Research Department Working Papers
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Survey Methodology, Performance and Forecast Accuracy
This paper describes the survey methodology and analyzes the explanatory and predictive power of TMOS indexes with regard to other measures of state economic activity.
March 28, 2024
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity weakened in March after stabilizing in February, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
March 25, 2024
Development bank funds border infrastructure to aid U.S.–Mexico trade
Calixto Mateos, former managing director of the North American Development Bank, discusses his work at the NADBank and its role enhancing trade.
March 22, 2024
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity stabilized in February after contracting in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
February 26, 2024
Government-funded R&D produces long-term productivity gains
Our estimates indicate that government-funded R&D accounts for roughly one quarter of all business sector productivity growth since World War II, including one quarter of the deceleration in productivity growth since the late 1960s.
February 13, 2024
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity contracted in January after stabilizing in December, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
January 29, 2024
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity stabilized in December after contracting in November, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
December 26, 2023
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity contracted in November after two months of expansion, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
November 27, 2023
State output remains distinctly Texan, while jobs mix increasingly resembles the U.S.
Lore and data have historically suggested that Texas is unlike any other place. Over the past 40 years, change has swept the state. Texas’ employment composition has increasingly come to resemble the entirety of the U.S., more so than even California or New York. But Texas economic output is another story.
November 17, 2023
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Growth in Texas factory activity continued in October, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
October 30, 2023