Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey
September 29, 2020
Results Table
| Business Indicators Relating to Facilities and Products in Texas Current (versus previous month) | ||||||||
| Indicator | Sep Index | Aug Index | Change | Series Average | Trend* | % Reporting Increase | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Decrease |
Revenue | 14.0 | 1.5 | +12.5 | 10.8 | 2(+) | 33.4 | 47.2 | 19.4 |
Employment | 2.7 | –0.3 | +3.0 | 6.0 | 1(+) | 12.0 | 78.7 | 9.3 |
Part–Time Employment | 3.7 | 0.1 | +3.6 | 1.2 | 2(+) | 7.8 | 88.1 | 4.1 |
Hours Worked | 6.6 | –1.0 | +7.6 | 2.2 | 1(+) | 11.9 | 82.8 | 5.3 |
Wages and Benefits | 7.1 | 4.9 | +2.2 | 13.9 | 4(+) | 12.5 | 82.1 | 5.4 |
Input Prices | 19.4 | 22.2 | –2.8 | 24.9 | 5(+) | 24.4 | 70.5 | 5.0 |
Selling Prices | 2.2 | 4.4 | –2.2 | 5.0 | 2(+) | 10.4 | 81.4 | 8.2 |
Capital Expenditures | 4.9 | –0.5 | +5.4 | 9.7 | 1(+) | 14.3 | 76.3 | 9.4 |
| General Business Conditions Current (versus previous month) | ||||||||
| Indicator | Sep Index | Aug Index | Change | Series Average | Trend** | % Reporting Improved | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Worsened |
Company Outlook | 9.7 | 5.6 | +4.1 | 4.8 | 2(+) | 21.1 | 67.5 | 11.4 |
General Business Activity | 11.5 | 4.7 | +6.8 | 2.6 | 2(+) | 26.6 | 58.3 | 15.1 |
| Indicator | Sep Index | Aug Index | Change | Series Average | Trend* | % Reporting Increase | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Decrease |
Outlook Uncertainty† | 0.0 | 5.7 | –5.7 | 13.1 | 1() | 16.3 | 67.4 | 16.3 |
| Business Indicators Relating to Facilities and Products in Texas Future (six months ahead) | ||||||||
| Indicator | Sep Index | Aug Index | Change | Series Average | Trend* | % Reporting Increase | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Decrease |
Revenue | 31.9 | 35.5 | –3.6 | 36.6 | 5(+) | 50.7 | 30.5 | 18.8 |
Employment | 19.5 | 21.9 | –2.4 | 21.5 | 5(+) | 32.5 | 54.5 | 13.0 |
Part–Time Employment | 4.8 | 1.8 | +3.0 | 6.3 | 2(+) | 14.1 | 76.6 | 9.3 |
Hours Worked | 9.0 | 7.2 | +1.8 | 5.4 | 5(+) | 15.4 | 78.2 | 6.4 |
Wages and Benefits | 27.2 | 23.8 | +3.4 | 35.6 | 5(+) | 33.3 | 60.7 | 6.1 |
Input Prices | 30.2 | 32.0 | –1.8 | 43.5 | 165(+) | 35.3 | 59.6 | 5.1 |
Selling Prices | 14.5 | 13.8 | +0.7 | 22.6 | 5(+) | 24.3 | 65.9 | 9.8 |
Capital Expenditures | 11.5 | 17.3 | –5.8 | 23.0 | 4(+) | 23.6 | 64.3 | 12.1 |
| General Business Conditions Future (six months ahead) | ||||||||
| Indicator | Sep Index | Aug Index | Change | Series Average | Trend** | % Reporting Improved | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Worsened |
Company Outlook | 20.8 | 21.9 | –1.1 | 15.9 | 2(+) | 34.3 | 52.2 | 13.5 |
General Business Activity | 18.9 | 19.2 | –0.3 | 12.6 | 2(+) | 35.2 | 48.4 | 16.3 |
Texas Retail Outlook Survey
September 29, 2020
Historical data are available from January 2007 to the most current release month.
