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Surveys

Special Questions

Texas Business Outlook Surveys
July 28, 2025

Special Questions

For this month’s survey, Texas business executives were asked supplemental questions on labor market conditions. Results below include responses from participants of all three surveys: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey, Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey and Texas Retail Outlook Survey.

Texas Business Outlook Surveys

Data were collected July 15–23, and 331 Texas business executives responded to the surveys.

1. Are you currently trying to hire workers?

Just over half of firms are currently trying to hire, up from 47 percent in January but below what was seen in 2019-2021. Hiring is most widespread among retailers (67 percent), and most limited among manufacturers (43 percent).

Chart 1
2. Are there any impediments to hiring workers? Please select all that apply.

Lack of applicants remains the top hiring impediment, followed by a lack of hard skills among applicants and applicants looking for more pay than offered. Applicants seeking more remote work than offered retreated as an obstacle, while the share of respondents citing lack of experience and inability to pass drug test and/or background check as hiring impediments increased from January.     

Chart 3
3. How has the availability of applicants changed over the past three months?

Availability of applicants improved on net over the past three months, a continuation of the trend seen since the beginning of 2023.

Chart 4
4. How has your ability to retain workers changed over the past three months?

Worker retention has become more difficult over the past three months on net, a change from the beginning of the year, though the vast majority of firms (84 percent) notes no change in their ability to retain workers.

Chart 4
5. Have changes to immigration policy impacted your ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers this year?

Thirteen percent of firms reported an impact from immigration policy changes. There was some variation by sector, with the most widespread effect reported in the service sector (14 percent) followed by retail (10 percent) then manufacturing (7 percent).


Jul. '25
(percent)
Yes 12.6
No 87.4

NOTES: 317 responses. The survey posed a similar question in February.

5a. How has your ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers been impacted? Please select all that apply.

Among firms experiencing workforce disruption from changes to immigration policy, the inability to hire qualified workers because they lack work permits or legal status was the most widespread impact noted. It was followed by difficulty hiring due to a reduction in the number of foreign-born applicants.

Chart 5a
5b. What actions, if any, have you taken or plan to take? Please select all that apply.

Among firms whose ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers has been impacted by changes to immigration policy, the top two actions taken are increasing hours worked for existing employees and increasing wages and/or benefits.

Chart 5b

The survey posed a similar question in February.

6. Do you expect changes to immigration policy will impact your ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers this year?

In addition to the 13 percent of firms reporting they have already experienced impacts from changes to immigration policy, 7 percent expect an impact in their ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers this year.


Jul. '25
(percent)
Yes 7.1
No 92.9

NOTES: 269 responses. This question was only posed to those answering no to question 5. The survey posed a similar question in February.

6a. What actions, if any, do you plan to take? Please select all that apply.

Among firms who expect their ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers to be impacted by changes to immigration policy, the top two actions planned are implementing labor-saving technology and hiring more U.S.-born workers, naturalized citizens and/or legal permanent residents.

Chart 6a

The survey posed a similar question in February.

7. Please elaborate on any other impacts that changes to immigration policy have had or may have on your firm this year.

This prompt was given to those whose ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers has been or is expected to be impacted by changes to immigration policy. Responses can be found on the individual survey Special Questions results pages, accessible in the tabs above.

Survey respondents were given the opportunity to also provide comments, which can be found in the Comments tab above.

Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey

Data were collected July 15–23, and 79 Texas manufacturers responded to the survey.

1. Are you currently trying to hire workers?

Jan. '23
(percent)
Jul. '23
(percent)
Jan. '24
(percent)
Jul. '24
(percent)
Jan. '25
(percent)
Jul.'25
(percent)
Yes 52.0 55.4 46.1 46.2 42.5 43.4
No 48.0 44.6 53.9 53.8 57.5 56.6

NOTE: 76 responses.

