Dallas Fed Economics Archive
Analysis and insights to enhance your understanding of the economy
November 19, 2019
Pavel Kapinos and Alex Musatov
Over the past two years, virtually all of the downside pressure on stock prices has come from the elevated levels of such uncertainty.
November 12, 2019
Michael Morris, Robert Rich and Joseph Tracy
This is the third of three articles that talk about the natural rate of unemployment, the unemployment rate that would prevail in a “neutral” labor market after removing all movement due to the business cycle.
November 7, 2019
Carlee Crocker and Yichen Su
The regional economy is growing at a slower pace than in recent months, with Texas labor markets remaining tight. Energy activity has declined, and export growth has slowed this year.
November 5, 2019
Alexander W. Richter and Tyler Atkinson
The current divergence between two prominent consumer confidence indexes suggests that policymakers need to be mindful of a U.S. economy in transition.
October 29, 2019
Mark A. Wynne
Hubbard and Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan discussed his experiences working in the George W. Bush administration and immigration's impact on the workforce.
October 17, 2019
Wenhua Di, Emily Kerr and Christopher Slijk
Many companies seek to add employees as the state economy continues expanding at an above-average pace. But not all can find the workers they need.
October 15, 2019
Michael Morris, Robert Rich and Joseph Tracy
This is the second of three articles that talk about the natural rate of unemployment, the unemployment rate that would prevail in a “neutral” labor market after removing all movement due to the business cycle.
October 8, 2019
Michael Morris, Robert Rich and Joseph Tracy
The unemployment rate is a widely viewed gauge of U.S. labor market slack or tightness. Because of structural changes to the labor market over time, assessments about slack/tightness require a reference point called the “natural rate of unemployment.”
October 3, 2019
Garrett Golding
Higher oil prices due to supply disruptions and increased geopolitical risk are unlikely to generate significantly more U.S. oil production in the short term.
October 1, 2019
Alexander Chudik
How big an impact should we expect on gasoline prices? Based on recent research, most of the initial effect showed up quickly at the pump.