A comprehensive list of recently added postings on Dallasfed.org.
Weekly Economic Index
The WEI is currently 2.54 percent, scaled to four-quarter GDP growth, for the week ended August 16 and 2.50 percent for August 9.
August 21, 2025
Middle East geopolitical risk modestly affects inflation and inflation expectations
In Depth: While hostilities between Iran and Israel ended quickly in June 2025 without a major oil supply disruption, it is worthwhile to explore the impact on inflation and inflation expectations if this geopolitical event had turned out differently.
August 21, 2025
With few firms advising life insurers, is financial stability at risk?
Despite asset managers playing an increasingly pivotal role in investment decisions—leading to more similar portfolios—analysis of life insurance firms and their advisers reveals a relatively small threat to financial stability.
August 19, 2025
Pollution Taxes and Clean Subsidies in an Open Economy
This paper shows that the same conditions that lead to pollution leakage enhance the efficacy of clean subsidies.
August 18, 2025
Permian Basin Economic Indicators
Employment in the Permian Basin grew in the second quarter. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate in the region decreased slightly from the first quarter 2025. Home sales increased, while the median price of homes sold was flat.
August 18, 2025
Banking Conditions Survey
Loan volume and demand increased in August. Loan volume was driven by a sharp acceleration in residential real estate loans, which had contracted in the prior period.
August 18, 2025
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 1.5 percent in 2025, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.1 to 1.9 percent.
August 15, 2025
Falling rates no assurance of homeowner refinancing binge
When the Fed lowers its benchmark policy rate, the reduction is usually reflected in a variety of consumer finance rates, notably mortgages. However, there are reasons to believe that such a reduction might not prompt an increase in the volume of mortgage refinances and prepayment activity as has historically occurred.
August 14, 2025
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Survey Methodology, Performance and Forecast Accuracy
This paper describes the survey methodology and analyzes the explanatory and predictive power of TSSOS indexes with regard to other measures of state economic activity.
August 13, 2025
Austin Economic Indicators
Austin employment fell in June and the unemployment rate declined, while wages increased. Sales tax receipts slowed in June.
August 13, 2025