Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Results Table
Business Indicators Relating to Facilities and Products in Texas Current (versus previous month) | ||||||||
Indicator | Dec Index | Nov Index | Change | Series Average | Trend* | % Reporting Increase | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Decrease |
Production | 9.7 | 0.8 | +8.9 | 10.8 | 31(+) | 32.1 | 45.4 | 22.4 |
Capacity Utilization | 8.5 | –3.4 | +11.9 | 8.7 | 1(+) | 27.2 | 54.1 | 18.7 |
New Orders | –9.2 | –20.9 | +11.7 | 6.4 | 7(–) | 26.7 | 37.3 | 35.9 |
Growth Rate of Orders | –9.3 | –19.9 | +10.6 | 0.4 | 8(–) | 19.6 | 51.5 | 28.9 |
Unfilled Orders | –1.1 | –4.6 | +3.5 | –1.4 | 5(–) | 13.8 | 71.3 | 14.9 |
Shipments | 1.9 | –7.5 | +9.4 | 9.4 | 1(+) | 30.8 | 40.4 | 28.9 |
Delivery Time | –0.9 | –2.8 | +1.9 | 1.4 | 2(–) | 16.2 | 66.7 | 17.1 |
Finished Goods Inventories | –3.3 | 2.2 | –5.5 | –3.2 | 1(–) | 20.0 | 56.7 | 23.3 |
Prices Paid for Raw Materials | 23.7 | 22.6 | +1.1 | 28.1 | 32(+) | 41.0 | 41.8 | 17.3 |
Prices Received for Finished Goods | 12.5 | 13.9 | –1.4 | 9.0 | 29(+) | 21.5 | 69.5 | 9.0 |
Wages and Benefits | 35.0 | 36.5 | –1.5 | 20.8 | 32(+) | 36.1 | 62.8 | 1.1 |
Employment | 14.0 | 5.9 | +8.1 | 7.9 | 30(+) | 24.2 | 65.6 | 10.2 |
Hours Worked | 7.2 | –1.0 | +8.2 | 3.8 | 1(+) | 18.1 | 71.0 | 10.9 |
Capital Expenditures | –2.1 | 9.3 | –11.4 | 6.9 | 1(–) | 14.3 | 69.3 | 16.4 |
General Business Conditions Current (versus previous month) | ||||||||
Indicator | Dec Index | Nov Index | Change | Series Average | Trend** | % Reporting Improved | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Worsened |
Company Outlook | –12.8 | –15.2 | +2.4 | 6.1 | 10(–) | 14.9 | 57.4 | 27.7 |
General Business Activity | –18.8 | –14.4 | –4.4 | 2.4 | 8(–) | 13.7 | 53.8 | 32.5 |
Indicator | Dec Index | Nov Index | Change | Series Average | Trend* | % Reporting Increase | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Decrease |
Outlook Uncertainty† | 15.6 | 20.4 | –4.8 | 16.6 | 20(+) | 27.8 | 60.0 | 12.2 |
Business Indicators Relating to Facilities and Products in Texas Future (six months ahead) | ||||||||
Indicator | Dec Index | Nov Index | Change | Series Average | Trend* | % Reporting Increase | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Decrease |
Production | 10.2 | 8.9 | +1.3 | 37.8 | 32(+) | 25.8 | 58.6 | 15.6 |
Capacity Utilization | 9.2 | 14.9 | –5.7 | 34.7 | 32(+) | 26.5 | 56.2 | 17.3 |
New Orders | 2.0 | 4.5 | –2.5 | 35.1 | 2(+) | 23.8 | 54.4 | 21.8 |
Growth Rate of Orders | 2.9 | 1.1 | +1.8 | 26.1 | 6(+) | 23.5 | 55.9 | 20.6 |
Unfilled Orders | –12.7 | –10.9 | –1.8 | 3.3 | 7(–) | 6.6 | 74.1 | 19.3 |
Shipments | 10.7 | 5.3 | +5.4 | 36.1 | 32(+) | 31.0 | 48.7 | 20.3 |
Delivery Time | –2.9 | –11.8 | +8.9 | –1.3 | 2(–) | 13.6 | 69.9 | 16.5 |
Finished Goods Inventories | –1.2 | –10.3 | +9.1 | 0.4 | 3(–) | 16.9 | 65.1 | 18.1 |
Prices Paid for Raw Materials | 20.0 | 21.8 | –1.8 | 34.4 | 33(+) | 35.3 | 49.4 | 15.3 |
Prices Received for Finished Goods | 18.8 | 16.1 | +2.7 | 21.2 | 32(+) | 30.6 | 57.6 | 11.8 |
Wages and Benefits | 42.2 | 52.4 | –10.2 | 39.5 | 32(+) | 44.9 | 52.4 | 2.7 |
Employment | 19.7 | 22.9 | –3.2 | 23.3 | 31(+) | 25.4 | 68.9 | 5.7 |
Hours Worked | 1.5 | 10.3 | –8.8 | 9.3 | 4(+) | 14.7 | 72.1 | 13.2 |
Capital Expenditures | 5.3 | 7.7 | –2.4 | 19.9 | 31(+) | 22.8 | 59.7 | 17.5 |
General Business Conditions Future (six months ahead) | ||||||||
Indicator | Dec Index | Nov Index | Change | Series Average | Trend** | % Reporting Increase | % Reporting No Change | % Reporting Worsened |
Company Outlook | –2.3 | –9.2 | +6.9 | 19.5 | 8(–) | 15.5 | 66.7 | 17.8 |
General Business Activity | –8.3 | –17.5 | +9.2 | 13.6 | 8(–) | 15.1 | 61.5 | 23.4 |
*Shown is the number of consecutive months of expansion or contraction in the underlying indicator. Expansion is indicated by a positive index reading and denoted by a (+) in the table. Contraction is indicated by a negative index reading and denoted by a (–) in the table.
**Shown is the number of consecutive months of improvement or worsening in the underlying indicator. Improvement is indicated by a positive index reading and denoted by a (+) in the table. Worsening is indicated by a negative index reading and denoted by a (–) in the table.
†Added to survey in January 2018.
Data have been seasonally adjusted as necessary, with the exception of the outlook uncertainty index, which does not yet have a sufficiently long time series to test for seasonality.
Questions regarding the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey can be addressed to Emily Kerr at emily.kerr@dal.frb.org.
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