Labor

• Texas Employment Forecast

  December job growth was 1.7 percent in Texas, according to employment data released today by the Texas Workforce Commission and early benchmarked by the Dallas Fed. Job growth in 2025 came in at 0.1 percent (10,700 jobs), below the state’s long-term average growth of 2.0 percent.

  January 30, 2026

• Salary not sole concern for young adults weighing career decisions, focus groups find

  While challenging economic conditions were top of mind for many participants, they also considered personal and practical factors.

  January 30, 2026

• New data show intensifying unauthorized immigration decline, with large local variations

  A sudden reversal in U.S. net unauthorized immigration has important implications for the demographic outlook, labor force participation, employment growth and local labor markets.

  January 13, 2026

• Texas Employment Forecast

  The Texas Employment Forecast implies that employment growth was around zero in 2025, with an 80 percent confidence band of -0.3 to 0.3 percent.

  January 09, 2026

• Young workers’ employment drops in occupations with high AI exposure

  In recent years, unemployment has gradually ticked up, and job searchers report increased difficulty finding new work. Is this related to AI?

  January 06, 2026

• Texas Employment Forecast

  The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 0.9 percent in 2025, with an 80 percent confidence band of 0.7 to 1.1 percent.

  December 11, 2025

• Immigration crackdown likely contributing to weak Texas job growth

  Findings from the Dallas Fed Texas Business Outlook Surveys (TBOS) suggest immigration policy changes will negatively affect the ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers at one in five Texas businesses this year.

  October 17, 2025

• Break-even employment declined after immigration changes

  Recent employment reports show U.S. payroll employment growth has cooled from its torrid pace in previous years, raising the question of whether this signals a healthy rebalancing or the start of a concerning slowdown.

  October 09, 2025

• Speech by President Lorie Logan

  Why I’ll be cautious about further rate cuts

  While the labor market has undeniably slowed, not all of the slowing represents economic slack, and inflation remains persistently above target.

  September 30, 2025

• Texas Employment Forecast

  The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 1.3 percent in 2025, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.0 to 1.6 percent.

  September 19, 2025