2. Are there any impediments to hiring workers? Please select all that apply.

Jan. '23
(percent)
Jul. '23
(percent)
Jan. '24
(percent)
Jul. '24
(percent)
Jan. '25
(percent)
Jul.'25
(percent)
Lack of technical competencies (hard skills)                                   69.2 60.9 63.4 41.7 52.9 51.5
Lack of available applicants/no applicants                                     69.2 56.5 53.7 36.1 35.3 42.4
Applicants looking for more pay than offered                               44.2 45.7 31.7 33.3 35.3 36.4
Lack of experience                                                                              50.0 56.5 39.0 25.0 32.4 27.3
Lack of workplace competencies (soft skills)                                  46.2 30.4 29.3 19.4 29.4 24.2
Inability to pass drug test and/or background check                    40.4 23.9 19.5 19.4 20.6 24.2
Applicants seeking more remote work options than offered  12.2 22.2 20.6 9.1
Other 1.9 0.0 2.4 5.6 2.9 6.1
None 1.9 4.3 9.8 16.7 23.5 18.2

NOTES: 33 responses. Results shown include only firms answering yes to question 1.

3. How has the availability of applicants changed over the past three months?

Jan. '23
(percent)
Jul. '23
(percent)
Jan. '24
(percent)
Jul. '24
(percent)
Jan. '25
(percent)
Jul.'25
(percent)
Improved significantly 0.0 4.9 3.4 3.9 1.2 5.4
Improved slightly 22.9 22.2 25.0 23.7 21.0 23.0
No change 60.0 65.4 64.8 59.2 69.1 56.8
Worsened slightly 11.4 7.4 4.5 9.2 7.4 12.2
Worsened significantly 5.7 0.0 2.3 3.9 1.2 2.7

NOTE: 74 responses. Prior to July 2025, the question asked about the change over the past month.

4. How has your ability to retain workers changed over the past three months?

Jan. '24
(percent)
Jul. '24
(percent)
Jan. '25
(percent)
Jul. '25
(percent)
Improved significantly 7.9 3.9 6.2 0.0
Improved slightly 24.7 27.6 19.8 0.0
No change 59.6 63.2 65.4 90.1
Worsened slightly 6.7 3.9 8.6 8.5
Worsened significantly 1.1 1.3 0.0 1.4

NOTES: 71 responses. Prior to July 2025, the question asked about the change over the past month.

5. Have changes to immigration policy impacted your ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers this year?

Jul. '25
(percent)
Yes 6.8
No 93.2

NOTES: 74 responses. The survey posed a similar question in February 2025.

6. Do you expect changes to immigration policy to impact your ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers this year?

Jul. '25
(percent)
Yes 9.0
No 91.0

NOTES: 67 responses. This question was only posed to those answering no to question 5. The survey posed a similar question in February 2025.

The following was posed to those whose ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers has been or is expected to be impacted by changes to immigration policy.

7. Please elaborate on any other impacts that changes to immigration policy have had or may have on your firm this year.
Food manufacturing
  • The immigration policy will increase the overall wage rate and also increase reliance on contract labor.
Nonmetallic mineral product manufacturing
  • The federal E-Verify system needs to be improved with facial recognition. We need to increase guest worker programs to allow people to legally work and have non-citizen legal status.
Fabricated metal product manufacturing
  • There is more fear of ICE [U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement] intervention. We have had no issues with this, since we believe all of our employees are properly documented.

Survey respondents were given the opportunity to also provide comments, which can be found in the Comments tab above.

Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey

Data were collected July 15–23, and 252 Texas business executives responded to the survey.

1. Are you currently trying to hire workers?

Jan. '23
(percent)
Jul. '23
(percent)
Jan. '24
(percent)
Jul. '24
(percent)
Jan. '25
(percent)
Jul.'25
(percent)
Yes 49.2 51.3 48.6 50.4 49.0 53.7
No 50.8 48.7 51.4 49.6 51.0 46.3

NOTE: 246 responses.

2. Are there any impediments to hiring workers? Please select all that apply.

Jan. '23
(percent)
Jul. '23
(percent)
Jan. '24
(percent)
Jul. '24
(percent)
Jan. '25
(percent)
Jul.'25
(percent)
Lack of available applicants/no applicants                                     70.1 54.7 47.7 42.9 47.5 42.7
Applicants looking for more pay than offered                               53.2 57.6 47.0 40.5 35.0 37.4
Lack of technical competencies (hard skills)                                   44.2 43.9 40.2 32.5 35.0 36.6
Lack of workplace competencies (soft skills)                                  29.9 26.6 21.2 28.6 25.0 29.0
Lack of experience                                                                              40.3 40.3 28.0 34.1 21.7 29.0
Applicants seeking more remote work options than offered  20.5 31.0 25.8 22.1
Inability to pass drug test and/or background check                    16.2 16.5 18.2 14.3 12.5 16.8
Other 5.8 5.0 6.1 5.6 5.8 2.3
None 4.5 5.8 12.9 7.9 14.2 12.2

NOTES: 131 responses. Results shown include only firms answering yes to question 1.

