Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 2.3 percent (329,400 jobs) in 2024, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.7 to 3.0 percent.
April 19, 2024
Mexico’s productivity woes limit nearshoring, growth potential
Industrial policy reform, nearshoring and a deeper Mexico–U.S. partnership could provide tailwinds for Mexican economic growth. Whether Mexico can harness the full potential of such transformative change is less clear.
April 16, 2024
Research Department Working Papers
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Survey Methodology, Performance and Forecast Accuracy
This paper describes the survey methodology and analyzes the explanatory and predictive power of TMOS indexes with regard to other measures of state economic activity.
March 28, 2024
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 2.5 percent (352,800 jobs) in 2024, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.9 to 3.1 percent.
March 22, 2024
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 2.2 percent (304,200 jobs added) in 2024, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.5 to 2.9 percent.
March 08, 2024
Inflation forecasts based on money growth proved accurate in 2021, though generally unreliable
As money demand changes, and in particular as money velocity fluctuates with interest rates, this relationship can become unstable with money growth providing limited useful information for inflation forecasting.
February 20, 2024
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 2.0 percent (283,500 jobs added) in 2024, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.2 to 2.8 percent.
February 09, 2024
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 3.2 percent in 2023, with an 80 percent confidence band of 3.1 to 3.3 percent.
December 22, 2023
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 3.2 percent in 2023, with an 80 percent confidence band of 3.0 to 3.4 percent.
November 17, 2023
Korea, Japan growth experiences suggest China’s economy to slow in next 20 years
The Chinese economy has grown at an unprecedented pace since the 1980s. However, the pace of growth is likely to slow as China’s economy matures because of its demographic structure and its increasing proximity to economic and technological frontiers.
November 14, 2023