| Business Indicators Relating to Facilities and Products in Texas Retail (versus previous month) | ||||||||
| Indicator | Sep Index | Aug Index | Change | Series Average | Trend* | % Reporting Increase | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Decrease |
Retail Activity in Texas | ||||||||
Sales | 20.8 | –9.9 | +30.7 | 5.7 | 1(+) | 36.4 | 47.9 | 15.6 |
Employment | 2.3 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 1.7 | 2(+) | 8.1 | 86.1 | 5.8 |
Part–Time Employment | 1.7 | –1.9 | +3.6 | –2.2 | 1(+) | 7.1 | 87.5 | 5.4 |
Hours Worked | 3.1 | –13.9 | +17.0 | –2.1 | 1(+) | 7.5 | 88.1 | 4.4 |
Wages and Benefits | 7.3 | 0.9 | +6.4 | 9.1 | 2(+) | 11.9 | 83.5 | 4.6 |
Input Prices | 26.3 | 16.0 | +10.3 | 18.7 | 5(+) | 30.4 | 65.5 | 4.1 |
Selling Prices | 22.6 | 14.3 | +8.3 | 9.9 | 4(+) | 27.7 | 67.2 | 5.1 |
Capital Expenditures | –2.8 | –2.8 | 0.0 | 7.5 | 7(–) | 6.4 | 84.4 | 9.2 |
Inventories | –4.1 | –8.7 | +4.6 | 2.4 | 8(–) | 20.0 | 55.9 | 24.1 |
Companywide Retail Activity | ||||||||
Companywide Sales | 6.6 | –4.5 | +11.1 | 7.0 | 1(+) | 30.6 | 45.5 | 24.0 |
Companywide Internet Sales | 6.3 | 0.4 | +5.9 | 6.2 | 2(+) | 18.4 | 69.5 | 12.1 |
| General Business Conditions, Retail Current (versus previous month) | ||||||||
| Indicator | Sep Index | Aug Index | Change | Series Average | Trend** | % Reporting Improved | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Worsened |
Company Outlook | 8.9 | 9.6 | –0.7 | 3.2 | 2(+) | 21.3 | 66.3 | 12.4 |
General Business Activity | 10.3 | 4.2 | +6.1 | –1.1 | 2(+) | 23.9 | 62.5 | 13.6 |
| Outlook Uncertainty Current (versus previous month) | ||||||||
| Indicator | Sep Index | Aug Index | Change | Series Average | Trend* | % Reporting Increase | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Decrease |
Outlook Uncertainty† | 0.0 | 7.2 | –7.2 | 10.5 | 1() | 10.5 | 78.9 | 10.5 |
| Business Indicators Relating to Facilities and Products in Texas, Retail Future (six months ahead) | ||||||||
| Indicator | Sep Index | Aug Index | Change | Series Average | Trend* | % Reporting Increase | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Decrease |
Retail Activity in Texas | ||||||||
Sales | 42.7 | 34.9 | +7.8 | 31.9 | 5(+) | 57.4 | 27.9 | 14.7 |
Employment | 18.6 | 19.5 | –0.9 | 11.8 | 5(+) | 26.5 | 65.6 | 7.9 |
Part–Time Employment | 5.0 | –0.4 | +5.4 | 0.5 | 1(+) | 13.2 | 78.6 | 8.2 |
Hours Worked | 7.3 | 1.9 | +5.4 | 2.6 | 5(+) | 12.2 | 82.9 | 4.9 |
Wages and Benefits | 24.8 | 18.3 | +6.5 | 26.8 | 5(+) | 28.7 | 67.4 | 3.9 |
Input Prices | 32.7 | 20.7 | +12.0 | 32.4 | 5(+) | 38.2 | 56.4 | 5.5 |
Selling Prices | 34.0 | 21.2 | +12.8 | 28.5 | 5(+) | 42.9 | 48.2 | 8.9 |
Capital Expenditures | 21.8 | 13.4 | +8.4 | 16.9 | 4(+) | 29.1 | 63.6 | 7.3 |
Inventories | 33.5 | 26.3 | +7.2 | 8.2 | 5(+) | 47.5 | 38.5 | 14.0 |
Companywide Retail Activity | ||||||||
Companywide Sales | 38.0 | 38.9 | –0.9 | 30.4 | 5(+) | 51.9 | 34.2 | 13.9 |
Companywide Internet Sales | 36.4 | 25.0 | +11.4 | 21.7 | 6(+) | 43.2 | 50.0 | 6.8 |
| General Business Conditions, Retail Future (six months ahead) | ||||||||
| Indicator | Sep Index | Aug Index | Change | Series Average | Trend** | % Reporting Improved | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Worsened |
Company Outlook | 27.3 | 28.6 | –1.3 | 16.7 | 5(+) | 41.3 | 44.7 | 14.0 |
General Business Activity | 24.8 | 28.1 | –3.3 | 12.4 | 2(+) | 37.5 | 49.7 | 12.7 |
*Shown is the number of consecutive months of expansion or contraction in the underlying indicator. Expansion is indicated by a positive index reading and denoted by a (+) in the table. Contraction is indicated by a negative index reading and denoted by a (–) in the table.
**Shown is the number of consecutive months of improvement or worsening in the underlying indicator. Improvement is indicated by a positive index reading and denoted by a (+) in the table. Worsening is indicated by a negative index reading and denoted by a (–) in the table.
†Added to survey in January 2018.
Data have been seasonally adjusted as necessary, with the exception of the outlook uncertainty index which does not yet have a sufficiently long time series to test for seasonality.
Questions regarding the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey can be addressed to Christopher Slijk at christopher.slijk@dal.frb.org.
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