Economic Surveys
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey
Texas service sector activity grew slightly in February, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey.
February 24, 2026
Economic Surveys
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity continued to rise in February, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
February 23, 2026
At the Heart of Texas
At the Heart of Texas
The third edition of this special report is a comprehensive look at the historical, economic and demographic profiles of 12 of Texas' key metropolitan areas with additional tables on average annual earnings, demographics and more.
February 20, 2026
Southwest Economy
Texas job growth expected to pick up following flat 2025
Texas economic output grew in 2025 but did so with near-zero job growth. The last time that happened was in 2002–03, when the state emerged from the dot-com bust into an extended jobless recovery.
February 20, 2026
Economic Indicators
Texas Economic Indicators
The Texas economy decelerated at the end of 2025. Overall, employment growth slowed notably in Texas and major metro areas in 2025 relative to 2024, though payrolls expanded in December.
February 12, 2026
Economic Indicators
Energy Indicators
Global oil inventories are expected to rise over the next year as supply growth continues outpacing consumption. Chinese stockpiling has provided some price support. U.S. crude production is projected to remain stable supported by continued efficiency gains.
February 12, 2026
Working Papers
Disparate Impacts of Teacher Certification Exams
This paper uses Texas administrative data to assess the long-standing claim that teacher certification exams discriminate against underrepresented minority (URM) candidates.
February 10, 2026
Dallas Fed Economics
How AI debt financing impacts duration supply and interest rates
Financing needs related to AI data center investments are likely to be large and persistent. While the overall economics of such investments remains a topic of much debate, the duration supply implications for U.S. interest rate markets have received less attention.
February 10, 2026
At the Heart of Texas
Overview: Texas and its metros
Texas’ large cities provide an important growth advantage in addition to the state’s other favorable economic factors. Those include a central location; ample oil and gas deposits; well-trafficked ports by land, sea and air; proximity to Mexico; a rapidly growing population and workforce; a relatively low cost of living; and a relatively light regulatory burden.
February 06, 2026
At the Heart of Texas
Amarillo: Services take root in panhandle’s ranching, transportation center
Services have become the cornerstone of the economy while many manufacturing plants still thrive, contributing to relatively low poverty and unemployment rates.
February 06, 2026