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U.S. Economy

Stay informed with our analysis on the United States economy

Economic data

Trimmed Mean PCE

The Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate is an alternative measure of core inflation in the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE).

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Weekly Economic Index

The WEI is an index of 10 daily and weekly indicators of real economic activity, scaled to align with the four-quarter GDP growth rate.

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Market value of U.S. government debt

Par and market values are reported for gross federal debt, privately held gross federal debt and marketable Treasury debt.

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U.S. economic data

List of all U.S. data produced by the Dallas Fed.

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Working papers and research

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Explore the national economy

Revisiting the odd behavior of the Beveridge curve as unemployment stays low

At first glance, it seems unlikely that the unemployment rate would remain stable if the number of job vacancies decreased. However, such a scenario played out recently as the number of firms seeking to fill positions by poaching employees from other firms increased, while the ranks of the unemployed remained relatively stable.

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Inflation forecasts based on money growth proved accurate in 2021, though generally unreliable

As money demand changes, and in particular as money velocity fluctuates with interest rates, this relationship can become unstable with money growth providing limited useful information for inflation forecasting.

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