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Articles and Analysis

  • Korea, Japan growth experiences suggest China’s economy to slow in next 20 years

    The Chinese economy has grown at an unprecedented pace since the 1980s. However, the pace of growth is likely to slow as China’s economy matures because of its demographic structure and its increasing proximity to economic and technological frontiers.

  • Russian ruble buckles under trade sanctions, declining export earnings

    Russia’s currency is losing value, falling 40 percent against the U.S. dollar since December 2022. With measures targeting Russian exports likely to persist, the country’s balance of payments will remain under pressure, leading to continuing currency weakness.

  • Mexican peso strength noteworthy among emerging markets during Fed tightening

    Many emerging-market currencies have depreciated modestly during the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle that began in March 2022. The Mexican peso, however, outperformed the group during the period.

  • Trade boom tests Laredo’s border

    Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan's 360° Listening Tour is taking her to communities all around the Eleventh Federal Reserve District to deepen her understanding of the region’s people and economy.

  • Shreveport works to plug 'brain drain'

    President Lorie Logan's 360° Listening Tour is taking her to communities all around the Eleventh Federal Reserve District during her first year at the Dallas Fed. The tour is helping deepen her understanding of the region’s people and economy by adding color and perspective that go beyond official statistics.

  • Mexico seeks to solidify rank as top U.S. trade partner, push further past China

    Mexico's emergence followed fractious U.S. relations with China, which had moved past Canada to claim the top trading spot in 2014. The dynamic changed in 2018 when the U.S. imposed tariffs on China’s goods and with subsequent pandemic-era supply-chain disruptions that altered international trade and investment flows worldwide.

  • 360 in 365 Tour

    Corpus Christi’s export hub is about to get busier

    During her first year at the Dallas Fed, President Lorie Logan is visiting communities all around the Eleventh Federal Reserve District.

  • Mexico awaits ‘nearshoring’ shift as China boosts its direct investment

    When it comes to trading goods with the United States, Mexico would appear a logical sourcing alternative to China. Before the pandemic, increasing friction between the U.S. and China—the top supplier of goods imports to the U.S. in 2019—contributed to an anticipated “nearshoring” shift among companies dependent on Asia.

  • Globalization Institute Working Paper

    On the Distributional Effects of International Tariffs

    This paper provides a quantitative analysis of the distributional effects of the 2018 increase in tariffs by the U.S. and its major trading partners.

  • Capital flowed from emerging markets as pandemic, economic cycle took hold

    Fluctuations in the global financial cycle, reflecting impacts from the COVID crisis, account for roughly one-third of the movement in emerging-market inflows during 2020–23.