3. How has the availability of applicants changed over the past three months?

Jan. '23
(percent)
Jul. '23
(percent)
Jan. '24
(percent)
Jul. '24
(percent)
Jan. '25
(percent)
Jul.'25
(percent)
Improved significantly 0.9 4.0 3.4 2.8 2.1 4.1
Improved slightly 30.6 23.2 21.8 21.8 22.4 22.5
No change 53.7 60.9 65.8 67.7 69.7 61.5
Worsened slightly 11.1 10.1 8.6 6.9 5.8 9.8
Worsened significantly 3.7 1.8 0.4 0.8 0.0 2.0

NOTE: 244 responses. Prior to July 2025, the question asked about the change over the past month.

4. How has your ability to retain workers changed over the past three months?

Jan. '24
(percent)
Jul. '24
(percent)
Jan. '25
(percent)
Jul. '25
(percent)
Improved significantly 2.2 2.8 3.7 0.8
Improved slightly 23.8 19.0 15.0 2.1
No change 67.8 67.7 73.6 82.6
Worsened slightly 5.5 9.7 6.5 9.1
Worsened significantly 0.7 0.8 1.2 5.4

NOTES: 242 responses. Prior to July 2025, the question asked about the change over the past month.

5. Have changes to immigration policy impacted your ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers this year?

Jul. '25
(percent)
Yes 14.4
No 85.6

NOTES: 243 responses. The survey posed a similar question in February 2025.

6. Do you expect changes to immigration policy to impact your ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers this year?

Jul. '25
(percent)
Yes 6.4
No 93.6

NOTES: 202 responses. This question was only posed to those answering no to question 5. The survey posed a similar question in February 2025.

The following was posed to those whose ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers has been or is expected to be impacted by changes to immigration policy.

7. Please elaborate on any other impacts that changes to immigration policy have had or may have on your firm this year.
Administrative and support services
  • The hospitality community relies on considerable labor-intensive work — housekeeping, landscape, food and beverage, etc. Workers and contractors are more and more fearful of coming in to work in hotels and restaurants.
  • The temporary work-based visa programs are almost virtually impossible to navigate and are expensive. There is no guarantee of success. We also fear that companies that have illegally hired in the past will now seek our employees. We fear they will push wages up.
Accommodation
  • If Washington clamps down hard on immigrants, it will be yet another unknown we will deal with, and all options will be on the table to address the issue.
Publishing industries (except internet)
  • A lot of focus has been on the impact of immigration policy on blue collar labor, but we have started seeing early signs of its impact on white collar, educated positions as well. Top recent graduates are rethinking whether they want to stay in the U.S. or move home to their countries of origin, with many of them choosing to return home.
Securities, commodity contracts and other financial investments and related activities
  • It is having a larger effect on our clients, which is slowing us down. For us, we have not seen it but are worried about the end of this year and next.
Real estate
  • A tip circulated just this morning that a convoy of officers was moving through Pasadena. The news spread like wildfire, sent folks into hiding and killed our productivity as everyone we know became obsessed with the activity. The stories from our community managers about how roundups are actually being conducted are reminiscent of the way dissidents disappear in third-world countries. It is not good.
Professional, scientific and technical services
  • Uncertainty with regulations has led us to pause any new H-1Bs. 
  • About 8 to 10 percent of our workforce is H-1B. We are seeing that the unpredictable nature of the process, unpredictable rejections and revoking, etc. has led to a lack of mobility in the workforce. We are also seeing that many companies don't want to deal with it and are turning more and more to outsourcing to nearshore and offshore. This results in the job being sent abroad and most likely this job will never come back to the U.S.
  • Immigration challenges and changes in policies are directly impacting the company. We like less regulations and flexibility as business owners and leaders.
  • Since I am not trying to hire, I don't have a problem. However, the companies I consult for do. Construction will be significantly impacted, as foreign-born workers do so much of the manual labor required. The restrictions and the ICE raids are destroying the construction workplace. Now, if it can't be built, there is no need for my services, which means my revenue goes down.
Warehousing and storage
  • Since we manufacture in Mexico, the biggest implication is the inability of the U.S. manufacturing base to support needed raw materials in the supply chain and companies looking to other areas of the globe for their supply chain as well as their final product market. The U.S. is quickly being looked at as an alternative market if we can get our act together.
Educational services
  • Visa changes and processing delays significantly affected our revenue, as did a perception that immigrants are not welcome even if they are legally here.

