Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates that jobs will increase 2.8 percent in 2023, with an 80 percent confidence band of 2.1 to 3.5 percent.
March 24, 2023
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates that jobs will increase 2.8 percent in 2023, with an 80 percent confidence band of 2.0 to 3.5 percent.
March 10, 2023
Dallas Fed Economics
Job vacancy, unemployment relationship clouds ‘soft landing’ prospects
Some economists have argued that because the job vacancy rate has been well above its prepandemic level, there is plenty of room for vacancies to fall before the unemployment rate must rise.
February 07, 2023
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates that jobs will increase 1.4 percent in 2023, with an 80 percent confidence band of 0.7 to 2.2 percent.
February 03, 2023
Forecasting Inflation in Open Economies: What Can a NOEM Model Do?
This paper evaluates the forecasting ability when inflation is viewed as an inherently global phenomenon through the lens of the workhorse New Open Economy Macro (NOEM) model.
December 20, 2022
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates that jobs will increase 3.5 percent in 2022, with an 80 percent confidence band of 3.2 to 3.7 percent.
December 16, 2022
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates that jobs will increase 4.3 percent in 2022, with an 80 percent confidence band of 3.9 to 4.6 percent.
November 18, 2022
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates that jobs will increase 4.4 percent in 2022, with an 80 percent confidence band of 3.9 to 4.8 percent.
October 21, 2022
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast estimates that jobs will increase 4.2 percent in 2022, with an 80 percent confidence band of 3.7 to 4.8 percent.
June 16, 2022
Working Paper
Are Nonlinear Methods Necessary at the Zero Lower Bound?
This paper examines the importance of the zero lower bound (ZLB) constraint on the nominal interest rate by estimating three variants of a small-scale New Keynesian model.
August 01, 2016