A comprehensive list of recently added postings on Dallasfed.org.
Mexican economy gains some momentum
Mexico’s monthly GDP estimate increased in April, following an annualized 2.4 percent contraction in output in the first quarter of 2026.
June 26, 2026
Texas community college enrollment slips while four-year rates stay stable
In recent years, surveys have suggested that young Americans are increasingly skeptical about the value of a college education. Perceptions that a college education doesn’t offer the gateway that it once did raise an important question for lawmakers and educators: Are these changing attitudes translating into fewer students enrolling in college or completing degrees?
June 26, 2026
Term funding premium: Time is money even absent interest rate risk
Term premium, a central concept in analysis of interest rates and monetary policy, is generally viewed largely as compensation for bearing interest-rate risk. However, Treasury asset swap spreads strongly indicate the existence of a distinct premium—a term funding premium—associated with merely providing term financing. This funding premium shows promise as a real-time indicator of Treasury market stress.
June 25, 2026
Oil and gas expansion gains momentum; outlooks improve but cost pressures grow
Activity in the oil and gas sector jumped in second quarter 2026, according to oil and gas executives responding to the Dallas Fed Energy Survey.
June 24, 2026
Agricultural Survey, second quarter 2026
Bankers responding to the second-quarter survey reported stable but depressed conditions across most of the Eleventh District.
June 23, 2026
How Times Have Changed: The Impact of the 2026 Iran War on the U.S. Economy
The 2026 Iran war has raised the question of how exposed the U.S. economy is to geopolitical oil supply disruptions. This paper develops a two-country model of the global economy with large geopolitical oil supply disruptions that distinguishes between the U.S. economy and the rest of the world.
June 23, 2026
U.S. economy less vulnerable to geopolitical oil price shocks than in the past
Recent Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas research shows that the response of U.S. real (inflation-adjusted) GDP growth to the 2026 Iran war is only one-twentieth of what it would have been in 1980. Moreover, the response of U.S. real GDP growth today is only one-sixth of the decline in the rest of the world.
June 23, 2026
Texas Employment Forecast, June 22
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 1.8 percent in 2026, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.2 to 2.4 percent.
June 22, 2026
The Interest Rate Effects of Government Debt and Deficits: Does Domestic Borrowing Have a Different Impact Than Foreign Borrowing?
This paper investigates the relationship between government debt and interest rates and asks whether the effect of government debt on interest rates depends on whether that debt is financed at home or abroad.
June 22, 2026
El Paso border leaders seek clarity ahead of investment
On her most recent Listening in 360 visit to El Paso, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan focused on learning about the state of the border economy and meeting with business and community leaders in both El Paso and Juarez, Mexico.
June 17, 2026