Articles from
Dallas Fed Economics providing critical insights on trade, immigration, and other major international issues, along with in-depth analysis of monetary policy challenges affecting the U.S. economy and its deep financial and economic ties with Mexico.
An assessment of economic conditions and the stance of monetary policy
In his latest essay, posted on Dallas Fed Economics, President Rob Kaplan provides his assessment of current economic conditions, the outlook for the energy industry, and the current stance of monetary policy.
February 18, 2020
Don’t expect U.S. shale producers to respond quickly to geopolitical disruption
Higher oil prices due to supply disruptions and increased geopolitical risk are unlikely to generate significantly more U.S. oil production in the short term.
October 03, 2019
Crude oil price changes quicker to register at gasoline pump
How big an impact should we expect on gasoline prices? Based on recent research, most of the initial effect showed up quickly at the pump.
October 01, 2019
Oil and gas sector increasingly influences U.S. business fixed investment
As U.S. oil production has more than doubled over the past decade, the oil and gas sector has become more important to growth in non-residential investment.
September 24, 2019
Solving a puzzle: More nonrenewable resources without higher prices
Economic intuition suggests nonrenewable resources such as metals or fossil fuels become scarcer and more expensive over time. However, a new dataset covering the years 1700 to 2018 indicates otherwise.
August 27, 2019
GDP gain realized in shale boom’s first 10 years
The U.S. shale boom has benefited the nation’s oil trade balance and oil-producing regions and led to unusually large employment and output gains.
August 20, 2019
Breakeven oil prices underscore shale’s impact on the market
The oil price that companies need to profitably drill new wells has closely tracked prices for long-dated oil futures in recent years. The emergence of U.S. shale production seems to be playing a large role in anchoring long-term oil prices.
May 21, 2019
Modern refineries, shale boom upend traditional oil price relationships
Different crude oils can sell for dramatically different prices with sometimes far-reaching effects on the energy industry—from impacts on oil producers’ production decisions to oil refineries’ profit margins.
April 09, 2019
Global Perspectives: John Hess on U.S. oil reserves, climate change
Few sectors of the U.S. economy have undergone as radical a transformation in recent years as the energy sector, and few loom as large in the economic fortunes of Texas and the Eleventh District.
February 28, 2019
Dallas Fed Energy Survey suggests oil price drop won’t cause sector collapse in 2019
Following a banner year in 2018, will U.S. oil producers retrench and reduce capital spending after the recent double-digit oil price decline? The latest Dallas Fed Energy Survey provides some clues about what may be next.
February 14, 2019