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Surveys

Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey

Shipments Index

July 2016

Report | Results Table

Shipments—Index

Jul 15Aug 15Sep 15Oct 15Nov 15Dec 15Jan 16Feb 16Mar 16Apr 16May 16Jun 16Jul 16
Current Shipments, seasonally adjusted

–3.8

–2.5

1.4

6.9

4.6

7.0

–11.0

–1.1

0.3

7.1

–11.5

–8.6

0.1

Future Shipments, seasonally adjusted (six months from report period)

38.3

27.9

20.1

37.5

35.7

25.2

22.7

26.4

25.6

33.7

24.4

27.6

38.0

Shipments—Composition of Responses

Jul 15Aug 15Sep 15Oct 15Nov 15Dec 15Jan 16Feb 16Mar 16Apr 16May 16Jun 16Jul 16
Current Shipments, seasonally adjusted

% Increase

22.3

25.4

24.8

30.2

28.2

29.4

17.5

28.6

25.9

30.3

19.3

22.3

24.9

% No Change

51.6

46.7

51.8

46.5

48.2

48.2

54.0

41.7

48.5

46.4

49.9

46.8

50.3

% Decrease

26.1

27.9

23.4

23.3

23.6

22.4

28.5

29.7

25.6

23.2

30.8

30.9

24.8

Future Shipments, seasonally adjusted (six months from report period)

% Increase

46.8

43.8

35.2

43.8

48.4

37.7

38.8

42.6

38.6

48.0

42.9

40.6

45.6

% No Change

44.7

40.3

49.7

49.9

38.9

49.7

45.1

41.2

48.4

37.7

38.6

46.3

46.7

% Decrease

8.5

15.9

15.1

6.3

12.7

12.5

16.1

16.2

13.0

14.3

18.5

13.0

7.6

NOTE: Survey responses are used to calculate an index for each indicator. Each index is calculated by subtracting the percentage of respondents reporting a decrease from the percentage reporting an increase. When the share of firms reporting an increase exceeds the share of firms reporting a decrease, the index will be greater than zero, suggesting the indicator has increased over the prior month. If the share of firms reporting a decrease exceeds the share reporting an increase, the index will be below zero, suggesting the indicator has decreased over the prior month. An index will be zero when the number of firms reporting an increase is equal to the number of firms reporting a decrease. Items may not add up to 100 percent because of rounding.

Questions regarding the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey can be addressed to Emily Kerr at emily.kerr@dal.frb.org.

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