Dallas Fed Economics
Job cyclicality provides timely signals on Texas, U.S. business cycle
The cyclicality of industries and their behavior provide early indications of economic turning points in Texas and the U.S. and provide a timelier view than other data that are widely used to confirm downturns and expansions.
April 22, 2025
Economic Indicators
Energy Indicators
U.S. oil and natural gas rig counts declined in the first quarter of 2025 compared with the first quarter of 2024. U.S. days of supply of crude, gasoline and distillate were above the five-year average. U.S. retail fuel prices were down in March along with Brent crude oil. The U.S. producer price index (PPI) for electricity increased.
April 21, 2025
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 1.5 percent in 2025, with an 80 percent confidence band of 0.8 to 2.2 percent.
April 18, 2025
Southwest Economy
Water restrictions, conservation a 24/7 routine in Abilene and the Big Country
Steve Estes, the Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service agent for Taylor County, offers his perspective on how ranchers, farmers and city dwellers can collectively work to ensure that the area makes the best decisions regarding precious water resources
April 18, 2025
Southwest Economy
Shoring up water supply, curbing demand key to Texas’ future growth
Funding for water infrastructure improvements has emerged as a priority for the Legislature during its 2025 legislative session. Absent changes to policy, Texans could face significant water shortages during droughts and constraints on future growth and economic development.
April 16, 2025
Speeches and essays
Welcome remarks for the Outlook for North American Trade and Immigration conference
This conversation comes at a pivotal time as governments adjust trade, immigration and other policies.
April 10, 2025
Economic Indicators
Texas Economic Indicators
The Texas economy expanded in February. Employment growth was solid, and sales tax revenue increased broadly.
April 03, 2025
Dallas Fed Economics
Texas economic outlook downbeat as uncertainty increases
The Texas economy grew slightly below trend through the first quarter of 2025. While job growth appears just off its long-term annual trend rate of about 2.1 percent, the Dallas Fed Texas Business Outlook Surveys (TBOS) point to slowing activity in both the services and manufacturing sectors.
April 03, 2025
Economic Surveys
Growth decelerates in Texas service sector as company outlooks worsen
Texas service sector activity stalled in March, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey.
April 01, 2025
Economic Surveys
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity rose in March after declining in February, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
March 31, 2025