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Labor

  • Texas Employment Forecast

    The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 1.7 percent in 2026, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.3 to 2.1 percent.

  • Working Paper

    Remote Work Across Jobs, Companies and Space 

    The pandemic catalyzed an enduring shift to remote work. To measure this shift, this paper develops a large language model (LLM), fine tunes and assesses it using 30,000 human classifications, and applies it to nearly 600 million job vacancy postings across five English-speaking countries.

  • Southwest Economy

    Momentum builds in the Texas economy; wage pressures broaden

    The Texas economy strengthened in the second quarter, with job growth accelerating and business activity expanding. A pickup in temporary hiring is a positive signal for Texas’ labor market.

  • Speeches and essays

    Developing a strong workforce requires collaboration

    Dallas Fed Senior Vice President Roberto Coronado delivered these remakrs at the Texas Tribune Future of the Texas Workforce symposium in Waco, Texas.

  • Texas Employment Forecast

    The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 2.0 percent in 2026, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.5 to 2.5 percent.

  • Dallas Fed Economics

    International comparisons show AI effect on productivity

    Because AI use varies across countries, we can draw on international data to investigate the relationship between AI exposure and productivity growth at the sector level. The positive relationship in the U.S. fits a pattern visible among countries and appears related to high AI use.

  • Working Paper

    Work from Home and Migration

    This paper studies how full-time work from home affects migration and economic activity across cities.

  • Texas Employment Forecast

    The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 1.8 percent in 2026, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.2 to 2.4 percent.

  • Dallas Fed Economics

    Climbing the employment ladder tough when bottom rung is broken

    Recent labor market data appear to reflect a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. Because aggregate layoffs remain low by historical standards, the upward drift in the unemployment rate over the past two years is often viewed as a benign normalization process rather than a cyclical vulnerability.

  • Texas Employment Forecast

    The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 1.8 percent in 2026, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.2 to 2.4 percent.