A comprehensive list of recently added postings on Dallasfed.org.
Effects of realized tariff changes on PCE prices peaked in first quarter 2026
We compare how price growth evolved in 2025 in core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) categories facing realized tariff rate changes.
May 5, 2026
Can Creating Legal Pathways Reduce Unauthorized Immigration? Evidence from the CHNV Parole Program
This paper shows that overall, the program appears to have reduced attempts to enter the United States by Nicaraguans, had no impact among Cubans and Venezuelans and increased the number of Haitian migrants.
May 1, 2026
Texas Employment Forecast, May 1
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 1.8 percent in 2026, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.2 to 2.4 percent.
May 1, 2026
Energy Indicators, March 2026
Global energy markets faced increased volatility in early 2026 following the geopolitical shock of the Iran conflict. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz, as well as attacks on related infrastructure in the region, have not only pushed crude prices up sharply but widened the spread between fuel costs and crude prices. The result has been higher prices at the pump.
May 1, 2026
Statement from President Lorie Logan on FOMC dissent
At this week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, I supported the decision not to change the target range for the federal funds rate. However, I dissented from language in the post-meeting statement that suggests the next adjustment to the target range will most likely be a cut.
May 1, 2026
Texas Economic Indicators, December 2025
The Texas economy decelerated at the end of 2025. Overall, employment growth slowed notably in Texas and major metro areas in 2025 relative to 2024, though payrolls expanded in December.
April 30, 2026
DFW Economic Indicators, February 2026
Growth in the Dallas–Fort Worth economy was mixed. Payroll employment declined in February, after solid growth in January. The unemployment rate dipped in February. Average hourly earnings in DFW ticked up and remained higher than the state as well as year-ago levels.
April 29, 2026
Growth resumes in Texas service sector
Texas service sector activity increased in April, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey.
April 28, 2026
Houston Economic Indicators, February 2026
The pace of growth in Houston’s labor market was modest from November 2025 through February 2026. From February 2025 through February 2026, employment in the metro was nearly flat.
April 27, 2026
Texas manufacturing expansion strengthens despite flat employment
Texas manufacturing output growth accelerated in April, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
April 27, 2026