Survey respondents were given the opportunity to also provide comments, which can be found in the Comments tab above.

Texas Retail Outlook Survey

Data were collected July 15–23, and 44 Texas retailers responded to the survey.

1. Are you currently trying to hire workers?

Jan. '23
(percent)
Jul. '23
(percent)
Jan. '24
(percent)
Jul. '24
(percent)
Jan. '25
(percent)
Jul.'25
(percent)
Yes 48.6 57.1 46.4 39.2 48.8 67.4
No 51.4 42.9 53.6 60.8 51.2 32.6

NOTE: 43 responses.

2. Are there any impediments to hiring workers? Please select all that apply.

Jan. '23
(percent)
Jul. '23
(percent)
Jan. '24
(percent)
Jul. '24
(percent)
Jan. '25
(percent)
Jul.'25
(percent)
Lack of available applicants/no applicants                                     79.4 62.5 57.7 45.0 47.6 51.7
Lack of technical competencies (hard skills)                                   55.9 46.9 42.3 30.0 42.9 44.8
Applicants looking for more pay than offered                               50.0 43.8 38.5 25.0 23.8 34.5
Lack of workplace competencies (soft skills)                                  32.4 40.6 30.8 30.0 38.1 27.6
Lack of experience                                                                              41.2 31.3 26.9 30.0 14.3 27.6
Inability to pass drug test and/or background check                    26.5 28.1 38.5 20.0 19.0 27.6
Applicants seeking more remote work options than offered  11.5 30.0 23.8 27.6
Other 2.9 9.4 3.8 10.0 9.5 3.4
None 0.0 6.3 11.5 5.0 9.5 6.9

NOTES: 29 responses. Results shown include only firms answering yes to question 1.

3. How has the availability of applicants changed over the past three months?

Jan. '23
(percent)
Jul. '23
(percent)
Jan. '24
(percent)
Jul. '24
(percent)
Jan. '25
(percent)
Jul.'25
(percent)
Improved significantly 0.0 1.8 0.0 4.0 2.4 2.3
Improved slightly 25.9 19.6 18.5 18.0 14.3 25.6
No change 51.9 62.5 68.5 72.0 78.6 55.8
Worsened slightly 18.5 16.1 11.1 6.0 4.8 14.0
Worsened significantly 3.7 0.0 1.9 0.0 0.0 2.3

NOTE: 43 responses. Prior to July 2025, the question asked about the change over the past month.

4. How has your ability to retain workers changed over the past three months?

Jan. '24
(percent)
Jul. '24
(percent)
Jan. '25
(percent)
Jul. '25
(percent)
Improved significantly 1.8 3.9 2.3 0.0
Improved slightly 21.4 23.5 11.6 2.4
No change 71.4 66.7 83.7 92.9
Worsened slightly 5.4 5.9 2.3 2.4
Worsened significantly 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4

NOTES: 42 responses. Prior to July 2025, the question asked about the change over the past month.

5. Have changes to immigration policy impacted your ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers this year?

Jul. '25
(percent)
Yes 9.52
No 90.5

NOTES: 42 responses. The survey posed a similar question in February 2025.

6. Do you expect changes to immigration policy to impact your ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers this year?

Jul. '25
(percent)
Yes 10.5
No 89.5

NOTES: 38 responses. This question was only posed to those answering no to question 5. The survey posed a similar question in February 2025.

The following was posed to those whose ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers has been or is expected to be impacted by changes to immigration policy.

7. Please elaborate on any other impacts that changes to immigration policy have had or may have on your firm this year.
Miscellaneous store retailers
  • Reduced sales to foreign-born customers, customer counts down periodically due to raids by ICE in the area.

