Energy Indicators
Oil and gas executives expect the rig count to remain at current levels at the start of next year. Exploration and production (E&P) firms—especially the smaller ones—are preparing to see higher well completion and drilling costs in 2024.
November 08, 2023
Permian Basin Economic Indicators
Permian Basin employment rose in the third quarter while wages declined. The unemployment rate was roughly unchanged. The region’s rig count declined, but the price of oil rose significantly.
October 31, 2023
Hotter summer days heat up Texans but chill the state economy
As climate change intensifies over the next decade, summer heat waves will likely become more common and severe. The effect on Texas GDP growth is likely to be twice as pronounced as in the rest of the U.S. Meanwhile, the effect on job growth will likely be relatively subdued but vary widely across sectors.
October 18, 2023
Record-breaking Texas summer heat tests the grid, ERCOT operations
Texas just witnessed its second-hottest summer ever and its highest electricity demand without experiencing interruption to electricity delivery.
October 17, 2023
Russian ruble buckles under trade sanctions, declining export earnings
Russia’s currency is losing value, falling 40 percent against the U.S. dollar since December 2022. With measures targeting Russian exports likely to persist, the country’s balance of payments will remain under pressure, leading to continuing currency weakness.
October 10, 2023
Energy Indicators
Resilient demand and constricted supply due to OPEC+ production cuts will leave crude oil balances in a deficit for the remainder of the year, even with continually increasing U.S. production.
October 05, 2023
Refilling the Strategic Petroleum Reserve offers chance to recalibrate its size
A series of emergency drawdowns, exchanges and planned sales since 2020 have reduced crude oil inventories held by the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve to a 40-year low. Calls to fully refill the SPR in recent months raise important questions.
October 03, 2023
Surveys
Dallas Fed Energy Survey
Activity in the oil and gas sector rose in third quarter 2023, according to oil and gas executives responding to the Dallas Fed Energy Survey.
September 27, 2023
Research Department Working Papers
Oil Price Shocks and Inflation
Despite growing interest in the impact of oil and other energy price shocks on inflation and inflation expectations, until recently this question has not received much attention. This survey not only presents empirical results for the U.S. economy, but expands the analysis to include other major economies.
August 24, 2023
Permian Basin Economic Indicators
Employment in the Permian Basin in the second quarter increased while wages remained stable. Oil prices fell as production reached a new high, but the rig count declined. Home prices in Midland–Odessa increased, and sales dropped dramatically.
August 21, 2023