it does, our business will suffer.
Transportation equipment manufacturing
  • We need to pass along 100 percent of the cost increases in raw materials driven by the tariffs.
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey
Accommodation
  • It is difficult to hold or grow operating margins in a stagnant revenue cycle with high inflation impacting input pricing.
Administrative and support services
  • I am hoping to hire a new full-time employee, and that will lower operating margin for a time.
Ambulatory health care services
  • Supply and vendor service costs are all up 15-30 percent, while our revenue per patient has stayed relatively flat. Availability of qualified staff has improved, but asking pay rates are well above our budgeted range, by 20-30 percent.
Credit intermediation and related activities
  • The demand for loans had softened. The increase in government spending and the level in the U.S. debt is a major concern.
  • We are experiencing customers slow-paying.
Electronics and appliance stores
  • It is tough being in business.
Food services and drinking places
  • Our consumers cannot take any more price increases.
Food and beverage stores
  • Since we are a food-based company, it is not possible to increase pricing at this time.  We have asked our customers about this, and their response is that they are stretching their dollar as far as it will go.
Merchant wholesalers, durable goods
  • Selling, general and administrative costs are significantly higher, which has eroded EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) margins.
Merchant wholesalers, nondurable goods
  • We are adding new business, and we're able to gain some economic efficiencies that will contribute to our gross margin through the end of 2026.
Miscellaneous store retailers
  • Wages and occupancy costs continue to climb faster than price increases.
Motor vehicle and parts dealers
  • Our manufacturers continue to feel the effects of tariffs; they have an impact on pricing as well as manufacturer incentives. New vehicle inventories are growing, compounding the margin problem.
Nonstore retailers
  • If fuel prices stay high, our customers will have less money to spend on other things.
Professional, scientific and technical services
  • We have increased IT spending to address AI operational efficiency and productivity efforts.
  • Inflation is affecting the profitability of our firm.
  • Use of AI, particularly Grok Bot, will significantly improve productivity and reduce costs.
Real estate
  • Because we are good at improving challenged multifamily deals, our business is growing. But it is hard.
  • The number of projects under contract for the next six months has decreased. But the value has increased significantly, and we have been able to capture more costs and a higher operating margin in them. We should be able to do more volume with less manpower. This should result in much better productivity.
Utilities
  • The war in Iran is definitely causing issues with our pricing.

Questions regarding the Texas Business Outlook Surveys can be addressed to Emily Kerr at emily.kerr@dal.frb.org.

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