Survey respondents were given the opportunity to also provide comments, which can be found in the Comments tab above.

Special Questions Comments

Survey participants are given the opportunity to submit comments. Some comments have been edited for grammar and clarity.

Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Computer and electronic product manufacturing
  • We need to have immigration reform. Period.
  • About 20 percent of our workforce is foreign born. However, we only hire people with legal status, so we see no impact on our ability to hire and retain foreign-born employees.
Fabricated metal product manufacturing
  • We are seeing a significant slowdown in new order awards and lower RFQs [requests for quotation] for new projects.
  • There are no skilled or unskilled workers out there. The workforce is not stable, committed or dedicated. It is getting worse over the years.
Furniture and related product manufacturing
  • We are very concerned over employees that have worked for 10, 12, 15 years that may or may not be subject to deportation.
Machinery manufacturing
  • Foreign-born laborers get the work done. We need them, we use them, and we like them. However, we wouldn't require their service if our non-foreign-born laborers were sufficiently motivated to do the work. I've found that to be the case across multiple industries for the last three decades.
  • We have employees from Cuba, Venezuela, Colombia, Russia, El Salvador, Mexico and Peru. They all went through the legal process to immigrate and obtain the proper documentation. Several are now U.S. citizens. The immigration system works. You just have to follow the law.
Paper manufacturing
  • I would strongly support a fast track for renewing, and also new, authorization for any worker that has worked in this country for three-plus years.
Printing and related support activities
  • We only employ I-9 verified employees.
  • We don't really work with foreign-born workers who don't have valid I-9 cards. We are just now trying to hire a receptionist accounts payable person, so we shall see how that goes. Otherwise, we are not currently hiring for the production floor.
Wood product manufacturing
  • We were required to fire over 40 employees that had been with the company for over 20 years or face severe penalties. The law and reality are in direct conflict. The government punishes the wrong people.  The government punishes the wrong people.
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey
Professional, scientific, and technical services
  • The foreign nationals we hire have advanced degrees in engineering. They are already on student visas and transition to H1B. So far, we have not seen any difference in the availability of foreign graduate students.
  • We have very few non-U.S. citizens.
  • We have not hired foreign workers but might in the future if we continue to have a workforce shortage.
  • Availability of domestically-born workers has lessened the need to hire foreign-born or offshore high-tech workers.
  • We hire trained employees. When we hire foreign born, they are H1B1 visas.
  • We have not tried to hire any foreign-born workers.
  • Open access or flexibility to banking loans and an improved market is very helpful
Ambulatory health care services
  • We have no foreign-born workers.
Administrative and support services
  • Very few of our clients will hire foreign-born candidates, and for the rare client that would, they are no longer hiring anyone with a visa for fear the visa will not be renewed.
  • We welcome immigration enforcement with regard to employment. Businesses that have always followed the laws might see their employees taken by others who did not follow the law. However, the ones that have followed the laws will have the correct wage model. It is fair to see a more level playing field, finally.
Insurance carriers and related activities
  • We don't hire foreign workers in our office environment.
Real estate
  • Ranch sales may be affected since immigrants are usually the ones that like to work on maintenance of the property. Buyers of ranches like immigrants because it’s cheap labor.
  • Our workforce is not impacted by foreign-born workers; however, the cost of goods by the shift in this workforce will impact consumer prices (food, transportation, housing, etc.).
Texas Retail Outlook Survey
Merchant wholesalers, durable goods
  • We don't employ any non-citizens or permanent residents. But immigration policy is absolutely affecting our business partners.
Electronics and appliance stores
  • Sales positions are hard to fill in this environment.
Merchant wholesalers, nondurable goods
  • We are not typically hiring entry-level workers that might be impacted by immigration policy. We are also not hiring skilled labor (e.g., engineers) that might come over on an H-1B visa. That said, I feel like it's inevitable that the reduction or restriction in both labor pools will have a ripple effect in the next 12 to 18 months that could impact the type of candidate we recruit.
Nonstore retailers
  • We need truckers with commercial driver’s licenses with hazmat endorsement, and immigrants don't apply.
Food services and drinking places
  • Our business is not directly impacted or affected by immigration policy.

Questions regarding the Texas Business Outlook Surveys can be addressed to Jesus Cañas at jesus.canas@dal.frb.org.

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