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Trade

  • Dallas Fed Economics

    Texas firms open to AI as tariff work-around strategy

    Firms are adopting AI and automation to offset rising tariff costs and shrinking margins, aiming to boost productivity and reduce labor needs amid economic challenges.

  • El Paso

    El Paso navigates new complexities in international economy

    On President Lorie Logan’s second visit to El Paso as part of her 360 Listening Tour, she heard from business and community leaders about key issues for the Borderplex region, including immigration, trade and water.

  • Special Report

    China remains modest player in U.S.–Mexico trade despite growing scrutiny

    Understanding Mexico’s evolving economic linkages with East Asia and China is critical to the future of the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement (USMCA trade accord) and the nearshoring and integration of North American manufacturing supply chains.

  • Southwest Economy

    Santa Teresa port of entry navigates future during fraught time

    Jerry Pacheco, president of the Border Industrial Association in Santa Teresa, New Mexico, discusses his work attracting investment from private and public sources for the Santa Teresa project and its prospects in an environment of rapidly changing rules of trade.

  • Southwest Economy

    Texas’ economic outlook deteriorates as tariff-related uncertainty builds

    While lagging indicators reflect resilient growth for the Texas economy, more recent survey data suggest diminished momentum amid elevated uncertainty about the outlook.

  • Dallas Fed Economics

    U.S. tariff outcomes dependent on trading partner responses

    In Depth: U.S. tariff policy has historically shifted among competing goals: providing revenue, protecting domestic markets and opening foreign markets to domestic producers. These goals are unlikely to be achieved simultaneously.

  • Research Events

    Outlook for North American Trade and Immigration

    Tariffs, immigration and nearshoring are the current defining topics for the U.S.–Mexico relationship. The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and the Peterson Institute for International Economics hosted this conference on the economic outlook for North America through the lens of these issues.

  • Speeches and essays

    Welcome remarks for the Outlook for North American Trade and Immigration conference

    This conversation comes at a pivotal time as governments adjust trade, immigration and other policies.

  • Dallas Fed Economics

    Texas economic outlook downbeat as uncertainty increases

    The Texas economy grew slightly below trend through the first quarter of 2025. While job growth appears just off its long-term annual trend rate of about 2.1 percent, the Dallas Fed Texas Business Outlook Surveys (TBOS) point to slowing activity in both the services and manufacturing sectors.

  • Southwest Economy

    Weighing Texas economic resilience amid tariffs, workforce challenges

    Ray Perryman, principal of Waco-based The Perryman Group, has been an observer of the Texas economy for more than four decades. He offers his views of what has propelled Texas since the 1980s oil bust and the state’s future prospects, and he recounts how he grew his economics firm.