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November 28, 2023
Dylan Ryfe and Alessio Saretto
Because of their prominence, reciprocal deposits are important in the broader discussion of deposit insurance. Though they have the potential to increase banks’ moral hazard, they also bring increased trust and safety to the banking system.
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November 14, 2023
Sewon Hur and Braden Strackman
The Chinese economy has grown at an unprecedented pace since the 1980s. However, the pace of growth is likely to slow as China’s economy matures because of its demographic structure and its increasing proximity to economic and technological frontiers.
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November 9, 2023
Jesse Thompson and Ana Pranger
The impact of a still-strong Texas jobs market and moderating business activities and costs suggest that the state’s economy may be headed for a soft landing following Fed policymaker efforts to cool inflationary pressures.
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November 7, 2023
Aparna Jayashankar and Anthony Murphy
As consumer prices have climbed at a faster rate in Texas and surrounding states than nationally—food and shelter increasing even more—Texans are feeling especially stressed about rising prices.
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October 19, 2023
Tyler Atkinson and Alex Richter
A normalized labor market likely entails a more-usual relationship between layoffs and labor market tightness indicators, and sooner or later, a higher unemployment rate.
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October 17, 2023
Garrett Golding
Texas just witnessed its second-hottest summer ever and its highest electricity demand without experiencing interruption to electricity delivery.
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October 10, 2023
J. Scott Davis and Kunal Patel
Russia’s currency is losing value, falling 40 percent against the U.S. dollar since December 2022. With measures targeting Russian exports likely to persist, the country’s balance of payments will remain under pressure, leading to continuing currency weakness.
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October 3, 2023
Garrett Golding
A series of emergency drawdowns, exchanges and planned sales since 2020 have reduced crude oil inventories held by the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve to a 40-year low. Calls to fully refill the SPR in recent months raise important questions.
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September 28, 2023
Diego Morales-Burnett, Pia Orrenius and Ana Pranger
Texas employment growth slowed even as overall activity strengthened in August and September. Resistance to price increases rose.
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September 26, 2023
Pon Sagnanert, Jesus Cañas and Luis Torres
Many emerging-market currencies have depreciated modestly during the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle that began in March 2022. The Mexican peso, however, outperformed the group during the period.