Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Results Table
| Business Indicators Relating to Facilities and Products in Texas Current (versus previous month) | ||||||||
| Indicator | Feb Index | Jan Index | Change | Series Average | Trend* | % Reporting Increase | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Decrease |
Production | 14.5 | 16.6 | –2.1 | 10.9 | 21(+) | 30.4 | 53.7 | 15.9 |
Capacity Utilization | 11.5 | 12.0 | –0.5 | 8.7 | 21(+) | 27.8 | 55.9 | 16.3 |
New Orders | 23.1 | 20.0 | +3.1 | 6.9 | 21(+) | 34.5 | 54.1 | 11.4 |
Growth Rate of Orders | 12.6 | 12.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 20(+) | 25.7 | 61.2 | 13.1 |
Unfilled Orders | 7.7 | 13.8 | –6.1 | –1.6 | 20(+) | 20.7 | 66.3 | 13.0 |
Shipments | 23.5 | 8.6 | +14.9 | 9.7 | 21(+) | 36.0 | 51.5 | 12.5 |
Delivery Time | 21.4 | 17.9 | +3.5 | 1.1 | 20(+) | 34.5 | 52.4 | 13.1 |
Finished Goods Inventories | –5.2 | –7.5 | +2.3 | –3.4 | 3(–) | 17.7 | 59.4 | 22.9 |
Prices Paid for Raw Materials | 73.4 | 62.1 | +11.3 | 27.3 | 22(+) | 77.3 | 18.8 | 3.9 |
Prices Received for Finished Goods | 44.6 | 37.1 | +7.5 | 8.1 | 19(+) | 50.2 | 44.2 | 5.6 |
Wages and Benefits | 44.0 | 49.6 | –5.6 | 19.8 | 22(+) | 44.0 | 56.0 | 0.0 |
Employment | 18.4 | 27.7 | –9.3 | 7.4 | 20(+) | 27.0 | 64.4 | 8.6 |
Hours Worked | 19.0 | 21.3 | –2.3 | 3.6 | 20(+) | 26.2 | 66.6 | 7.2 |
Capital Expenditures | 16.1 | 11.3 | +4.8 | 6.8 | 19(+) | 23.9 | 68.3 | 7.8 |
| General Business Conditions Current (versus previous month) | ||||||||
| Indicator | Feb Index | Jan Index | Change | Series Average | Trend** | % Reporting Improved | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Worsened |
Company Outlook | 6.4 | 2.2 | +4.2 | 6.9 | 5(+) | 22.8 | 60.8 | 16.4 |
General Business Activity | 14.0 | 2.0 | +12.0 | 3.1 | 19(+) | 22.3 | 69.3 | 8.3 |
| Indicator | Feb Index | Jan Index | Change | Series Average | Trend* | % Reporting Increase | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Decrease |
Outlook Uncertainty† | 17.0 | 30.8 | –13.8 | 14.3 | 10(+) | 28.7 | 59.6 | 11.7 |
| Business Indicators Relating to Facilities and Products in Texas Future (six months ahead) | ||||||||
| Indicator | Feb Index | Jan Index | Change | Series Average | Trend* | % Reporting Increase | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Decrease |
Production | 42.1 | 38.0 | +4.1 | 38.7 | 22(+) | 49.2 | 43.7 | 7.1 |
Capacity Utilization | 41.8 | 37.8 | +4.0 | 35.5 | 22(+) | 50.2 | 41.4 | 8.4 |
New Orders | 39.1 | 31.5 | +7.6 | 36.3 | 22(+) | 46.1 | 46.9 | 7.0 |
Growth Rate of Orders | 27.1 | 18.3 | +8.8 | 27.0 | 22(+) | 35.3 | 56.5 | 8.2 |
Unfilled Orders | –0.1 | –2.5 | +2.4 | 3.8 | 7(–) | 14.5 | 70.9 | 14.6 |
Shipments | 39.2 | 34.7 | +4.5 | 37.1 | 22(+) | 46.2 | 46.8 | 7.0 |
Delivery Time | 3.6 | 5.8 | –2.2 | –1.2 | 6(+) | 20.3 | 63.0 | 16.7 |
Finished Goods Inventories | 12.7 | 2.3 | +10.4 | 0.5 | 16(+) | 25.3 | 62.1 | 12.6 |
Prices Paid for Raw Materials | 51.1 | 59.6 | –8.5 | 34.6 | 23(+) | 61.6 | 27.9 | 10.5 |
Prices Received for Finished Goods | 45.4 | 50.6 | –5.2 | 20.7 | 22(+) | 54.7 | 36.0 | 9.3 |
Wages and Benefits | 74.3 | 54.4 | +19.9 | 38.8 | 22(+) | 74.4 | 25.5 | 0.1 |
Employment | 45.2 | 52.2 | –7.0 | 23.2 | 21(+) | 47.5 | 50.2 | 2.3 |
Hours Worked | 10.4 | 12.5 | –2.1 | 9.4 | 22(+) | 18.5 | 73.4 | 8.1 |
Capital Expenditures | 29.9 | 19.4 | +10.5 | 20.0 | 21(+) | 39.0 | 51.9 | 9.1 |
| General Business Conditions Future (six months ahead) | ||||||||
| Indicator | Feb Index | Jan Index | Change | Series Average | Trend** | % Reporting Increase | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Worsened |
Company Outlook | 18.1 | 19.4 | –1.3 | 20.7 | 21(+) | 28.2 | 61.7 | 10.1 |
General Business Activity | 20.6 | 16.5 | +4.1 | 14.8 | 21(+) | 30.3 | 60.0 | 9.7 |
*Shown is the number of consecutive months of expansion or contraction in the underlying indicator. Expansion is indicated by a positive index reading and denoted by a (+) in the table. Contraction is indicated by a negative index reading and denoted by a (–) in the table.
**Shown is the number of consecutive months of improvement or worsening in the underlying indicator. Improvement is indicated by a positive index reading and denoted by a (+) in the table. Worsening is indicated by a negative index reading and denoted by a (–) in the table.
†Added to survey in January 2018.
Data have been seasonally adjusted as necessary, with the exception of the outlook uncertainty index, which does not yet have a sufficiently long time series to test for seasonality.
Questions regarding the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey can be addressed to Emily Kerr at emily.kerr@dal.frb.org.
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