Research Department Working Papers
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Survey Methodology, Performance and Forecast Accuracy
This paper describes the survey methodology and analyzes the explanatory and predictive power of TSSOS indexes with regard to other measures of state economic activity.
August 13, 2025
Texas Economy
Growth resumes in Texas service sector activity
Texas service sector activity expanded in July after contracting for two consecutive months, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey.
July 29, 2025
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity picked up notably in July, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
July 28, 2025
Surveys
Oil and gas activity contracts slightly as uncertainty remains elevated
Activity in the oil and gas sector contracted slightly in the second quarter of 2025, according to oil and gas executives responding to the Dallas Fed Energy Survey.
July 02, 2025
Texas Economy
Texas service sector activity continues to decline
Texas service sector activity remained in contractionary territory in June, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey.
July 01, 2025
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity was largely unchanged in June, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
June 30, 2025
Surveys
Banking Conditions Survey
Loan volume and demand accelerated in June after little to no growth in the prior survey.
June 30, 2025
Agricultural Survey
Bankers responding to the second-quarter agriculture survey reported mildly improved conditions across most regions of the Eleventh District.
June 23, 2025
Texas Economy
Texas service sector activity declines modestly
Texas service sector activity contracted in May, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey.
May 28, 2025
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity held steady in May, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
May 27, 2025